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3:05 PM

GB - Chepstow - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
19.5f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
11.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

A few in with a squeak but MR MCWHINNY has won 4 of his last 5 starts in this discipline and having run well when finding one too strong over hurdles last month, Tom Ellis' 8-y-o can quickly regain the winning thread back chasing. Two To Tango is proving consistent this season, so heads up the opposition, with last-time-out winner Rangatira Jack rounding off the shortlist on return.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Mr Mcwhinny (Ire) silk

Thrived since joining current yard. Cruised clear to make it a hat-trick (fourth win from last 5 chase starts) in a small-field event at Newton Abbot (21f) in September and ran well despite being unable to continue his winning sequence over hurdles last time. Fancied to be bang there again.

1st Pick
7

Mr Mcwhinny (Ire)

Jockey: Jack Andrews

Trainer: Tom Ellis

J: Jack Andrews

T: Tom Ellis

100---25%3/1

Analysis

Thrived since joining current yard. Cruised clear to make it a hat-trick (fourth win from last 5 chase starts) in a small-field event at Newton Abbot (21f) in September and ran well despite being unable to continue his winning sequence over hurdles last time. Fancied to be bang there again.

3
Two To Tango silk

Fitted with cheekpieces when finally getting off the mark at Stratford (19f) in March. Placed in 4 of 5 starts since, possibly unlucky not to collect at that venue last month (untidy leap at the last). Should go well again.

2nd Pick
3

Two To Tango

Jockey: Charlie Todd

Trainer: Emma Lavelle

J: Charlie Todd

T: Emma Lavelle

95---12%15/2

Analysis

Fitted with cheekpieces when finally getting off the mark at Stratford (19f) in March. Placed in 4 of 5 starts since, possibly unlucky not to collect at that venue last month (untidy leap at the last). Should go well again.

10
Rangatira Jack silk

Down the weights and bolted up in 3-runner event at Warwick (2½m, good) when last seen in May, under pressure a fair way out but responding well. Returns from just 2 lb higher but doesn't have much of a record fresh.

3rd Pick
10

Rangatira Jack

Jockey: Sean Houlihan

Trainer: Linda Blackford

J: Sean Houlihan

T: Linda Blackford

97---17%5/1

Analysis

Down the weights and bolted up in 3-runner event at Warwick (2½m, good) when last seen in May, under pressure a fair way out but responding well. Returns from just 2 lb higher but doesn't have much of a record fresh.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.