GB - Chepstow - Race 3

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

16.1f

Handicap Chase

Turf

Good to Soft (Good in places)

13.5K

VIEW

Verdict

PEP TALKING remains of interest and can get away with the drop in trip back down in class. Ballybreeze hasn't had a chance to get going this season but better is expected now off a tempting mark.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Enhanced good strike rate over fences at Wetherby in November. Reported to have bled later that month but back on track after 4 months off when second at Kempton 19 days ago, shaping as if still on a good mark. Drop back in trip is slight concern, though this is easier. 1st Pick 5 Pep Talking Jockey: Paul O'brien Trainer: Billy Aprahamian J: Paul O'brien T: Billy Aprahamian	100	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Enhanced good strike rate over fences at Wetherby in November. Reported to have bled later that month but back on track after 4 months off when second at Kempton 19 days ago, shaping as if still on a good mark. Drop back in trip is slight concern, though this is easier.
3	Signed off last spring with 2m wins at Newbury and this track. Shaped as if in needing the run both starts this season 4 months apart and better expected now, especially having dipped below last winning mark. 2nd Pick 3 Ballybreeze Jockey: Brendan Powell Trainer: Samuel Drinkwater J: Brendan Powell T: Samuel Drinkwater	99	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Signed off last spring with 2m wins at Newbury and this track. Shaped as if in needing the run both starts this season 4 months apart and better expected now, especially having dipped below last winning mark.
4	Off the mark at fifth attempt over hurdles in maiden at Newton Abbot last summer for the Twiston-Davies yard and shaped much better than distance beaten suggests on chase/yard debut at Doncaster after 5 months off, showing plenty of aptitude until getting tired. Can build on that back down in trip. 3rd Pick 4 Whatyouwaitingfor (Ire) Jockey: Lilly Pinchin Trainer: Charlie Longsdon J: Lilly Pinchin T: Charlie Longsdon	63	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Off the mark at fifth attempt over hurdles in maiden at Newton Abbot last summer for the Twiston-Davies yard and shaped much better than distance beaten suggests on chase/yard debut at Doncaster after 5 months off, showing plenty of aptitude until getting tired. Can build on that back down in trip.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.