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9:15 PM

Churchill Downs - Race 8

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6f
Claiming
Dirt
Unknown
36.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHADOW COAST must have a good chance based on form ratings and should make a bold show. Guardian is likely to be in the mix too. Chi Town Prince is another who requires a closer look.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Shadow Coast silk

He has speed figures which are among the top in the field. Crichton has a solid 20 percent win rate.

2nd Pick
3

Shadow Coast

Jockey: Saez Luis

Trainer: Crichton Rohan G

J: Saez Luis

T: Crichton Rohan G

6073--23%7/2

Analysis

He has speed figures which are among the top in the field. Crichton has a solid 20 percent win rate.

2
Guardian silk

Could provide positive winnings based on recent speed figures averaging 74. This trainer has a really good ROI at this distance/surface.

1st Pick
2

Guardian

Jockey: Ortiz, Jr. Irad

Trainer: Foster Eric N

J: Ortiz, Jr. Irad

T: Foster Eric N

6167--15%6/1

Analysis

Could provide positive winnings based on recent speed figures averaging 74. This trainer has a really good ROI at this distance/surface.

6
Chi Town Prince silk
6

Chi Town Prince

Jockey: Corrales Gerardo

Trainer: Rivelli Larry

J: Corrales Gerardo

T: Rivelli Larry

5556--19%9/2
Trackmaster Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Guardian silk

Could provide positive winnings based on recent speed figures averaging 74. This trainer has a really good ROI at this distance/surface.

1st Pick
2

Guardian

Jockey: Ortiz, Jr. Irad

Trainer: Foster Eric N

J: Ortiz, Jr. Irad

T: Foster Eric N

6167--15%6/1

Analysis

Could provide positive winnings based on recent speed figures averaging 74. This trainer has a really good ROI at this distance/surface.

3
Shadow Coast silk

He has speed figures which are among the top in the field. Crichton has a solid 20 percent win rate.

2nd Pick
3

Shadow Coast

Jockey: Saez Luis

Trainer: Crichton Rohan G

J: Saez Luis

T: Crichton Rohan G

6073--23%7/2

Analysis

He has speed figures which are among the top in the field. Crichton has a solid 20 percent win rate.

5
Mr. Sensei silk

To be considered - like the Equibase Speed Fig from the last race.

3rd Pick
5

Mr. Sensei

Jockey: Hernandez Jann N

Trainer: Hernandez Rey

J: Hernandez Jann N

T: Hernandez Rey

5960--8%12/1

Analysis

To be considered - like the Equibase Speed Fig from the last race.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.