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10:56 PM

Churchill Downs - Race 5

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
11f
Allowance Optional Claiming
Turf
Unknown
134.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NOBLE CONFESSOR must have a good chance based on form ratings and is the selection. Harrow is of more interest than last time now distance is more in favour and is a contender too. Presider can chase the first two home.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Noble Confessor silk

Overall figures good.

3rd Pick
9

Noble Confessor

Jockey: Gaffalione Tyler

Trainer: Pletcher Todd A

J: Gaffalione Tyler

T: Pletcher Todd A

7976--12%8/1

Analysis

Overall figures good.

14
Harrow silk

His 103 avg. has this gelding with among the best speed figures. Could best this field, based on his last speed figure of - 101.

1st Pick
14

Harrow

Jockey: Hughes Rasheed

Trainer: Joseph, Jr. Saffie A

J: Hughes Rasheed

T: Joseph, Jr. Saffie A

8081--5%20/1

Analysis

His 103 avg. has this gelding with among the best speed figures. Could best this field, based on his last speed figure of - 101.

4
Presider silk
4

Presider

Jockey: Ortiz, Jr. Irad

Trainer: Sharp Joe

J: Ortiz, Jr. Irad

T: Sharp Joe

75---23%7/2
Trackmaster Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
14
Harrow silk

His 103 avg. has this gelding with among the best speed figures. Could best this field, based on his last speed figure of - 101.

1st Pick
14

Harrow

Jockey: Hughes Rasheed

Trainer: Joseph, Jr. Saffie A

J: Hughes Rasheed

T: Joseph, Jr. Saffie A

8081--5%20/1

Analysis

His 103 avg. has this gelding with among the best speed figures. Could best this field, based on his last speed figure of - 101.

5
Daunt silk

Could surprise at a decent price.

2nd Pick
5

Daunt

Jockey: Hernandez, Jr. Brian J

Trainer: Mcgee Paul J

J: Hernandez, Jr. Brian J

T: Mcgee Paul J

7974--4%30/1

Analysis

Could surprise at a decent price.

9
Noble Confessor silk

Overall figures good.

3rd Pick
9

Noble Confessor

Jockey: Gaffalione Tyler

Trainer: Pletcher Todd A

J: Gaffalione Tyler

T: Pletcher Todd A

7976--12%8/1

Analysis

Overall figures good.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.