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6:45 PM

Churchill Downs - Race 5

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
7f
Starter Allowance
Dirt
Unknown
60.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AIR OF DEFIANCE has an excellent chance on figures and is up to winning this. Saltwater Cowboy has a jockey up with an excellent record riding for this barn and is likely to be thereabouts as well. Highly Flammable is another who requires a second look.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Air Of Defiance silk

He should be looked at given the really good speed numbers. May be like a front runner at the halfway point.

1st Pick
4

Air Of Defiance

Jockey: Arrieta Francisco

Trainer: Cunningham S. J

J: Arrieta Francisco

T: Cunningham S. J

7581--50%1/1

Analysis

He should be looked at given the really good speed numbers. May be like a front runner at the halfway point.

5
Saltwater Cowboy silk
5

Saltwater Cowboy

Jockey: Saez Luis

Trainer: David Carlos A

J: Saez Luis

T: David Carlos A

53---20%4/1
8
Highly Flammable silk

Has run strongly when racing a sprint dirt race. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding.

3rd Pick
8

Highly Flammable

Jockey: De La Cruz Fernando

Trainer: Donjuan Sergio

J: De La Cruz Fernando

T: Donjuan Sergio

6878--5%20/1

Analysis

Has run strongly when racing a sprint dirt race. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding.

Trackmaster Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Air Of Defiance silk

He should be looked at given the really good speed numbers. May be like a front runner at the halfway point.

1st Pick
4

Air Of Defiance

Jockey: Arrieta Francisco

Trainer: Cunningham S. J

J: Arrieta Francisco

T: Cunningham S. J

7581--50%1/1

Analysis

He should be looked at given the really good speed numbers. May be like a front runner at the halfway point.

1
Air Invasion silk

Could beat this field given the last 95 Equibase speed fig.

2nd Pick
1

Air Invasion

Jockey: Concepcion Axel

Trainer: Paramo Martin

J: Concepcion Axel

T: Paramo Martin

6873--15%6/1

Analysis

Could beat this field given the last 95 Equibase speed fig.

8
Highly Flammable silk

Has run strongly when racing a sprint dirt race. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding.

3rd Pick
8

Highly Flammable

Jockey: De La Cruz Fernando

Trainer: Donjuan Sergio

J: De La Cruz Fernando

T: Donjuan Sergio

6878--5%20/1

Analysis

Has run strongly when racing a sprint dirt race. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.