Churchill Downs - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

8.5f

Starter Allowance

Turf

Firm

150.0K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

NERAZURRI must have a good chance based on form ratings and looks the one to beat. Smiling Ellie is partnered by one of the top riders and is likely to be close at the finish too. Goats On A Tree can't be ignored either.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	5 Nerazurri Jockey: Ortiz Jose L Trainer: Casse Mark E J: Ortiz Jose L T: Casse Mark E	67	70	-	-	50%
1	Looks good for the conditions of this contest - has solid recent speed figs. This mare could improve with second time Lasix. 2nd Pick 1 Smiling Ellie Jockey: Saez Luis Trainer: Casse Mark E J: Saez Luis T: Casse Mark E	72	73	-	-	25%
Analysis Looks good for the conditions of this contest - has solid recent speed figs. This mare could improve with second time Lasix.
8	Has the top speed in the race for today's distance. 3rd Pick 8 Goats On A Tree Jockey: Gaffalione Tyler Trainer: Larose Kinnon J: Gaffalione Tyler T: Larose Kinnon	71	75	-	-	23%
Analysis Has the top speed in the race for today's distance.

Trackmaster Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Might be there at a nice price tag. 1st Pick 3 Notable Exchange Jockey: Alvarado Junior Trainer: Maker Michael J J: Alvarado Junior T: Maker Michael J	74	75	-	-	10%
Analysis Might be there at a nice price tag.
1	Looks good for the conditions of this contest - has solid recent speed figs. This mare could improve with second time Lasix. 2nd Pick 1 Smiling Ellie Jockey: Saez Luis Trainer: Casse Mark E J: Saez Luis T: Casse Mark E	72	73	-	-	25%
Analysis Looks good for the conditions of this contest - has solid recent speed figs. This mare could improve with second time Lasix.
8	Has the top speed in the race for today's distance. 3rd Pick 8 Goats On A Tree Jockey: Gaffalione Tyler Trainer: Larose Kinnon J: Gaffalione Tyler T: Larose Kinnon	71	75	-	-	23%
Analysis Has the top speed in the race for today's distance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.