Churchill Downs - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Claiming

Dirt

Fast

62.0K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

MORUNNING will get plenty of help from the saddle here and looks to have the best claims. Forty Love is from a barn very well known for their exploits in this type of race and is likely to be thereabouts as well. Army Hero is another who is entitled to consideration.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	8 Morunning Jockey: Saez Luis Trainer: Davis Christopher J: Saez Luis T: Davis Christopher	62	57	-	-	42%
4	4 Forty Love Jockey: Ortiz Jose L Trainer: Eurton Peter J: Ortiz Jose L T: Eurton Peter	53	63	-	-	25%
7	Could surprise at a reasonable price. 3rd Pick 7 Army Hero Jockey: Cedillo Abel Trainer: Manley Steve J: Cedillo Abel T: Manley Steve	63	67	-	-	12%
Analysis Could surprise at a reasonable price.

Trackmaster Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Recent figures for the jockey - 15 win percent. Diodoro has this entry primed for a sharp gate break. 1st Pick 11 One Mor Story Jockey: Torres Jaime A Trainer: Diodoro Robertino J: Torres Jaime A T: Diodoro Robertino	67	63	-	-	9%
Analysis Recent figures for the jockey - 15 win percent. Diodoro has this entry primed for a sharp gate break.
3	Consider based on speed figs which have been respectable - 86 avg - of late. One of the best speed figs of the field in his last affair. 2nd Pick 3 Brilliant Man Jockey: Bealmear Joseph C Trainer: Shorter Aaron J: Bealmear Joseph C T: Shorter Aaron	66	73	-	-	15%
Analysis Consider based on speed figs which have been respectable - 86 avg - of late. One of the best speed figs of the field in his last affair.
7	Could surprise at a reasonable price. 3rd Pick 7 Army Hero Jockey: Cedillo Abel Trainer: Manley Steve J: Cedillo Abel T: Manley Steve	63	67	-	-	12%
Analysis Could surprise at a reasonable price.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.