BH - Bahrain Sakhir - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Class 4

Turf

GOOD FIRM

5.3K

VIEW

Verdict

MERCANTILE (5) arrives off a convincing maiden win over 1m at Kempton Park All Weather and looks a progressive type with plenty of upside. That form will stack up nicely for his first run in the Middle-East, and he is the one to beat. QALAA (7) resumes after 7 months away, having finished second over 1m on the classic course here last time out. He also placed first-up at this track last campaign, making him a strong each-way chance. NATIONAL INTEREST (3) was below his best when eighth over 7f on the classic course here on April 17, finishing not far from the winner. He should be competitive and this looks a suitable target. ALMONAADY (2) returns after 9 months off, having scored by a neck when last seen. That gives him a genuine chance if he picks up where he left off.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Third race start today. At debut, 2nd of 10 at Southwell All Weather on August 16 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Palladas carrying 130lbs at $23. Last start favourite, won by 1.3 len at Kempton Park All Weather on September 9 over 1m defeating Assiri Heights carrying 133lbs at $1.50. Forward showing expected. 1st Pick 5 Mercantile Jockey: Ebrahim Nader Trainer: D & C Kubler J: Ebrahim Nader T: D & C Kubler	199	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Third race start today. At debut, 2nd of 10 at Southwell All Weather on August 16 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Palladas carrying 130lbs at $23. Last start favourite, won by 1.3 len at Kempton Park All Weather on September 9 over 1m defeating Assiri Heights carrying 133lbs at $1.50. Forward showing expected.
7	Is first-up after a break of seven months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second of 7 at Sakhir March 21 over 1m, 2 len behind Stellar Arrow with 128lbs at $5.50. When resuming last campaign third of 8 at this track February 12 over 1m, 6 len behind Stellar Arrow carrying 128lbs at $5. Expected to play a major role. 2nd Pick 7 Qalaa Jockey: Pat Cosgrave Trainer: Maher Ebrahim J: Pat Cosgrave T: Maher Ebrahim	66	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Is first-up after a break of seven months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second of 7 at Sakhir March 21 over 1m, 2 len behind Stellar Arrow with 128lbs at $5.50. When resuming last campaign third of 8 at this track February 12 over 1m, 6 len behind Stellar Arrow carrying 128lbs at $5. Expected to play a major role.
3	Gelding back from a spell of six-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at Sakhir April 17 over 7f, 4 len behind Competizione with 128lbs at $9. When resuming last campaign seventh of 10 at Jebel Ali December 13 over 6f, 12 len behind Mutaany carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Can return in winning form. 3rd Pick 3 National Interest Jockey: Stephane Ladjadj Trainer: Fawzi Nass J: Stephane Ladjadj T: Fawzi Nass	125	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of six-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at Sakhir April 17 over 7f, 4 len behind Competizione with 128lbs at $9. When resuming last campaign seventh of 10 at Jebel Ali December 13 over 6f, 12 len behind Mutaany carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Can return in winning form.

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