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3:50 PM

GB - Bath - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Soft (Good in places)
9.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

A huge field but SPIRIT LEAD ME capitalised on a much-reduced mark at Southwell 11 days ago and while he may not have shown form on turf for some time, Richard Hughes' charge is difficult to resist from this mark. Dalmally got up late on to gain a first handicap success at Brighton last time, so he's feared most now back in the groove, with Sub Thirteen and stable-switcher Sceptic rounding off the shortlist.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Spirit Lead Me (Ire) silk

Back-to-back winner on the all-weather last autumn who capitalised on a much-reduced mark in 12-runner event at Southwell (1m) 11 days ago, staying on to lead final 100 yds. Races off his lower turf mark here and remains firmly of interest now he's back in the groove.

1st Pick
4

Spirit Lead Me (Ire)

Jockey: Finley Marsh

Trainer: Richard Hughes

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

100---34%2/1

Analysis

Back-to-back winner on the all-weather last autumn who capitalised on a much-reduced mark in 12-runner event at Southwell (1m) 11 days ago, staying on to lead final 100 yds. Races off his lower turf mark here and remains firmly of interest now he's back in the groove.

2
Dalmally silk

Belatedly opened his account in handicaps in 9-runner event at Brighton (1m, good to firm) 8 weeks ago, despite not looking the most straightforward under pressure. Up 4 lb and doesn't appeal as a likely candidate to follow up.

2nd Pick
2

Dalmally

Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

Trainer: Mark Pattinson

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Mark Pattinson

84---20%4/1

Analysis

Belatedly opened his account in handicaps in 9-runner event at Brighton (1m, good to firm) 8 weeks ago, despite not looking the most straightforward under pressure. Up 4 lb and doesn't appeal as a likely candidate to follow up.

8
Sub Thirteen silk

Fifteen runs since his last win but carried on his run of in-frame efforts despite never really looking like justifying favouritism when fourth of 11 at Ffos Las (6f, heavy) just over 3 weeks ago. On a career-low mark but will probably find a few too good. First-time visor replaces cheekpieces.

3rd Pick
8

Sub Thirteen

Jockey: Callum Hutchinson

Trainer: Jeremy Scott

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Jeremy Scott

86---11%17/2

Analysis

Fifteen runs since his last win but carried on his run of in-frame efforts despite never really looking like justifying favouritism when fourth of 11 at Ffos Las (6f, heavy) just over 3 weeks ago. On a career-low mark but will probably find a few too good. First-time visor replaces cheekpieces.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.