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4:15 PM

GB - Ayr - Race 8

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Soft (Good in places)
11.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

This can go the way of PARODA DIVA, who has responded well to the refitting of cheekpieces and Patrick Neville's filly can add a third career success to her tally at the expense of Keep An Eye On It, who progressed again stepped up to 1m when third at Musselburgh back in April and it's unlikely we've seen all he has to offer. Vega Storm and Hatamoto looks best of the remainder.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Paroda Diva (Ire) silk

Improved form for new connections when doubling her tally in a handicap at Haydock in May, responding well to the return of cheekpieces. Ran at least as well when runner-up at Ripon (1m, good to firm) the following month and big chance having been freshened up since.

1st Pick
6

Paroda Diva (Ire)

Jockey: Andrew Mullen

Trainer: Patrick Neville

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Patrick Neville

100---20%4/1

Analysis

Improved form for new connections when doubling her tally in a handicap at Haydock in May, responding well to the return of cheekpieces. Ran at least as well when runner-up at Ripon (1m, good to firm) the following month and big chance having been freshened up since.

3
Keep An Eye On It silk

Went very close on 7f Southwell handicap debut in April and progressed again stepped up to 1m in stronger company when third of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh later that month. Absent since but unlikely we've seen all he has to offer.

2nd Pick
3

Keep An Eye On It

Jockey: David Nolan

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood

J: David Nolan

T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood

96---16%11/2

Analysis

Went very close on 7f Southwell handicap debut in April and progressed again stepped up to 1m in stronger company when third of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh later that month. Absent since but unlikely we've seen all he has to offer.

7
Vega Storm (Ire) silk

Produced his most encouraging effort so far on just his second handicap outing when fourth of 9 in handicap at Catterick last month but not in the same form back there (7f, good to firm) a fortnight later, track position not solely to blame. Bounce back needed.

3rd Pick
7

Vega Storm (Ire)

Jockey: Harry Russell

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey

J: Harry Russell

T: Richard & Peter Fahey

99---10%10/1

Analysis

Produced his most encouraging effort so far on just his second handicap outing when fourth of 9 in handicap at Catterick last month but not in the same form back there (7f, good to firm) a fortnight later, track position not solely to blame. Bounce back needed.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.