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3:30 PM

GB - Ayr - Race 4

Thoroughbred
5 Runners
16f
Maiden Hurdle
Turf
Soft (Heavy in places)
13.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NEXT TWIST is progressing with each start over hurdles and can register his second victory here. Irish raider Green Hope looks the obvious danger.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Next Twist (Fr) silk

Showed ability in bumpers and has made a positive start over hurdles, confirming promise of debut effort when scoring at Southwell (15.8f) in November and improving again when very good second of 10 in novice over C&D (heavy, 11/8) 41 days ago. The one to beat.

1st Pick
2

Next Twist (Fr)

Jockey: Sean Bowen

Trainer: Olly Murphy

J: Sean Bowen

T: Olly Murphy

100---56%4/5

Analysis

Showed ability in bumpers and has made a positive start over hurdles, confirming promise of debut effort when scoring at Southwell (15.8f) in November and improving again when very good second of 10 in novice over C&D (heavy, 11/8) 41 days ago. The one to beat.

1
Green Hope silk

Made the frame both starts in points and left hurdles debut form well behind when taking 20-runner novice (125/1) at Down Royal (17.2f, soft) 34 days ago. Likely contender.

2nd Pick
1

Green Hope

Jockey: J. J. Slevin

Trainer: W. R. Crawford, Ireland

J: J. J. Slevin

T: W. R. Crawford, Ireland

97---27%11/4

Analysis

Made the frame both starts in points and left hurdles debut form well behind when taking 20-runner novice (125/1) at Down Royal (17.2f, soft) 34 days ago. Likely contender.

3
Linalene (Fr) silk

Fair performer in bumpers but yet to reach that level over timber, albeit chance ended with blunder late on at Kelso (16.2f, soft) 56 days ago. Likely capable of better.

3rd Pick
3

Linalene (Fr)

Jockey: Patrick Wadge

Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

J: Patrick Wadge

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

87---10%10/1

Analysis

Fair performer in bumpers but yet to reach that level over timber, albeit chance ended with blunder late on at Kelso (16.2f, soft) 56 days ago. Likely capable of better.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.