GB - Ayr - Race 4

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

20.5f

Handicap Hurdle

Turf

Soft (Good to Soft in places)

11.0K

VIEW

Verdict

BIG STORM BREWING pulled well clear of the remainder when second on his Doncaster reappearance so a 3 lb rise could prove fair. The Coffey Boy appeals as a likely improver now handicapping over further and is second choice ahead of So Many Roads, who won this in 2023, and Forest Blaze.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Returned from 8 months off with an improved second of 9 in 19.5f Doncaster handicap 3 weeks ago. Leading contender if in similar form. 1st Pick 7 Big Storm Brewing Jockey: Harry Reed Trainer: Tristan Davidson J: Harry Reed T: Tristan Davidson	100	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Returned from 8 months off with an improved second of 9 in 19.5f Doncaster handicap 3 weeks ago. Leading contender if in similar form.
11	Irish point winner. Has hinted at promise in 2m novice hurdles here in recent months and rates a likely improver now handicapping over a longer trip. 2nd Pick 11 The Coffey Boy (Ire) Jockey: Callum Bewley Trainer: Ian Duncan J: Callum Bewley T: Ian Duncan	94	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Irish point winner. Has hinted at promise in 2m novice hurdles here in recent months and rates a likely improver now handicapping over a longer trip.
10	Winless since a handicap debut success in this race 3 years ago but latest 19.5f course third shows he arrives in form. Enters calculations. 3rd Pick 10 So Many Roads Jockey: Theo Gillard Trainer: Donald Whillans J: Theo Gillard T: Donald Whillans	99	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Winless since a handicap debut success in this race 3 years ago but latest 19.5f course third shows he arrives in form. Enters calculations.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.