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2:38 PM

GB - Ayr - Race 4

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7.2f
Handicap
Turf
Heavy (Soft in places)
12.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The in-form HOMESTRAIT ran a cracker in a stronger contest at Chester last time and can race off the same mark here. She makes fair appeal. Misunderstood and One NIght Thunder rate the principal dangers.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Homestrait (Ire) silk

Dual 7f winner this year who has found a little more improvement in recent starts, latest when good third of 8 in handicap at Chester (7f, heavy) 10 days ago. Merits consideration.

1st Pick
4

Homestrait (Ire)

Jockey: T. Kiely-Marshall

Trainer: Brian Ellison

J: T. Kiely-Marshall

T: Brian Ellison

98---20%4/1

Analysis

Dual 7f winner this year who has found a little more improvement in recent starts, latest when good third of 8 in handicap at Chester (7f, heavy) 10 days ago. Merits consideration.

1
Misunderstood (Fr) silk

His smart 2-y-o form seems a thing of the past but he figures off a handy mark and has been performing with credit of late, a bit too keen when fifth at Beverley over this trip last week. Shortlisted.

2nd Pick
1

Misunderstood (Fr)

Jockey: Daniel Tudhope

Trainer: David O'meara

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O'meara

100---20%4/1

Analysis

His smart 2-y-o form seems a thing of the past but he figures off a handy mark and has been performing with credit of late, a bit too keen when fifth at Beverley over this trip last week. Shortlisted.

9
One Night Thunder silk

Dual Carlisle winner last season who stepped up on recent efforts when creditable third of 10 in handicap at same course (7f, good to soft, 7/2) 20 days ago. 1 lb lower now and is not taken lightly.

3rd Pick
9

One Night Thunder

Jockey: Connor Beasley

Trainer: Gemma Tutty

J: Connor Beasley

T: Gemma Tutty

99---14%13/2

Analysis

Dual Carlisle winner last season who stepped up on recent efforts when creditable third of 10 in handicap at same course (7f, good to soft, 7/2) 20 days ago. 1 lb lower now and is not taken lightly.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.