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Resulted

GB - Ayr - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
20.5f
Handicap Hurdle
Turf
Soft (Heavy in places)
12.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LUNDI NOIR acquitted himself really well in a big-field handicap when third at Chepstow on return and this unexposed 4-y-o surely has more to offer. Captain Butler looks the other potential improver in the field having lost his unbeaten record in Grade 2 company at Kelso. Fox's Fancy remains of interest back in this sphere after an inauspicious start over fences at Hexham.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Lundi Noir (Fr) silk

Made a winning debut at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft) in February and stepped up on that when third of 16 on handicap bow at Chepstow on return. The pair that finished in front of him that day have since boosted the form and this unexposed sort can improve again.

1st Pick
8

Lundi Noir (Fr)

Jockey: Stan Sheppard

Trainer: Tom Lacey

J: Stan Sheppard

T: Tom Lacey

100---24%

Scratched

Analysis

Made a winning debut at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft) in February and stepped up on that when third of 16 on handicap bow at Chepstow on return. The pair that finished in front of him that day have since boosted the form and this unexposed sort can improve again.

1
Captain Butler (Ire) silk

Point winner who landed a Newcastle bumper on Rules debut in May 2023. Followed up on hurdles bow at Kelso following a 20-month absence during the Christmas period and not disgraced in Grade 2 there in March. Remains with potential now handicapping for new yard.

2nd Pick
1

Captain Butler (Ire)

Jockey: Jamie Hamilton

Trainer: Ruth Jefferson

J: Jamie Hamilton

T: Ruth Jefferson

99---56%

Analysis

Point winner who landed a Newcastle bumper on Rules debut in May 2023. Followed up on hurdles bow at Kelso following a 20-month absence during the Christmas period and not disgraced in Grade 2 there in March. Remains with potential now handicapping for new yard.

3
Fox's Fancy (Ire) silk

Won a mares' maiden hurdle at Perth in spring 2024 before shaping up well all 3 starts in defeat in handicaps last season. Badly let down by jumping at Hexham on chase bow/return but remains of interest back in this sphere.

3rd Pick
3

Fox's Fancy (Ire)

Jockey: Derek Fox

Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

J: Derek Fox

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

98---29%

Analysis

Won a mares' maiden hurdle at Perth in spring 2024 before shaping up well all 3 starts in defeat in handicaps last season. Badly let down by jumping at Hexham on chase bow/return but remains of interest back in this sphere.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.