GB - Ayr - Race 1

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

16f

Handicap Hurdle

Turf

Soft (Good to Soft in places)

24.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CASTLE IVERS goes handicapping from what looks a lenient opening mark and is in the right hands to overcome an absence. He's taken to make it 2-2 over hurdles, while it's unlikely we've seen the best of Triple Crown Ted, either, and he rates the main danger in an ultra-competitive renewal. Veteran Ginger Mail looks a plausible contender of those at bigger prices.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Cost £95,000 having won an Irish point easily and having run to a useful level when winning 2 of his 4 bumper starts, he quickened in good fashion to make a successful start over hurdles at Warwick in November 2024. Has proven himself capable when fresh and looks on a potentially lenient mark. 1st Pick 1 Castle Ivers (Ire) Jockey: Sean Bowen Trainer: Olly Murphy J: Sean Bowen T: Olly Murphy	100	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Cost £95,000 having won an Irish point easily and having run to a useful level when winning 2 of his 4 bumper starts, he quickened in good fashion to make a successful start over hurdles at Warwick in November 2024. Has proven himself capable when fresh and looks on a potentially lenient mark.
9	Solid form in novices prior to winning more takingly than the bare margin would imply on handicap bow at Kelso. Still looked in top form when chasing home an unexposed stablemate over C&D last time and remains capable of better. 2nd Pick 9 Triple Crown Ted (Ire) Jockey: Derek Fox Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore J: Derek Fox T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	99	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Solid form in novices prior to winning more takingly than the bare margin would imply on handicap bow at Kelso. Still looked in top form when chasing home an unexposed stablemate over C&D last time and remains capable of better.
10	Veteran finished 1¼ lengths behind Triple Crown Ted at Ayr but finished well beaten with visor refitted in a competitive handicap at Musselburgh last time. Usual cheekpieces go back on and could outrun his odds from a tumbling mark. 3rd Pick 10 Ginger Mail (Fr) Jockey: Bruce Lynn Trainer: N. W. Alexander J: Bruce Lynn T: N. W. Alexander	98	-	-	-	4%
Analysis Veteran finished 1¼ lengths behind Triple Crown Ted at Ayr but finished well beaten with visor refitted in a competitive handicap at Musselburgh last time. Usual cheekpieces go back on and could outrun his odds from a tumbling mark.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.