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GB - Ayr - Race 6

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Soft (Soft in places)
12.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SAILTHISSHIPALONE has been consistent since joining this yard but finds himself back below last winning mark and this looks a good opportunity back down in grade. You Sexy Thing is lightly raced and is another dropping in grade after a return from a break so could reveal more, while Green Pursuit is only just starting out over this trip and did enough to think it suited last time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Sailthisshipalone silk

Won at Pontefract on reappearance/stable debut in April and produced back-to-back thirds that have worked out pretty well there in July. Below last winning mark now and he's one to take seriously back down in grade after 62 days off.

1st Pick
1

Sailthisshipalone

Jockey: Jason Hart

Trainer: Ivan Furtado

J: Jason Hart

T: Ivan Furtado

98---13%7/1

Analysis

Won at Pontefract on reappearance/stable debut in April and produced back-to-back thirds that have worked out pretty well there in July. Below last winning mark now and he's one to take seriously back down in grade after 62 days off.

8
You Sexy Thing (Ire) silk

Off the mark at Sandown last August but hasn't won since. Had little racing this year but ran well when fourth of 8 in a handicap over 7f at Ascot 13 days ago and could step up for that return from 12 weeks off dropped in grade and back up to 1m.

2nd Pick
8

You Sexy Thing (Ire)

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

Trainer: Richard Spencer

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Richard Spencer

96---10%10/1

Analysis

Off the mark at Sandown last August but hasn't won since. Had little racing this year but ran well when fourth of 8 in a handicap over 7f at Ascot 13 days ago and could step up for that return from 12 weeks off dropped in grade and back up to 1m.

5
Green Pursuit (Ire) silk

Turned in best effort of season when second of 15 in 1m handicap at Thirsk in August, responding well to the return of cheekpieces and tongue strap. Unexposed at trip so merits respect.

3rd Pick
5

Green Pursuit (Ire)

Jockey: Dale Swift

Trainer: Seb Spencer

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

100---13%7/1

Analysis

Turned in best effort of season when second of 15 in 1m handicap at Thirsk in August, responding well to the return of cheekpieces and tongue strap. Unexposed at trip so merits respect.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.