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3:12 PM

GB - Ayr - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7.2f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Firm
11.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AL MUQDAD is down at 0-70 level for the first time since an easy win at Wolverhampton towards the end of last year and might be worth chancing to stage a revival at a track where he's tasted success in the past. Roaring Ralph will be a danger if he can translate this year's excellent all-weather form back to turf. Novak should benefit from the drop back to 7f and is next on the list.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Al Muqdad silk

Wide-margin winner of Wolverhampton 0-70 in November. Has been operating below his best on all-weather this year but well handicapped if a return to Ayr (dual C&D winner) and 0-70 level helps to spark a revival.

1st Pick
4

Al Muqdad

Jockey: David Nolan

Trainer: David O'meara

J: David Nolan

T: David O'meara

100---15%6/1

Analysis

Wide-margin winner of Wolverhampton 0-70 in November. Has been operating below his best on all-weather this year but well handicapped if a return to Ayr (dual C&D winner) and 0-70 level helps to spark a revival.

1
Roaring Ralph silk

Has thrived at Southwell this year, winning 3 times (all 1m) and runner-up on 3 other occasions (including 7f) from 6 visits. Course winner earlier in career so no reason why he can't continue the good work back on turf.

2nd Pick
1

Roaring Ralph

Jockey: Connor Beasley

Trainer: Michael Dods

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

99---29%5/2

Analysis

Has thrived at Southwell this year, winning 3 times (all 1m) and runner-up on 3 other occasions (including 7f) from 6 visits. Course winner earlier in career so no reason why he can't continue the good work back on turf.

7
Novak silk

C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2025. No extra late on when fifth of 7 in 1m course handicap 15 days and will be suited by this return to 7f. Enters calculations.

3rd Pick
7

Novak

Jockey: Andrew Mullen

Trainer: Iain Jardine

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

97---13%7/1

Analysis

C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2025. No extra late on when fifth of 7 in 1m course handicap 15 days and will be suited by this return to 7f. Enters calculations.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.