GB - Ayr - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Handicap

Turf

Heavy (Soft in places)

16.0K

VIEW

Verdict

TOPWARRIOR looks to have plenty in his favour following a near miss at Hamilton last time. He may gain compensation at the expense of Alpha Magic, who caught the eye in defeat at Pontefract last time, while Parisiac is likely to be knocking on the door again. Bronze Cup winner Eye Of Dubai isn't taken lightly back under these conditions, either.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Doubled his tally off this mark in a big-field Newbury handicap (6f, heavy) last October. Produced his best effort since when running on to finish close second in a higher grade at Hamilton (5f, soft) latest. Conditions again in his favour and every chance he goes one better off an unchanged mark. 1st Pick 2 Topwarrior Jockey: Hector Crouch Trainer: Ralph Beckett J: Hector Crouch T: Ralph Beckett	100	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Doubled his tally off this mark in a big-field Newbury handicap (6f, heavy) last October. Produced his best effort since when running on to finish close second in a higher grade at Hamilton (5f, soft) latest. Conditions again in his favour and every chance he goes one better off an unchanged mark.
10	Relatively lightly-raced 4-y-o. Fallen some way in weights since fairly useful win at Hamilton last June. Back on song and unlucky not to capitalise (going well when denied clear run) at Pontefract (6f, good to soft) latest. Serious player if in same form off only 1 lb higher. 2nd Pick 10 Alpha Magic Jockey: Connor Beasley Trainer: Michael & David Easterby J: Connor Beasley T: Michael & David Easterby	98	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Relatively lightly-raced 4-y-o. Fallen some way in weights since fairly useful win at Hamilton last June. Back on song and unlucky not to capitalise (going well when denied clear run) at Pontefract (6f, good to soft) latest. Serious player if in same form off only 1 lb higher.
7	Front runner/course winner who's been successful 4 times on soft ground previously. Has been shaping as though ready to add to that tally, forcing an unexposed one to pull out all the stops when ½-length second over C&D last time. Entitled to make another bold bid off the same mark. 3rd Pick 7 Parisiac (Ire) Jockey: Jack Nicholls Trainer: Iain Jardine J: Jack Nicholls T: Iain Jardine	97	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Front runner/course winner who's been successful 4 times on soft ground previously. Has been shaping as though ready to add to that tally, forcing an unexposed one to pull out all the stops when ½-length second over C&D last time. Entitled to make another bold bid off the same mark.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.