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1 Min Till Start

GB - Ayr - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8f
Handicap
Turf
Good to Firm (Good in places)
9.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The form of RUNNINSONOFAGUN's last 2 efforts have been well advertised so he gets the nod to continue his yard's good spell. Thats My Boy Luke is too well handicapped to ignore eased slightly in grade, while Millbuie has place claims again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Runninsonofagun (Ire) silk

Not scored since 2024 but has dropped to a workable mark and produced creditable efforts at Carlisle on last 2 starts. Both those runs have been boosted since and he's a big player with first-time blinkers fitted.

1st Pick
4

Runninsonofagun (Ire)

Jockey: Jason Hart

Trainer: Tristan Davidson

J: Jason Hart

T: Tristan Davidson

100---39%8/5

Analysis

Not scored since 2024 but has dropped to a workable mark and produced creditable efforts at Carlisle on last 2 starts. Both those runs have been boosted since and he's a big player with first-time blinkers fitted.

5
Thats My Boy Luke silk

Won twice at Ripon over 1m last year but yet to reproduce that form this season. 14/1, fourth of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (1m, good) 22 days ago, going off too hard. Eased a further 2 lb by the handicapper.

2nd Pick
5

Thats My Boy Luke

Jockey: David Allan

Trainer: Tim Easterby

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

97---23%7/2

Analysis

Won twice at Ripon over 1m last year but yet to reproduce that form this season. 14/1, fourth of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (1m, good) 22 days ago, going off too hard. Eased a further 2 lb by the handicapper.

8
Millbuie silk

Long-standing maiden. 9/1 and in first-time tongue strap, ran up to best when third of 10 in classified stakes over C&D (good to firm) 8 days ago. The headgear is off and has place claims if repeating that effort back in a handicap.

3rd Pick
8

Millbuie

Jockey: William Pyle

Trainer: Ewan Whillans

J: William Pyle

T: Ewan Whillans

96---17%5/1

Analysis

Long-standing maiden. 9/1 and in first-time tongue strap, ran up to best when third of 10 in classified stakes over C&D (good to firm) 8 days ago. The headgear is off and has place claims if repeating that effort back in a handicap.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.