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Resulted

GB - Ayr - Race 4

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
16.5f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Heavy (Soft in places)
13.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HEADS OR HARPS disappointed on his comeback run at Kelso but he looked a useful prospect when winning over this C&D in March so is worth another chance. Rock On Jet showed promise over C&D on chase bow and is feared most ahead of the veteran Arthur's Quay.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Heads Or Harps silk

Off nearly 2 years prior to last season's comeback but looked a useful prospect after his impressive C&D win on final start. Disappointed at Kelso on return but worth another chance.

1st Pick
2

Heads Or Harps

Jockey: Derek Fox

Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

J: Derek Fox

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

100---29%

Analysis

Off nearly 2 years prior to last season's comeback but looked a useful prospect after his impressive C&D win on final start. Disappointed at Kelso on return but worth another chance.

3
Rock On Jet (Ire) silk

Found some improvement fitted with hood when making all in 2m Ayr handicap hurdle in the mud in January. Promising start over fences there the following month (also performed well back hurdling at Hexham when last seen in March; since undergone a wind op) and may well build on that here.

2nd Pick
3

Rock On Jet (Ire)

Jockey: Jonathon Bewley

Trainer: George Bewley

J: Jonathon Bewley

T: George Bewley

96---25%

Analysis

Found some improvement fitted with hood when making all in 2m Ayr handicap hurdle in the mud in January. Promising start over fences there the following month (also performed well back hurdling at Hexham when last seen in March; since undergone a wind op) and may well build on that here.

1
Arthur's Quay (Ire) silk

Veteran who won at Newcastle winner in February and back to that level when neck second there a month ago. Failed to make the same impact there next time but that was a stronger race.

3rd Pick
1

Arthur's Quay (Ire)

Jockey: Richie Mclernon

Trainer: Ben Haslam

J: Richie Mclernon

T: Ben Haslam

98---10%

Analysis

Veteran who won at Newcastle winner in February and back to that level when neck second there a month ago. Failed to make the same impact there next time but that was a stronger race.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.