GB - Ayr - Race 4

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

16f

Handicap Hurdle

Turf

Soft

11.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Although VELVET VULCAN has gone close to winning a pair of 20.5f course handicaps this year his keen-going ways suggest this shorter trip could suit even better. The Coffey Boy edged out the selection over that longer distance last month and is second choice ahead of Platin Moon, whose stable is bidding for a hat-trick of wins in this race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Keen goer who has gone close in pair of 20.5f handicap hurdles here this year, beaten a head by The Coffey Boy latterly. Probably found race coming too soon when well-held fourth at Musselburgh only 5 days later. The hood goes back on, and his run style suggests the drop back to 2m may help. 1st Pick 5 Velvet Vulcan Jockey: Ben Smith Trainer: R. Mike Smith J: Ben Smith T: R. Mike Smith	100	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Keen goer who has gone close in pair of 20.5f handicap hurdles here this year, beaten a head by The Coffey Boy latterly. Probably found race coming too soon when well-held fourth at Musselburgh only 5 days later. The hood goes back on, and his run style suggests the drop back to 2m may help.
4	Built on 17f Sedgefield second when edging out the reopposing Velvet Vulcan over 20.5f here (heavy) 24 days ago. Should continue to go the right way. 2nd Pick 4 The Coffey Boy (Ire) Jockey: William Maggs Trainer: Ian Duncan J: William Maggs T: Ian Duncan	97	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Built on 17f Sedgefield second when edging out the reopposing Velvet Vulcan over 20.5f here (heavy) 24 days ago. Should continue to go the right way.
1	Capitalised on a falling mark when winning 9-runner C&D event (heavy) in January. Backed that up when third at Musselburgh (2m, good to soft) 18 days later and should give a good account for a stable seeking a third successive win in this contest. 3rd Pick 1 Platin Moon (Fr) Jockey: Bruce Lynn Trainer: N. W. Alexander J: Bruce Lynn T: N. W. Alexander	99	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Capitalised on a falling mark when winning 9-runner C&D event (heavy) in January. Backed that up when third at Musselburgh (2m, good to soft) 18 days later and should give a good account for a stable seeking a third successive win in this contest.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.