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2:30 PM

GB - Ayr - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
20.5f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Soft (Good to Soft in places)
68.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DONNACHA is a thoroughly likeable sort who is taken to defy a 5 lb rise in the weights for his Cheltenham triumph in January. Jipcot possibly found the race coming too soon in the Plate at the Cheltenham Festival and remains capable of better, with Il Ridoto another to consider from a falling mark back over a more suitable trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Donnacha (Ire) silk

Has progressed notably well over fences, proving better than ever when opening his account for the season in 11-runner premier handicap at Cheltenham (20.6f, soft) in January, holding on gamely. Has to be taken seriously from 5 lb higher mark in follow-up bid.

1st Pick
4

Donnacha (Ire)

Jockey: James Davies

Trainer: Nigel Hawke

J: James Davies

T: Nigel Hawke

100---25%3/1

Analysis

Has progressed notably well over fences, proving better than ever when opening his account for the season in 11-runner premier handicap at Cheltenham (20.6f, soft) in January, holding on gamely. Has to be taken seriously from 5 lb higher mark in follow-up bid.

6
Jipcot (Fr) silk

Opened chase account when making all at Leicester in January and acquitted himself well when fourth in the Swinley at Ascot the following month, jumping notably fluently. Possibly found the race coming too soon in the Plate at Cheltenham and remains capable of better.

2nd Pick
6

Jipcot (Fr)

Jockey: Jonjo O'neill Jr.

Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

J: Jonjo O'neill Jr.

T: Jonjo & A.J. O'neill

98---8%12/1

Analysis

Opened chase account when making all at Leicester in January and acquitted himself well when fourth in the Swinley at Ascot the following month, jumping notably fluently. Possibly found the race coming too soon in the Plate at Cheltenham and remains capable of better.

5
Il Ridoto (Fr) silk

Landed last season's Paddy Power Gold Cup. Record mixed subsequently but a drop back in trip promises to suit after failing to stay in the Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival on latest start.

3rd Pick
5

Il Ridoto (Fr)

Jockey: Harry Cobden

Trainer: Paul Nicholls

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

97---17%5/1

Analysis

Landed last season's Paddy Power Gold Cup. Record mixed subsequently but a drop back in trip promises to suit after failing to stay in the Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival on latest start.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.