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1:55 PM

GB - Ayr - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
16f
Maiden Hurdle
Turf
Soft (Good to Soft in places)
13.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Olly Murphy's LIRION has shaped well in finishing runner-up on both starts in bumpers, most recently here, and is taken to make a winning start over hurdles at the chief expense of Dropematthestation who has had a breathing operation since his good Doncaster third. Both Bohemond Antioch and Penn Avenue also have the form to play a part.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Lirion (Fr) silk

Debut bumper second at Huntingdon (for Tom Weston) last March and shaped well after nearly 12 months off when filling same position in bumper here in February. Interesting hurdling debutant for leading yard.

1st Pick
5

Lirion (Fr)

Jockey: Sean Bowen

Trainer: Olly Murphy

J: Sean Bowen

T: Olly Murphy

0---20%4/1

Analysis

Debut bumper second at Huntingdon (for Tom Weston) last March and shaped well after nearly 12 months off when filling same position in bumper here in February. Interesting hurdling debutant for leading yard.

2
Dropematthestation silk

Winning pointer who has shown fair form on all 3 outings over hurdles, including in a first-time tongue strap when third at Doncaster on latest outing. Has since undergone a breathing operation and holds very good form claims.

2nd Pick
2

Dropematthestation

Jockey: Callum Pritchard

Trainer: Ben Pauling

J: Callum Pritchard

T: Ben Pauling

100---20%4/1

Analysis

Winning pointer who has shown fair form on all 3 outings over hurdles, including in a first-time tongue strap when third at Doncaster on latest outing. Has since undergone a breathing operation and holds very good form claims.

1
Bohemond Antioch silk

Fair hurdler who posted a good second at Kelso (2m) before hampered and unseated rider 3 out in 17f Sedgefield maiden later in December. This reliable sort can't be ruled out after a break.

3rd Pick
1

Bohemond Antioch

Jockey: Theo Gillard

Trainer: Donald Mccain

J: Theo Gillard

T: Donald Mccain

99---20%4/1

Analysis

Fair hurdler who posted a good second at Kelso (2m) before hampered and unseated rider 3 out in 17f Sedgefield maiden later in December. This reliable sort can't be ruled out after a break.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.