GB - Ayr - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Handicap

Turf

Heavy

61.5K

VIEW

Verdict

This is wide open as usual but David O'Meara's soft-ground scorer TOYOTOMI could prove the answer with Oisin Murphy an eye-catching booking after his luckless run in a big-field handicap at the Curragh last time. Rapper's Delight is better than his recent form figures suggest and can go well off a handy-looking mark, while Desert Falcon, Deep Havana and Trilby all have plenty to recommend them too in a cracking renewal of the Silver Cup.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Cashed in on a career-low mark over C&D in August. Probably found 1¼m on heavy ground too much of a test of stamina at Beverley since. Runner-up in this off 4 lb higher last year. Gets the vote from handy draw. 1st Pick 5 Toyotomi (Fr) Jockey: Oisin Murphy Trainer: David O'meara J: Oisin Murphy T: David O'meara	100	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Cashed in on a career-low mark over C&D in August. Probably found 1¼m on heavy ground too much of a test of stamina at Beverley since. Runner-up in this off 4 lb higher last year. Gets the vote from handy draw.
4	Has been finding his feet for current yard this year, running well when at Glorious Goodwood (twice) and the York Ebor meeting in recent months. A prominent showing is likely for a yard no stranger to success in this. 2nd Pick 4 Deep Havana Jockey: James Doyle Trainer: Hamad Al Jehani J: James Doyle T: Hamad Al Jehani	98	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Has been finding his feet for current yard this year, running well when at Glorious Goodwood (twice) and the York Ebor meeting in recent months. A prominent showing is likely for a yard no stranger to success in this.
9	Ended 2-y-o season with 3 wins and picked up where he left off to bring up a 4-timer at Chester (7.6f) in May, getting up in the final strides. Not seen since (gelded) but the return to 1m will suit and he's open to further progress. Going softer than good is something new to him, though. 3rd Pick 9 Lord Roxby (Ire) Jockey: Alex Jary Trainer: Nigel Tinkler J: Alex Jary T: Nigel Tinkler	94	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Ended 2-y-o season with 3 wins and picked up where he left off to bring up a 4-timer at Chester (7.6f) in May, getting up in the final strides. Not seen since (gelded) but the return to 1m will suit and he's open to further progress. Going softer than good is something new to him, though.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

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A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.