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Resulted

NZ - Awapuni - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
10.6f
Benchmark
Synthetic
9.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RUJI (1) has been narrowly beaten in 2 of his 4 starts this prep, and he looks ready to break through after another strong runner-up effort over 1 5/16m at this track a fortnight ago. He drops in grade, and should be hard to hold out. AL PASSO (2) followed up his huge maiden win here in his penultimate start with a sound third over 1 ¹/16m here last start. The extra 2 ¼f will be no problem, and he can figure in the top 3 again. ABEECEE (3) was an overdue maiden winner here nearly 6 weeks ago when having just her third start from the Caitlin Johnson stable. She obviously had no trouble with the poly surface, and could well have turned a corner. Go again. WIND TALKER (4) also broke her maiden status with a solid half-a-length win here 2 weeks ago, and she appeals as the value runner in this. Stick with her. RITHIM (7) has been thereabouts this prep, and she is worth keeping safe, particularly if there is positive market support leading into the race.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Ruji silk

Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track on July 17 over 1 5/16m, 0.4 len behind Subtle Image carrying 122lbs at $6.40. Before that 6th of 11 at this track on July 3 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.75 len behind Victortheinflictor carrying 121lbs at $10.30. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
1

Ruji

Jockey: Liam Kauri

Trainer: Suzy Gordon

J: Liam Kauri

T: Suzy Gordon

228---34%

Analysis

Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track on July 17 over 1 5/16m, 0.4 len behind Subtle Image carrying 122lbs at $6.40. Before that 6th of 11 at this track on July 3 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.75 len behind Victortheinflictor carrying 121lbs at $10.30. Expected to feature.

2
Al Passo silk

Racing well recently. Last start led but faded 3rd of 11 at this track on July 17 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.5 len behind Love Janie carrying 120lbs at $5.40. The run before that scored a big 8 len win at this track July 3 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Richard Farrell carrying 125lbs at $16.20. Sure to measure up here.

2nd Pick
2

Al Passo

Jockey: Elen Nicholas

Trainer: Mike Breslin

J: Elen Nicholas

T: Mike Breslin

95---39%

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start led but faded 3rd of 11 at this track on July 17 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.5 len behind Love Janie carrying 120lbs at $5.40. The run before that scored a big 8 len win at this track July 3 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Richard Farrell carrying 125lbs at $16.20. Sure to measure up here.

3
Abeecee silk

Comes off a 40 day let-up. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track June 21 over 1 5/16m defeating Runaway Princess with 120lbs at $3.90. The run before that 5th of 10 at Wanganui on June 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Hi Yo Fox Rox with 125lbs at $8.60. Fitter and open to further improvement.

3rd Pick
3

Abeecee

Jockey: Hyeontaek Oh

Trainer: Caitlin Johnson

J: Hyeontaek Oh

T: Caitlin Johnson

86---7%

Analysis

Comes off a 40 day let-up. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track June 21 over 1 5/16m defeating Runaway Princess with 120lbs at $3.90. The run before that 5th of 10 at Wanganui on June 13 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Hi Yo Fox Rox with 125lbs at $8.60. Fitter and open to further improvement.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.