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Resulted

NZ - Avondale - Race 4

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 8
9.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MARZENIE (8) is edging closer to an overdue win, and she finished a game runner-up at Matamata 4 weeks ago. She will again race handy from a good draw, and this time, she can have the last say. On top. RANDOM MISS (10) was less than a length from the winner when finishing third as the favourite on debut at Pukekohe nearly 4 weeks ago. She maps to receive the run of the race from the pole position, and with the natural improvement that is expected second up, she can take this out. Follow your money. TURFQUAKE (5) raced well after finishing third on debut, and he will be a lot stronger after his spell. A recent trial win here has him on target for a bold run fresh. Check the market moves. DON'T TELL THE MRS (4) resumes from a spell that would have done him the world of good. He won a trial here late last month, and he will also be ready to rumble fresh. Don't risk him. ALMAN D'ORO (6) has been improving at the trials, and if he is not too green on debut, then he won't be far away.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Marzenie silk

Racing well recently. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Rumours carrying 126lbs at $2.70. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Le Jacques Cartier with 122lbs at $6.70. All set to open her account.

1st Pick
8

Marzenie

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

J: Non Runner

T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

163---23%

Scratched

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Rumours carrying 126lbs at $2.70. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Le Jacques Cartier with 122lbs at $6.70. All set to open her account.

10
Random Miss silk

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe on March 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Celtic Tycoon carrying 122lbs at $2.90. Sure to play a major role.

2nd Pick
10

Random Miss

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Joe Doyle

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

165---63%

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe on March 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Celtic Tycoon carrying 122lbs at $2.90. Sure to play a major role.

5
Turfquake silk

Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at Te Aroha November 11 over 7f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Ploy carrying 126lbs at $15.10. On debut third of 7 at Waverley 3yo Mdn-Sw September 28 over 7f, soft track, 2 len behind Our Grecia Girl with 127lbs at $2.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a positive return.

3rd Pick
5

Turfquake

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

J: Non Runner

T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray

61---13%

Scratched

Analysis

Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at Te Aroha November 11 over 7f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Ploy carrying 126lbs at $15.10. On debut third of 7 at Waverley 3yo Mdn-Sw September 28 over 7f, soft track, 2 len behind Our Grecia Girl with 127lbs at $2.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a positive return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).