NZ - Avondale - Race 2

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

PORTLAND (1) hit her straps at the end of her last campaign, winning just over 2 months ago by nearly a length at Whanganui. She would have maintained her residual fitness, and dropping back to 6f with a 4lbs claim ensures that she is well placed to take this out, especially from the pole position. GIN AND BARE IT (3) built her form strongly to score an impressive all-the-way win at Arawa Park 2 weeks ago by nearly 3 lengths. She carries the same weight in this, and she can repeat the dose. ELITE CHOICE (2) franked her good trial form with an impressive fresh-up win at Pukekohe 3 weeks ago. She obviously revels on wet ground, and she should go close again. Stick with her. CONFECTIONIST (5) was only beaten by a short head at Tauranga nearly 7-weeks ago, and even though the gap between starts is a query for us, she is still capable of another top 3 finish here. SHE'S A BOSS (4) did not have much joy in a good field at Ellerslie last start, but she is still worth including in this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Filly back from a spell of nine weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign by 0.8 len Wanganui May 10 over 6 ¾f slow track defeating The Dirty Dee carrying 127lbs at $5.70. When resuming last campaign third of 7 at Pukekohe October 29 over 6f, in the wet, 0.8 len behind Poppa Dennis carrying 120lbs at $3. Looks the testing material. 1st Pick 1 Portland Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Jack Taplin T: Stephen Marsh	75	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Filly back from a spell of nine weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign by 0.8 len Wanganui May 10 over 6 ¾f slow track defeating The Dirty Dee carrying 127lbs at $5.70. When resuming last campaign third of 7 at Pukekohe October 29 over 6f, in the wet, 0.8 len behind Poppa Dennis carrying 120lbs at $3. Looks the testing material.
3	Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by 3 len at Arawa Park July 1 over 6f in the wet defeating Whatz Done Is Done with 120lbs at $2.20. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Lumbridge Castle with 118lbs at $6. Will prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 3 Gin And Bare It Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Kylie Fawcett J: Hayley Hassman T: Kylie Fawcett	105	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by 3 len at Arawa Park July 1 over 6f in the wet defeating Whatz Done Is Done with 120lbs at $2.20. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Lumbridge Castle with 118lbs at $6. Will prove hard to beat.
2	Second-up. First-up after seven months won by 1.5 len at Pukekohe June 24 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Sombr carrying 114lbs at $7.70. Previously second-up got back early 12th of 15 at this track on November 6 over 7f, slow going 13 len behind Road To Paris carrying 119lbs at $24.50. Shows promise and can figure in the finish again. 3rd Pick 2 Elite Choice Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: Jenna Mahoney J: Tom Wigram T: Jenna Mahoney	95	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months won by 1.5 len at Pukekohe June 24 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Sombr carrying 114lbs at $7.70. Previously second-up got back early 12th of 15 at this track on November 6 over 7f, slow going 13 len behind Road To Paris carrying 119lbs at $24.50. Shows promise and can figure in the finish again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).