NZ - Avondale - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

9.7K

VIEW

Verdict

PETITE ROCHER (5) got a long way back at Matamata last time out and put the writing on the wall when finishing on too late into second-place. Michael McNab replaces an apprentice, and with a more positive ride early on here, she can go one better. CAMILA (7) had plenty of trial experience before finishing seventh on debut at Matamata when needing the run. She is bred to improve with racing, and may be better off over 6f while she strengthens up. Stick with her. FOO FOO (1) has won his last couple of trials very easily, including his latest on this track, which is an advantage, and from a good gate, he will be ready to rumble. ETUPIRKA (8) has only been fair in each of her runs to date, and her trial form prior suggests that she can improve sharply third up in this. Include. GOLDEN POINT (2) makes his debut from the coveted pole position, and his trial form says he won't be a maiden for long. Check the market moves.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Dual acceptor. Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at Matamata on March 22 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Rioja carrying 119lbs at $3.30. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on March 6 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.1 len behind Arwen with 119lbs at $5.10. Sure to be tough to beat. 1st Pick 5 Petite Rocher Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	78	-	-	-	40%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 10 at Matamata on March 22 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Rioja carrying 119lbs at $3.30. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on March 6 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.1 len behind Arwen with 119lbs at $5.10. Sure to be tough to beat.
7	Dual acceptor. At debut, sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at Matamata on March 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Typhoon Lucy with 123lbs at $8.50. Sure to play a major role. 2nd Pick 7 Camila Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Non Runner T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	68	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. At debut, sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at Matamata on March 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Typhoon Lucy with 123lbs at $8.50. Sure to play a major role.
1	Alex Forbes trained three-year-old gelding lining up for first race start. Won a recent trial at Avondale. Inside barrier will assist chances. Beautifully drawn and looks primed to play a major role. 3rd Pick 1 Foo Foo Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Alex Forbes J: Craig Grylls T: Alex Forbes	37	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Alex Forbes trained three-year-old gelding lining up for first race start. Won a recent trial at Avondale. Inside barrier will assist chances. Beautifully drawn and looks primed to play a major role.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

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