NZ - Avondale - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.4f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

HEAVENLY LADY (6) will be backing up quickly from a last start second at Tauranga on Sunday, and if she starts, then she is the one to beat. TEAMS (1) has recently changed stables, and his form on heavy tracks has been sound enough for a race like this. He can take this out. JANKA (2) has improved in each of his 2 starts this prep, and he is meeting a very modest lineup here. Nick Smith is a jockey to follow in the amateur grade, and the pair merits healthy respect. SIDETRACK (4) has recently joined the Caitlin McKee stable and has been given plenty of time to mature before making his debut. Use the market as the best guide. ZEE HEIGHTS (5) has been hurdling recently, and won't lack fitness, so if the track is really testing, he can plod his way into the top 4 again. SACRED SIN (3) has been running on late in his last couple of starts over a mile, and he should relish getting out to a middle distance for the first time in his career. Can win.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start 2nd in a small field at Tauranga on July 12 over 1 5/16m, on a wet track, 4 len behind King Cabal carrying 120lbs at $2.80. The race before that got back early 9th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 3 len behind Diva Kingdom carrying 120lbs at $23.80. Can improve again. Expected in the finish. 1st Pick 6 Heavenly Lady Jockey: Scott Macnab Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Scott Macnab T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	97	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start 2nd in a small field at Tauranga on July 12 over 1 5/16m, on a wet track, 4 len behind King Cabal carrying 120lbs at $2.80. The race before that got back early 9th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 3 len behind Diva Kingdom carrying 120lbs at $23.80. Can improve again. Expected in the finish.
1	At the latest run came from midfield, 4th of 14 at Te Aroha on June 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Mobilized carrying 129lbs at $10.30. The start before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on June 12 over 1m, on heavy track, 5 len behind Bridie carrying 125lbs at $16.90. Terrific chance to return to form. 2nd Pick 1 Teams Jockey: Skye Du Plessis Trainer: Dean Wiles J: Skye Du Plessis T: Dean Wiles	75	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run came from midfield, 4th of 14 at Te Aroha on June 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Mobilized carrying 129lbs at $10.30. The start before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on June 12 over 1m, on heavy track, 5 len behind Bridie carrying 125lbs at $16.90. Terrific chance to return to form.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Te Aroha on June 21 over 7f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Sugar Daddy with 129lbs at $41.50. Last start 7th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Diva Kingdom with 129lbs at $18.20. Certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 2 Janka Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shelley Wright J: Non Runner T: Shelley Wright	118	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Te Aroha on June 21 over 7f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Sugar Daddy with 129lbs at $41.50. Last start 7th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Diva Kingdom with 129lbs at $18.20. Certainly worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.