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6:17 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 7

Harness
10 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BAIL DENIED (3) has been racing well of late and has the hoof on the till after back-to-back seconds. Came from wider at his latest appearance at this circuit and distance, beaten 1.8 metres. Likely to get the favours from this nice draw. Big chance. ULTIMATE ARK (6) boxed on for fourth in the Sunshine Stars Yearling Sales Classic last week. That added to a series of solid efforts at this venue. This is winnable. IDEAL DESIRE (2) worked and faded out last time but had some good form prior and draws to advantage so is worth another chance. The ace draw gives THE TORQUE EFFECT (1) every chance to show her best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Bail Denied silk

Solid run when beaten by 1.75 m finishing second behind Rock It Baby at Redcliffe over 1 ยน/16m in a NR 43 to 47 on November 16 at $4. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.75 m finishing second after being driven well back, behind Captain Nemo at this track over 1 m in a NR 47 to 51 on November 20 at $9.50. Close to a win.

1st Pick
3

Bail Denied

Jockey: Chloe Butler

Trainer: Jack Butler

J: Chloe Butler

T: Jack Butler

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Solid run when beaten by 1.75 m finishing second behind Rock It Baby at Redcliffe over 1 ยน/16m in a NR 43 to 47 on November 16 at $4. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.75 m finishing second after being driven well back, behind Captain Nemo at this track over 1 m in a NR 47 to 51 on November 20 at $9.50. Close to a win.

6
Ultimate Ark silk

Last start 4th (Fr3) over 1 m at this track beaten 7 m by Fight To The End (1:56.40) in 3yo No NR CG on November 21 at $21. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr3) over 1 m at this track, beaten 7 m by Fight To The End (1:58.80) in 3yo No NR CG on November 7 at $2.25. Expected to play a major role.

2nd Pick
6

Ultimate Ark

Jockey: Grant Dixon

Trainer: Grant Dixon

J: Grant Dixon

T: Grant Dixon

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr3) over 1 m at this track beaten 7 m by Fight To The End (1:56.40) in 3yo No NR CG on November 21 at $21. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr3) over 1 m at this track, beaten 7 m by Fight To The End (1:58.80) in 3yo No NR CG on November 7 at $2.25. Expected to play a major role.

2
Ideal Desire silk

Gave plenty of ground last start when well beaten into ninth behind Son Of The Shark at this track over 1 m in a NR 47 to 51 on November 20 at $41. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 2nd (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 16 m by Rock Hammer (2:31.60) in NR 47 to 51 on November 14 at $26. Draws for a good showing.

3rd Pick
2

Ideal Desire

Jockey: Layne Dwyer

Trainer: Graham Dwyer

J: Layne Dwyer

T: Graham Dwyer

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Gave plenty of ground last start when well beaten into ninth behind Son Of The Shark at this track over 1 m in a NR 47 to 51 on November 20 at $41. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 2nd (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 16 m by Rock Hammer (2:31.60) in NR 47 to 51 on November 14 at $26. Draws for a good showing.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.