AU2 - Albion Park - Race 7

Harness

12 Runners

10.6f

Unknown

Synthetic

5.4K

VIEW

Verdict

LLANFAIR LLEWELLAN (1) made it two wins from his last three outings at this circuit when he came from this same barrier to get home by 6.3m last week. Yet to win at this longer distance but is in form and suited by the inside draw again. BURNS BAY (4) is hard to knock having recorded two wins and two placings from his last four starts, three of those coming from back row draws. BRACKEN WARRIOR (5) only beat one home last start but had a string of good efforts prior so is capable of better. ITS BACK PAGE NEWS (11) worked but dug deep to get home by 2.3m at this circuit and distance last time. Tricky draw but can feature again with luck. SPORTS BOUNTY (2) draws for a good showing.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing consistently. Last start won a big 6 m win as favourite (Fr1) at this track (1:56.30) beating Imani in 3yo+ NR 43 to 50 on January 13 at $2.40. Has an inside draw and may prove tough to beat again. 1st Pick 1 Llanfair Llewellan Jockey: Tom Callaghan Trainer: Ron Sallis J: Tom Callaghan T: Ron Sallis	77	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Racing consistently. Last start won a big 6 m win as favourite (Fr1) at this track (1:56.30) beating Imani in 3yo+ NR 43 to 50 on January 13 at $2.40. Has an inside draw and may prove tough to beat again.
4	Last start good run when 2nd (Sr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 2.75 m by Much Bettor (1:57.20) in 3yo+ NR 43 to 50 on January 13 at $13. Two runs back won by 2 m (Sr2) at this track (2:36.00) beating Malibu Dream in 3yo+ NR 40 to 45 on January 2 at $7.50. Decent effort last start. Top contender. 2nd Pick 4 Burns Bay Jockey: Taleah Mcmullen Trainer: A S Cargill J: Taleah Mcmullen T: A S Cargill	65	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Last start good run when 2nd (Sr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 2.75 m by Much Bettor (1:57.20) in 3yo+ NR 43 to 50 on January 13 at $13. Two runs back won by 2 m (Sr2) at this track (2:36.00) beating Malibu Dream in 3yo+ NR 40 to 45 on January 2 at $7.50. Decent effort last start. Top contender.
5	Last start was well beaten into eighth behind Llanfair Llewellan at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ NR 43 to 50 on January 13 at $4.20. Performed better the start before with a game effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 m at this track beaten 6 m by Miss Bay King Cole (1:58.10) in 3yo+ NR up to 48 on January 6 at $14. Better run anticipated this time. 3rd Pick 5 Bracken Warrior Jockey: Pete Mcmullen Trainer: Melissa Gillies J: Pete Mcmullen T: Melissa Gillies	72	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start was well beaten into eighth behind Llanfair Llewellan at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ NR 43 to 50 on January 13 at $4.20. Performed better the start before with a game effort when 2nd (Fr7) over 1 m at this track beaten 6 m by Miss Bay King Cole (1:58.10) in 3yo+ NR up to 48 on January 6 at $14. Better run anticipated this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.