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6:38 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 7

Harness
12 Runners
10.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ASCOT SHOWTIME (4) returned to winning form when getting home by more than 8 metres last time, taking her record at this circuit and distance to three from five. Likely to get the favours from another nice draw so could salute again. LUKA DONCIC (9) has been racing well and put the writing last week when he finished second, beaten a nose. Tougher draw but came from this barrier to miss by just a head here last month. TAKE A CHANCE (3) produced a better effort last time out when he came from the back row to be beaten less than 3m into third. Should run a big race from a better draw. BURNS BAY (2) scored from the back line last time so is worth thought from this draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Ascot Showtime silk

Last start won by 8 m as favourite (Fr2) at this track (2:34.00) beating Amillionchances in 3yo+ on June 23 at $1.80. Draws well so has winning claims again.

1st Pick
4

Ascot Showtime

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Ricky Gordon

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Ricky Gordon

77---45%5/4

Analysis

Last start won by 8 m as favourite (Fr2) at this track (2:34.00) beating Amillionchances in 3yo+ on June 23 at $1.80. Draws well so has winning claims again.

9
Luka Doncic silk

Two back was beaten by 9 m finishing fourth behind Ascot Showtime at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on June 23 at $6.50. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Taylors Four at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ on June 30 at $1.33. Continues to race well and he is right in this.

2nd Pick
9

Luka Doncic

Jockey: Leonard Cain

Trainer: Jack Butler

J: Leonard Cain

T: Jack Butler

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 9 m finishing fourth behind Ascot Showtime at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on June 23 at $6.50. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Taylors Four at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ on June 30 at $1.33. Continues to race well and he is right in this.

3
Take A Chance silk

Improved last start with a good run when 3rd (Sr2) over 1 m at this track, beaten 3 m by Taylors Four (1:59.00) in 3yo+ on June 30 at $12. Draws for a strong showing.

3rd Pick
3

Take A Chance

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: Jonah Hutchinson

J: Nathan Dawson

T: Jonah Hutchinson

72---13%7/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 3rd (Sr2) over 1 m at this track, beaten 3 m by Taylors Four (1:59.00) in 3yo+ on June 30 at $12. Draws for a strong showing.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.