AU2 - Mildura - Race 7

Harness

10 Runners

10.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

3.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CAPTAIN PAPRIKA (6) settled handy then found the lead only to weaken in the straight and finish fourth last start over 1 5/16m at this track, the second miss in a row after winning at this track three runs back. Has the talent to find the winners' list. THE LADYBIRD (3) turned in a poor effort by her standards most recently when 13 metres away in seventh over 1 m at Shepparton. Form prior to that had been solid. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. The recent run not a true indication. Good enough to win a race of this calibre. DAYLIGHT (8) can secure a cosy run early on, an he is the next best after finishing runner-up over 1 ¹/16m at this track last time out. PUNTO CALIENTE (5) is worth some thought despite his last-start seventh over 1 ¹/16m at this track on July 31. Include in all top 4 combos at a decent price.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start 4th (Fr4) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at this track was leading by 1.1 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Itz Blackjack (2:45.00) on July 31 at $6. Before that, 5th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at this track was leading by 0.6 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Just Incredible (2:14.20) on July 17 at $5. Hard to go past on best form. 1st Pick 6 Captain Paprika Jockey: Luke Sutherland Trainer: N Kerr J: Luke Sutherland T: N Kerr	77	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr4) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at this track was leading by 1.1 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Itz Blackjack (2:45.00) on July 31 at $6. Before that, 5th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at this track was leading by 0.6 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Just Incredible (2:14.20) on July 17 at $5. Hard to go past on best form.
3	Last start 7th (Fr4) over 1 m at Shepparton was 7th-12.33 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Mammals Reason (2:04.70) on July 28 at $4. Before that, was well back in the run when 4th (Fr5) over 1 m at Shepparton was 8th-13.77 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Iamawingate (2:04.00) on July 21 at $7.50. Nicely drawn and can bounce back. 2nd Pick 3 The Ladybird Jockey: Ellen Tormey Trainer: John Tormey J: Ellen Tormey T: John Tormey	75	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 7th (Fr4) over 1 m at Shepparton was 7th-12.33 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Mammals Reason (2:04.70) on July 28 at $4. Before that, was well back in the run when 4th (Fr5) over 1 m at Shepparton was 8th-13.77 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Iamawingate (2:04.00) on July 21 at $7.50. Nicely drawn and can bounce back.
8	Last start game effort when 2nd (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 8th-14.4 beaten 7 m by Sneaky Philtra (2:13.70) on July 31 at $7. Two runs back came from midfield and won by 19 m (Sr3) at this track (2:45.90) beating Punto Caliente in on July 17 at $6.50 at the bell was 2nd-1.4. Rates highly. Expected to go well despite the second row draw. 3rd Pick 8 Daylight Jockey: Corey Johnson Trainer: F P Posgate J: Corey Johnson T: F P Posgate	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start game effort when 2nd (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 8th-14.4 beaten 7 m by Sneaky Philtra (2:13.70) on July 31 at $7. Two runs back came from midfield and won by 19 m (Sr3) at this track (2:45.90) beating Punto Caliente in on July 17 at $6.50 at the bell was 2nd-1.4. Rates highly. Expected to go well despite the second row draw.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.