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6:18 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 7

Harness
10 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HOT DEAL (9) finished fifth last start, beaten 14 metres at this track over 1 ¹/16m. Draws out a little on the second line and may need luck at some point. Leading hope in this comparable race. SANTA CASA BEACH (8) made it two wins on the bounce at his latest appearance over 1 5/16m here, scoring by 1.75 metres after taking charge a long way from home. Won't find this any harder and he can take care of this line-up. MY ULTIMATE JIMMY (5) is usually thereabouts and looks a strong winning hope this time following a last-start fifth at Charlton. Rarely lets backers down. PRIORITISE (6) is the next elect off a last-start win by 10 metres at this venue over 1 ¹/16m when fresh from a spell. Strips even fitter now.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Hot Deal silk

Last start 5th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 8th-15.6 beaten 14 m by Prioritise (2:09.50) in NR 65 or better on March 20 at $2.60. At the previous start 6th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track was 5th-11.4 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Santa Casa Beach (2:40.70) in NR 67 or better on March 10 at $2.70. Worth another chance. Capable of a lot more.

1st Pick
9

Hot Deal

Jockey: Luke Sutherland

Trainer: Aaron Dunn

J: Luke Sutherland

T: Aaron Dunn

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 5th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 8th-15.6 beaten 14 m by Prioritise (2:09.50) in NR 65 or better on March 20 at $2.60. At the previous start 6th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track was 5th-11.4 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Santa Casa Beach (2:40.70) in NR 67 or better on March 10 at $2.70. Worth another chance. Capable of a lot more.

8
Santa Casa Beach silk

Nine-year-old gelding is racing in fine form. Won his last two outings at this track both over 1 5/16m. Last start won by 1.75 m when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (2:40.70) beating My Ultimate Jimmy in NR 67 or better on March 10 at $5 at the bell was leading 2.4. Can win with even luck.

2nd Pick
8

Santa Casa Beach

Jockey: Connor Clarke

Trainer: D K Wills

J: Connor Clarke

T: D K Wills

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Nine-year-old gelding is racing in fine form. Won his last two outings at this track both over 1 5/16m. Last start won by 1.75 m when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (2:40.70) beating My Ultimate Jimmy in NR 67 or better on March 10 at $5 at the bell was leading 2.4. Can win with even luck.

5
My Ultimate Jimmy silk

Last start was fifth after showing early speed, behind Miki To Success at Charlton over 1/16m in a No NR on March 15 at $34. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort despite getting well back, when 2nd (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at this track was 2nd-2.4 at the bell, beaten 1.75 m by Santa Casa Beach (2:40.70) in NR 67 or better on March 10 at $2.40. Well placed and expected to bounce back.

3rd Pick
5

My Ultimate Jimmy

Jockey: Alex Ashwood

Trainer: A P Vozlic

J: Alex Ashwood

T: A P Vozlic

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Last start was fifth after showing early speed, behind Miki To Success at Charlton over 1/16m in a No NR on March 15 at $34. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort despite getting well back, when 2nd (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at this track was 2nd-2.4 at the bell, beaten 1.75 m by Santa Casa Beach (2:40.70) in NR 67 or better on March 10 at $2.40. Well placed and expected to bounce back.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.