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6:17 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 5

Harness
10 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OCTOBER RACKETEER (4) led and faded last time but that was in a higher-graded race than this. Big effort when he raced wide from a back row draw before going on to score at Marburg the run before. Worth another chance. POCKET BOOK (2) has had a series of wide or second line draws since recording back-to-back seconds at this circuit and distance last month. Should get her chance from this more favourable barrier. HARRY KANE (3) drops in grade off the latest attempt and had a couple of second line barriers prior so is on the radar from this nice draw. KINGSBURY (9) could measure up in a race like this with even luck from the second line.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Harry Kane silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 6th (Fr2) over 1 m at this track was 6th-8.07 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Mighty Ideal (1:57.30) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $2.70. The run before 6th (Sr3) over 1 m at this track was 6th-25.37 at the bell, beaten 16 m by Sports Bounty (1:57.80) in 3yo+ on October 6 at $9. Anticipating a much better performance this time.

1st Pick
3

Harry Kane

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: N T Rothwell

J: Unknown Jockey

T: N T Rothwell

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 6th (Fr2) over 1 m at this track was 6th-8.07 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Mighty Ideal (1:57.30) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $2.70. The run before 6th (Sr3) over 1 m at this track was 6th-25.37 at the bell, beaten 16 m by Sports Bounty (1:57.80) in 3yo+ on October 6 at $9. Anticipating a much better performance this time.

2
Pocket Book silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 7th (Sr4) over 1 5/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-14.95 beaten 13 m by Rocky Leigh (2:35.80) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $4.80. The run before was driven from back in the field when 7th (Fr7) over 1 m after being wide early at this track, at the bell was 7th-23.12 beaten 17 m by Sports Bounty (1:57.80) in 3yo+ on October 6 at $21. Nicely placed to return to form.

2nd Pick
2

Pocket Book

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: Richard Hutchinson

J: Nathan Dawson

T: Richard Hutchinson

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 7th (Sr4) over 1 5/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-14.95 beaten 13 m by Rocky Leigh (2:35.80) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $4.80. The run before was driven from back in the field when 7th (Fr7) over 1 m after being wide early at this track, at the bell was 7th-23.12 beaten 17 m by Sports Bounty (1:57.80) in 3yo+ on October 6 at $21. Nicely placed to return to form.

1
Dougs Tribe silk

Last start 10th (Fr4) over 1 m after being wide early at this track beaten 25 m by Mighty Ideal (1:57.90) in 3yo+ on September 22 at $4.60. At the start before 7th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track, beaten 55 m by Ubetonred (1:57.00) in 3yo+ on September 15 at $3. Can do a lot better.

3rd Pick
1

Dougs Tribe

Jockey: Bryse Mcelhinney

Trainer: Bryse Mcelhinney

J: Bryse Mcelhinney

T: Bryse Mcelhinney

72---10%10/1

Analysis

Last start 10th (Fr4) over 1 m after being wide early at this track beaten 25 m by Mighty Ideal (1:57.90) in 3yo+ on September 22 at $4.60. At the start before 7th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track, beaten 55 m by Ubetonred (1:57.00) in 3yo+ on September 15 at $3. Can do a lot better.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.