AU2 - Newcastle - Race 5

Harness

12 Runners

10.1f

Unknown

Synthetic

9.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Expect GROSSO NASO (4) to be improved his resuming effort. He was in good form last campaign, heading to the paddock with three wins from his last four outings. He'll enjoy the step up to a distance whet he strikes at 50 per cent so this looks more a suitable assignment. CAPTAIN GROOVE (10) made it three wins in a row at this circuit when he led led to score by 1.7 metres last star. Starts from the back row today but won from there two back. Could take this next step. SENSATIONALIZE (2) is back from a let-up but has trialled nicely. Draws well and will relish the return to a circuit where she has yet to miss the top-three in nine attempts including three wins. KISSMELVIS (9) won from this barrier three back at Penrith and has finished runner-up in both starts from this line here since. Go well again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resumed when beaten 12 m eighth behind Laceys Lad over 1m in a NR up to 80 on November 7. Confident of improvement on the first-up effort. 1st Pick 4 Grosso Naso Jockey: Blake Hughes Trainer: Anthony Missen J: Blake Hughes T: Anthony Missen	77	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Resumed when beaten 12 m eighth behind Laceys Lad over 1m in a NR up to 80 on November 7. Confident of improvement on the first-up effort.
10	Brings the right form to the table. Won by 1.75 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr1) at this track (1:53.40) beating Kissmelvis in NR up to 53 on November 7 at $1.80 at the bell was leading 5.82. Two runs back won by 1.4 m (Sr1) at this track (1:55.30) beating Spunkys Gotsecrets in NR up to 53 on October 31 at $9.50. Definite winning chance. 2nd Pick 10 Captain Groove Jockey: Brad Elder Trainer: Darren Elder J: Brad Elder T: Darren Elder	76	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Brings the right form to the table. Won by 1.75 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr1) at this track (1:53.40) beating Kissmelvis in NR up to 53 on November 7 at $1.80 at the bell was leading 5.82. Two runs back won by 1.4 m (Sr1) at this track (1:55.30) beating Spunkys Gotsecrets in NR up to 53 on October 31 at $9.50. Definite winning chance.
2	Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 7th (Fr1) over 1m at Menangle beaten 14 m by Namaka (1:51.70) in 3yo No NR F on October 7 at $11. The run previous 10th (Fr8) over 1m after being wide early at Menangle beaten 35 m by Heeza Malteeza (1:52.50) in NR up to 60 on September 29 at $10. Good enough to turn things around. 3rd Pick 2 Sensationalize Jockey: Robert Morris Trainer: Keith Mcdeed J: Robert Morris T: Keith Mcdeed	75	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 7th (Fr1) over 1m at Menangle beaten 14 m by Namaka (1:51.70) in 3yo No NR F on October 7 at $11. The run previous 10th (Fr8) over 1m after being wide early at Menangle beaten 35 m by Heeza Malteeza (1:52.50) in NR up to 60 on September 29 at $10. Good enough to turn things around.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.