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6:20 AM

AU2 - Tamworth - Race 5

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LEAVE IT TO LUCY (5) is in the mix following a fifth at her most recent appearance over 1 5/16m at Penrith. JACKS FYRE (3) ran fourth last start at this track over 1m, beaten 11 metres. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Has the talent to take this out. DOUGS RULES (7) made it two minor placings on the trot last start when she led and battled on well but found one better at this track over 1 ³/16m. Gets a soft run on the inside of the second line but may need luck at some point. Primary contender based on those recent efforts. NIGHT TO REMEMBER (9) finished second two runs back then was brave in defeat to finish third despite breaking last start over 1 ³/16m at this track. Hard to know where she gets from this slightly awkward draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Leave It To Lucy silk

Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at Penrith, at the bell was 2nd-1.92 beaten 10 m by Smokescreen (2:35.20) on July 30 at $3.60. At her previous start game effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at Penrith, at the bell was 5th-9.26 beaten 2.75 m by My Ultimate Buddha (2:04.40) on July 23 at $9. Can feature in the finish.

1st Pick
5

Leave It To Lucy

Jockey: Tom Ison

Trainer: Tom Ison

J: Tom Ison

T: Tom Ison

74---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at Penrith, at the bell was 2nd-1.92 beaten 10 m by Smokescreen (2:35.20) on July 30 at $3.60. At her previous start game effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at Penrith, at the bell was 5th-9.26 beaten 2.75 m by My Ultimate Buddha (2:04.40) on July 23 at $9. Can feature in the finish.

3
Jacks Fyre silk

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was leading 0.14 beaten 11 m by Avenger (1:56.70) on July 30 at $1.65. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Sr2) over 1m at this track was 4th-5.75 at the bell, beaten 1.75 m by Lachies Ideal (1:57.60) on July 23 at $4.80. Capable of playing a major role.

2nd Pick
3

Jacks Fyre

Jockey: D A Chapple

Trainer: D A Chapple

J: D A Chapple

T: D A Chapple

77---31%9/4

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was leading 0.14 beaten 11 m by Avenger (1:56.70) on July 30 at $1.65. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Sr2) over 1m at this track was 4th-5.75 at the bell, beaten 1.75 m by Lachies Ideal (1:57.60) on July 23 at $4.80. Capable of playing a major role.

7
Dougs Rules silk

Solid run when a close second after being driven well back, after showing early speed, behind Gotonebettor at this track over 1m on July 23 at $4. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Ozzie Pearl at this track over 1 ³/16m on July 30 at $1.75. Leading contender.

3rd Pick
7

Dougs Rules

Jockey: Blake Hughes

Trainer: Brendan James

J: Blake Hughes

T: Brendan James

76---31%9/4

Analysis

Solid run when a close second after being driven well back, after showing early speed, behind Gotonebettor at this track over 1m on July 23 at $4. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Ozzie Pearl at this track over 1 ³/16m on July 30 at $1.75. Leading contender.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.