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5:33 AM

AU2 - Tamworth - Race 5

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LIMOUSINE CHEEKY (1) has had tough barriers in the last two outings at Newcastle but will relish the ace draw having led from there when winning at this circuit and distance two back. Could be hard to catch. ANTETOKOUNMPO (9) broke as favourite last start so he'll need to get this right but has strong claims off his placing from this row at Newcastle thee back. PHAR LUME (7) won over this distance the last time she raced here last month. Draws for a trail and could be dangerous if she gets the gaps. ADRENALINE RUSH (4) has claims off her second here two starts back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Limousine Cheeky silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 10th (Sr1) over 1 ¼m at Newcastle was 8th-19.1 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Chogi (2:26.70) on June 26 at $41. The run previous 9th (Fr6) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle, beaten 45 m by Coral Cays (1:54.50) in 4yo+ on June 19 at $71. Good enough to make amends in this line-up.

1st Pick
1

Limousine Cheeky

Jockey: Michael Formosa

Trainer: Michael Formosa

J: Michael Formosa

T: Michael Formosa

77---40%6/4

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 10th (Sr1) over 1 ¼m at Newcastle was 8th-19.1 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Chogi (2:26.70) on June 26 at $41. The run previous 9th (Fr6) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle, beaten 45 m by Coral Cays (1:54.50) in 4yo+ on June 19 at $71. Good enough to make amends in this line-up.

9
Antetokounmpo silk

Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 9th (Fr4) over 1m after showing early pace at this track was 9th-16.07 at the bell, beaten 16 m by Next To Me (1:58.10) on June 11 at $2.10. At the previous start broke in score up and was out of position at the start 10th (Fr2) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 8th-15.89 beaten 18 m by Frankiromar (1:52.40) in 4yo+ on June 6 at $7.50. Nicely placed to find a bit of form.

2nd Pick
9

Antetokounmpo

Jockey: Brad Elder

Trainer: Darren Elder

J: Brad Elder

T: Darren Elder

76---31%9/4

Analysis

Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 9th (Fr4) over 1m after showing early pace at this track was 9th-16.07 at the bell, beaten 16 m by Next To Me (1:58.10) on June 11 at $2.10. At the previous start broke in score up and was out of position at the start 10th (Fr2) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 8th-15.89 beaten 18 m by Frankiromar (1:52.40) in 4yo+ on June 6 at $7.50. Nicely placed to find a bit of form.

7
Phar Lume silk

Failed to impress last start, was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr7) over 1m at Newcastle, at the bell was 10th-20.73 beaten 16 m by Lady Deloris (1:57.20) on June 29 at $8. Showed ability the race before when she posted a big 5.5 m win as favourite when quickly away, (Fr2) at this track (1:57.90) beating Cinnamon in on June 25 at $1.35 at the bell was 2nd-3.55. Sure to be about the mark.

3rd Pick
7

Phar Lume

Jockey: Grace Panella

Trainer: Grace Panella

J: Grace Panella

T: Grace Panella

72---12%8/1

Analysis

Failed to impress last start, was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr7) over 1m at Newcastle, at the bell was 10th-20.73 beaten 16 m by Lady Deloris (1:57.20) on June 29 at $8. Showed ability the race before when she posted a big 5.5 m win as favourite when quickly away, (Fr2) at this track (1:57.90) beating Cinnamon in on June 25 at $1.35 at the bell was 2nd-3.55. Sure to be about the mark.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.