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5:03 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 3

Harness
6 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FORTY LOVE (4) was responsible for a very good effort last time over 1 5/16m at this track, finishing third and just 1.2 metres from the winner. Meets a similar line up and he can take this out. HOT DEAL (6) form has been hard to fault since returning from a spell. Finished second at his latest appearance over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 1.1 metres, on the back of a first-up win at Horsham. Leading hope based on those recent efforts. DON LOU (5) is hard to overlook after scoring first-up last start by 1.1 metres at this track over 1 5/16m. MAXY WANTS TO PLAY (1) was not a factor last start but will be ready to peak third-up from a spell from a nice draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Forty Love silk

Two back was well beaten into eighth after being driven well back, behind Oliver Dan at Melton over 1m on June 6 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.2 m finishing third behind Don Lou at this track over 1 5/16m on August 7 at $1.95. Hard to beat.

1st Pick
4

Forty Love

Jockey: Aaron Dunn

Trainer: Aaron Dunn

J: Aaron Dunn

T: Aaron Dunn

77---50%1/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into eighth after being driven well back, behind Oliver Dan at Melton over 1m on June 6 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.2 m finishing third behind Don Lou at this track over 1 5/16m on August 7 at $1.95. Hard to beat.

6
Hot Deal silk

Back in form at the last couple of outings, two starts back ran on strong from last on the turn and posted a big 3.5 m win when driven back in the field, (Fr6) held up early, at Horsham (2:01.60) beating Ultimate Vinnie in on July 27 at $10 at the bell was 6th-11.1. Last start just missed, solid effort when 2nd (Fr3) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was 4th-6.2 beaten 1.1 m by Don Lou (2:38.40) on August 7 at $3.20. Will be right in the thick of things.

2nd Pick
6

Hot Deal

Jockey: Corey Johnson

Trainer: Aaron Dunn

J: Corey Johnson

T: Aaron Dunn

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Back in form at the last couple of outings, two starts back ran on strong from last on the turn and posted a big 3.5 m win when driven back in the field, (Fr6) held up early, at Horsham (2:01.60) beating Ultimate Vinnie in on July 27 at $10 at the bell was 6th-11.1. Last start just missed, solid effort when 2nd (Fr3) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was 4th-6.2 beaten 1.1 m by Don Lou (2:38.40) on August 7 at $3.20. Will be right in the thick of things.

5
Don Lou silk

Comes here in the right form. Won by 1.1 m when driven back in the field, (Fr5) held up early, at this track (2:38.40) beating Hot Deal in on August 7 at $13 at the bell was 6th-10.2. Two runs back 12th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after racing wide at Albion Park beaten 25 m by Mullum Hank (2:33.00) on January 24 at $34. Solid top-three prospects.

3rd Pick
5

Don Lou

Jockey: Luke Dunne

Trainer: T J Hutchins

J: Luke Dunne

T: T J Hutchins

74---19%9/2

Analysis

Comes here in the right form. Won by 1.1 m when driven back in the field, (Fr5) held up early, at this track (2:38.40) beating Hot Deal in on August 7 at $13 at the bell was 6th-10.2. Two runs back 12th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after racing wide at Albion Park beaten 25 m by Mullum Hank (2:33.00) on January 24 at $34. Solid top-three prospects.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.