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4:42 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 3

Harness
9 Runners
10.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ALDEBARAN SUE (8) made a decent return after seven months when placed at this circuit last week. Switches to a standing start and comes off the mark but she'll strip fitter and owns a decent record at this distance. GAZ MAN (9) looks close to a win after recording back-to-back placings at this circuit and distance, coming from the back row and finishing a head from the winner in second last week. Has to overcome a ?f handicap but could break through here. LIZZIES SON (2) broke last time but has trialled nicely twice since and kicked off the campaign with back-to-back seconds. Race fit and should get his chance from the front mark. ITZ TRIXTON TIME (3) hasn't been too far away of late and could be competitive again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Aldebaran Sue silk

Having her second run back from a spell. Good run when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 8 m by Squamish (2:35.00) in 3yo+ on July 16 at $2.70. Fitter and is among the leading chances.

1st Pick
8

Aldebaran Sue

Jockey: Tayla French

Trainer: Keith Cotchin

J: Tayla French

T: Keith Cotchin

77---35%15/8

Analysis

Having her second run back from a spell. Good run when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 8 m by Squamish (2:35.00) in 3yo+ on July 16 at $2.70. Fitter and is among the leading chances.

9
Gaz Man silk

Good performance when beaten by 3.5 m finishing third behind Ourpetabilt at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on June 30 at $6.50. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Cascata at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on July 14 at $17. Working up to a win.

2nd Pick
9

Gaz Man

Jockey: Angus Garrard

Trainer: Richard Hutchinson

J: Angus Garrard

T: Richard Hutchinson

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Good performance when beaten by 3.5 m finishing third behind Ourpetabilt at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on June 30 at $6.50. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Cascata at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on July 14 at $17. Working up to a win.

2
Lizzies Son silk

Last start broke and was well beaten into ninth behind Iconic Image at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on June 23 at $11. Performed better the start before with a game effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at this track, beaten 22 m by Squamish (2:38.80) in 3yo+ on June 11 at $3.50. Trialling well since breaking last start so can bounce back.

3rd Pick
2

Lizzies Son

Jockey: Jack Harrington

Trainer: Don Brown

J: Jack Harrington

T: Don Brown

74---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start broke and was well beaten into ninth behind Iconic Image at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on June 23 at $11. Performed better the start before with a game effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at this track, beaten 22 m by Squamish (2:38.80) in 3yo+ on June 11 at $3.50. Trialling well since breaking last start so can bounce back.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.