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5:03 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 3

Harness
11 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
15.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CRUSEY (11) found one better two runs back then made mistakes last time when she broke and finished 35 metres back in fifth over 1 m at this track. Draws out a little on the second line and may need luck at some point. Needs to get it right to beat this field but she is up to the job. COBBITY CADENCE (1) produced a good effort at her latest run to get home by a narrow margin over 1 ยน/16m at Redcliffe on August 19. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Facing a tougher assignment but she is capable of running another big race. HARPER DELIGHT (10) cannot be ruled despite the tricky draw. Best efforts give her a definite winning chance. STRADDIE BABE (8) has been about the mark of late and must be respected, the latest offering a sound third at this circuit over 1 m. One for the exotics players.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Crusey silk

Last start was fifth behind Rebecca Rhayne Bow at this track over 1 m in a 2yo on August 11 at $2. Performed better the start before with a good run when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m at this track beaten 1.4 m by Sweet Leah Jane (1:57.40) in 2yo on August 1 at $1.50. Expected to be in the finish again.

1st Pick
11

Crusey

Jockey: Pete Mcmullen

Trainer: Chantal Turpin

J: Pete Mcmullen

T: Chantal Turpin

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Last start was fifth behind Rebecca Rhayne Bow at this track over 1 m in a 2yo on August 11 at $2. Performed better the start before with a good run when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m at this track beaten 1.4 m by Sweet Leah Jane (1:57.40) in 2yo on August 1 at $1.50. Expected to be in the finish again.

1
Cobbity Cadence silk

Last start won by 1.5 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr2) at Redcliffe (2:09.90) beating Divine Abundance in on August 19 at $2.15. Right in this contest.

2nd Pick
1

Cobbity Cadence

Jockey: Brendan Barnes

Trainer: Gemma Hewitt

J: Brendan Barnes

T: Gemma Hewitt

67---7%15/1

Analysis

Last start won by 1.5 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr2) at Redcliffe (2:09.90) beating Divine Abundance in on August 19 at $2.15. Right in this contest.

10
Harper Delight silk

Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1 m after showing early pace at this track beaten 3.5 m by Sweet Leah Jane (1:59.40) in 2yo on August 11 at $2.10. Before that, 6th (Fr1) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at this track beaten 10 m by Surreal Moran (2:34.90) on June 11 at $10. Genuine threat on her best form.

3rd Pick
10

Harper Delight

Jockey: Leonard Cain

Trainer: Jack Butler

J: Leonard Cain

T: Jack Butler

76---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1 m after showing early pace at this track beaten 3.5 m by Sweet Leah Jane (1:59.40) in 2yo on August 11 at $2.10. Before that, 6th (Fr1) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at this track beaten 10 m by Surreal Moran (2:34.90) on June 11 at $10. Genuine threat on her best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.