AU2 - Redcliffe - Race 3

Harness

9 Runners

8.8f

Unknown

Synthetic

3.2K

VIEW

Verdict

BEAU STEELE (4) was out of the money two back at Albion Park. Turned in a better run last time out when third over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 5.5 metres. Tackles a similar assignment and he can find winning ways. GHOST TRAIN (1) settled close to the pace and kept finding to finish third last start over 1 m at Albion Park, making it three minor placings from his past four starts. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Beautifully placed and is sure to be there at the finish again. PARTY CHANGER (6) is in the mix following a respectable third at his most recent appearance over 1 ¹/16m at this track. KEAYANG TARA (2) is better than her last-start ninth over 1 ¹/16m at this track. Include in combinations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Improved last start with a good run when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 3rd-10.21 beaten 5.5 m by Good Word That (2:16.00) in 3yo+ on October 25 at $2.90. Great chance to break through. 1st Pick 4 Beau Steele Jockey: Nathan Dawson Trainer: Lola Weidemann J: Nathan Dawson T: Lola Weidemann	77	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Improved last start with a good run when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 3rd-10.21 beaten 5.5 m by Good Word That (2:16.00) in 3yo+ on October 25 at $2.90. Great chance to break through.
1	Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr1) over 1 m after showing early speed at Albion Park was 3rd-4.33 at the bell, beaten 9 m by Major Slip Up (1:58.80) in 3yo+ on October 16 at $11. Rates highly. Has a low draw and will go well again. 2nd Pick 1 Ghost Train Jockey: Angus Garrard Trainer: Matt Crone J: Angus Garrard T: Matt Crone	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr1) over 1 m after showing early speed at Albion Park was 3rd-4.33 at the bell, beaten 9 m by Major Slip Up (1:58.80) in 3yo+ on October 16 at $11. Rates highly. Has a low draw and will go well again.
6	Two back was beaten by 9 m finishing eighth behind Galvarino at Marburg over 1m in a 3yo+ on October 5 at $17. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.25 m finishing third behind Major Ark at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on October 14 at $8. One of the key runners. 3rd Pick 6 Party Changer Jockey: Adam Richardson Trainer: Lola Weidemann J: Adam Richardson T: Lola Weidemann	75	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Two back was beaten by 9 m finishing eighth behind Galvarino at Marburg over 1m in a 3yo+ on October 5 at $17. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.25 m finishing third behind Major Ark at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 3yo+ on October 14 at $8. One of the key runners.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.