AU2 - Albion Park - Race 3

Harness

8 Runners

8.2f

Unknown

Synthetic

6.3K

VIEW

Verdict

SWEET ROCKY (7) drew on the back row and had no luck when held up in a higher-graded race last week. Runner-up in his previous three outings at this circuit and distance so has had the hoof on the till for a while. Draws wide but this suits. Primary contender with even luck. PUNTERS JEWEL (6) produced a decent performance last start, finishing fifth in a higher-graded event at this circuit and distance. Draws wider but looks a leading hope in this suitable race. MY ULTIMATE VICTOR (2) is another coming back in grade and should get his chance from this draw. BONNIES CAM (8) draws for a trail is in the mix after a second at this circuit and distance last week.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Last start broke in score up and was out of position at the start 7th (Sr2) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 7th-14.34 beaten 9 m by Barracuda (1:56.90) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $16. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 2nd-0.28 beaten 3 m by Amami (1:56.50) in 3yo+ on October 6 at $2.20. Drops in grade and has winning claims. 1st Pick 7 Sweet Rocky Jockey: Matt Elkins Trainer: Matt Elkins J: Matt Elkins T: Matt Elkins	77	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Last start broke in score up and was out of position at the start 7th (Sr2) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 7th-14.34 beaten 9 m by Barracuda (1:56.90) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $16. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 2nd-0.28 beaten 3 m by Amami (1:56.50) in 3yo+ on October 6 at $2.20. Drops in grade and has winning claims.
6	Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start was driven from back in the field when 5th (Fr4) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 5th-6.53 beaten 8 m by Barracuda (1:56.90) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $11. The run previous 8th (Sr4) over 1 ¼m at Redcliffe, at the bell was 8th-15.89 beaten 10 m by Our Ultimate Milly (2:29.00) in 3yo+ on October 7 at $7. Watch for a spike in form. 2nd Pick 6 Punters Jewel Jockey: Jack Chapple Trainer: Trent Moffat J: Jack Chapple T: Trent Moffat	76	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start was driven from back in the field when 5th (Fr4) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 5th-6.53 beaten 8 m by Barracuda (1:56.90) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $11. The run previous 8th (Sr4) over 1 ¼m at Redcliffe, at the bell was 8th-15.89 beaten 10 m by Our Ultimate Milly (2:29.00) in 3yo+ on October 7 at $7. Watch for a spike in form.
2	Last start 8th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 8th-9.09 beaten 9 m by Barracuda (1:56.90) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $17. At his previous start 5th (Sr2) over 1 m at this track was 5th-12.11 at the bell, beaten 3 m by Shez A Punter (1:57.90) in 3yo+ on October 6 at $18. Draws well and should play a big role. 3rd Pick 2 My Ultimate Victor Jockey: Will Rothwell Trainer: N T Rothwell J: Will Rothwell T: N T Rothwell	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 8th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 8th-9.09 beaten 9 m by Barracuda (1:56.90) in 3yo+ on October 13 at $17. At his previous start 5th (Sr2) over 1 m at this track was 5th-12.11 at the bell, beaten 3 m by Shez A Punter (1:57.90) in 3yo+ on October 6 at $18. Draws well and should play a big role.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.