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6:42 AM

AU2 - Menangle - Race 6

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CRUSADER MISS (1) enjoyed a class drop from a NSW Oaks heat when she worked from a wide barrier but toughed out a win at Newcastle last start. The ace draw gives her every chance to make it two on end. LETS TURN IT ON (9) looked good when returning from close to six months on the sidelines with a decisive win last time out at this circuit and distance, getting home by 12 metres. Must overcome a wider draw but could take the next step. WATCH YOUR BACK (4) has won a trial since fading out as favourite last time and placed in the previous two attempts here so is worth another chance. PARALLEL (3) had a tough draw in a Regional Championships heat last start. This suits better.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Crusader Miss silk

Last start won by a nose (Fr8) at Newcastle (1:55.20) beating Ultimate Diva in 2 WINs on May 12 at $2.80 at the bell was leading 0.28. In the right form and can score again.

1st Pick
1

Crusader Miss

Jockey: Ashleigh Delosa

Trainer: Rickie Alchin

J: Ashleigh Delosa

T: Rickie Alchin

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start won by a nose (Fr8) at Newcastle (1:55.20) beating Ultimate Diva in 2 WINs on May 12 at $2.80 at the bell was leading 0.28. In the right form and can score again.

9
Lets Turn It On silk

Last preparation only had 3 starts before going for a break. Returned to racing with a handy win by 12 m (Fr3) at this track (1:53.00) beating Bara Riley in 13yo+ LTW Also eligible 3yo+ NR50 on May 6 at $3.80 at the bell was leading 4.84. Hard to beat on the back of that excellent return last time.

2nd Pick
9

Lets Turn It On

Jockey: Will Rixon

Trainer: David Thorn

J: Will Rixon

T: David Thorn

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last preparation only had 3 starts before going for a break. Returned to racing with a handy win by 12 m (Fr3) at this track (1:53.00) beating Bara Riley in 13yo+ LTW Also eligible 3yo+ NR50 on May 6 at $3.80 at the bell was leading 4.84. Hard to beat on the back of that excellent return last time.

4
Watch Your Back silk

Last start was well beaten into ninth after a quick start, behind Lets Turn It On at this track over 1m in a 13yo+ LTW Also eligible 3yo+ NR50 on May 6 at $3.20. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr6) over 1m after showing early speed at this track was 2nd-4.5m on the pegs at the bell, beaten 10 m by Duty Of Care (1:53.20) in 13yo+ LTW Also eligible 3yo+ NR50 on April 29 at $7. Big run expected.

3rd Pick
4

Watch Your Back

Jockey: Zara Fitzpatrick

Trainer: R L Brown

J: Zara Fitzpatrick

T: R L Brown

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into ninth after a quick start, behind Lets Turn It On at this track over 1m in a 13yo+ LTW Also eligible 3yo+ NR50 on May 6 at $3.20. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr6) over 1m after showing early speed at this track was 2nd-4.5m on the pegs at the bell, beaten 10 m by Duty Of Care (1:53.20) in 13yo+ LTW Also eligible 3yo+ NR50 on April 29 at $7. Big run expected.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.