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4:33 AM

AU2 - Newcastle - Race 4

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PARALLEL (3) has been tackling stronger company and while outclassed last time at Menangle he was good when runner-up from the back row at Penrith last month. Suited dropping to this level and draws well. CLASSICMAJOR (2) comes off a couple of solid efforts in finishing midfield Menangle. Aided by a good draw and has winning claims in this line-up. BETTOR BE LUCKY (10) added to a good record at this circuit and distance when scoring two back and was good again when placed last time at Penrith. Tougher draw but he is racing well. ZACHAROONI (9) is in the mix after turning in a better effort last start to finish second at Tamworth.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Parallel silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start was well back in the run when 9th (Fr5) over 1m at Menangle beaten 23 m by Ideal Redemption (1:54.00) in 3yo+ 1LTW so eligible 3yo+ NR50 on December 1 at $34. The run prior was driven from back in the field when 6th (Fr7) over 1 ¹/16m at Goulburn, beaten 20 m by Eyedidntloseit (2:05.00) in NR up to 45 on November 25 at $7.50. Better placed.

1st Pick
3

Parallel

Jockey: Joshua Gallagher

Trainer: Kerryann Morris

J: Joshua Gallagher

T: Kerryann Morris

77---20%4/1

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start was well back in the run when 9th (Fr5) over 1m at Menangle beaten 23 m by Ideal Redemption (1:54.00) in 3yo+ 1LTW so eligible 3yo+ NR50 on December 1 at $34. The run prior was driven from back in the field when 6th (Fr7) over 1 ¹/16m at Goulburn, beaten 20 m by Eyedidntloseit (2:05.00) in NR up to 45 on November 25 at $7.50. Better placed.

2
Classicmajor silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 5th-5.24 beaten 11 m by Oursurfinsafari (1:53.70) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 8 at $19. The start before 6th (Fr7) over 1m at Menangle was 7th-12.5 at the bell, beaten 8 m by Watch Me React (1:54.60) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 1 at $34. Worth another chance. Draws for a strong showing.

2nd Pick
2

Classicmajor

Jockey: Will Rixon

Trainer: Brad Abbott

J: Will Rixon

T: Brad Abbott

76---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 5th-5.24 beaten 11 m by Oursurfinsafari (1:53.70) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 8 at $19. The start before 6th (Fr7) over 1m at Menangle was 7th-12.5 at the bell, beaten 8 m by Watch Me React (1:54.60) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 1 at $34. Worth another chance. Draws for a strong showing.

10
Bettor Be Lucky silk

Last start was well beaten into third after a quick start, behind Desiderio at Penrith over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 47 on December 4 at $51. Raced better the start before that where he won by 1.75 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr3) at this track (1:57.40) beating Valiant Charger in NR up to 35 on November 18 at $2.90 at the bell was 2nd-1.64. Capable of taking this out.

3rd Pick
10

Bettor Be Lucky

Jockey: Jim Douglass

Trainer: Ian Wilson

J: Jim Douglass

T: Ian Wilson

76---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into third after a quick start, behind Desiderio at Penrith over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 47 on December 4 at $51. Raced better the start before that where he won by 1.75 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr3) at this track (1:57.40) beating Valiant Charger in NR up to 35 on November 18 at $2.90 at the bell was 2nd-1.64. Capable of taking this out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.