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7:22 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 9

Harness
10 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STILLYOURSHOT (2) delivered his first Australian win when he showed plenty of fight to score at this circuit and distance on Friday, getting home by a head after racing parked. Has the benefit of a lower draw so can go on with it. SOHO CASABLANCA (4) made it three minor placings from his past four starts when he finished a head away in second last time out. Draws a couple of spots wider but a win is not out of the question. POST PAINTER (6) has yet to miss the top-three when third-up so will be hitting peak fitness and looks close to a win after two successive seconds. Chance to break through. LIEUTENANT ARDEN (10) switches from Sydney to Grant Dixon and has placed in a trial here. Can measure up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Stillyourshot silk

Last start won by a head as favourite (Fr4) at this track (1:58.40) beating Watchmedazzle in NR up to 75 on December 19 at $1.50. Has broke through now and is expected to go on with the job.

1st Pick
2

Stillyourshot

Jockey: Grant Dixon

Trainer: Grant Dixon

J: Grant Dixon

T: Grant Dixon

77---62%8/13

Analysis

Last start won by a head as favourite (Fr4) at this track (1:58.40) beating Watchmedazzle in NR up to 75 on December 19 at $1.50. Has broke through now and is expected to go on with the job.

4
Soho Casablanca silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m after showing early speed at this track was leading by 1.9m on the pegs at the bell, beaten a head by Mullum Hank (1:56.80) in NR up to 75 on October 31 at $1.50. Genuine threat.

2nd Pick
4

Soho Casablanca

Jockey: Angus Garrard

Trainer: Mark Dux

J: Angus Garrard

T: Mark Dux

73---16%11/2

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m after showing early speed at this track was leading by 1.9m on the pegs at the bell, beaten a head by Mullum Hank (1:56.80) in NR up to 75 on October 31 at $1.50. Genuine threat.

6
Post Painter silk

Solid performance when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Jensville at this track over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 75 on December 2 at $2.80. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.25 m finishing second behind O B Legal at this track over 1 m in a NR up to 75 on December 9 at $4. Could be ready to peak.

3rd Pick
6

Post Painter

Jockey: Brendan Barnes

Trainer: Gemma Hewitt

J: Brendan Barnes

T: Gemma Hewitt

68---9%11/1

Analysis

Solid performance when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Jensville at this track over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 75 on December 2 at $2.80. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.25 m finishing second behind O B Legal at this track over 1 m in a NR up to 75 on December 9 at $4. Could be ready to peak.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.