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4:47 AM

AU2 - Swan Hill - Race 5

Harness
9 Runners
11.1f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MILEY KAY (2) came from a wider barrier for third on debut at Melton before finding a Vicbred heat too tough at her latest appearance. Freshened since but was kept ticking over with a solid trial. Should enjoy an economical run from this draw and she is suited coming back to maiden grade. MEGALODON (1) had a tricky draw last time but is much better served here having come from similar barrier to this to place in his first two outings. Expect him to pose a serious challenge. SLOWBURN (6) didn't do a bad job when midfield in a higher-graded race last time out. Had kicked off his career with a series of top-four results and while drawn wide he'll enjoy dropping to maiden company. CAZADERO (7) strips fitter so may improve at start number two.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Miley Kay silk

Last start was well back in the run when 7th (Fr4) over 1m at Melton was 6th-13.37 at the bell, beaten 13 m by La Cantatrice (2:40.80) in 2yo on August 28 at $41. Before that, a game effort despite getting well back, when 3rd (Fr5) over 1m at Melton, at the bell was 5th-9.83 beaten 7 m by Kings Gallery (2:46.40) in 2yo on August 12 at $10. Plenty to like about her prospects.

1st Pick
2

Miley Kay

Jockey: Jordan Leedham

Trainer: Adam Kelly

J: Jordan Leedham

T: Adam Kelly

77---40%6/4

Analysis

Last start was well back in the run when 7th (Fr4) over 1m at Melton was 6th-13.37 at the bell, beaten 13 m by La Cantatrice (2:40.80) in 2yo on August 28 at $41. Before that, a game effort despite getting well back, when 3rd (Fr5) over 1m at Melton, at the bell was 5th-9.83 beaten 7 m by Kings Gallery (2:46.40) in 2yo on August 12 at $10. Plenty to like about her prospects.

1
Megalodon silk

Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Tombeur at Cranbourne over 1 ¼m on October 4 at $7.50. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1m at Melton was 4th-11.65 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Sandelton (2:47.30) in 3yo on September 25 at $9. Big chance with the aid of the ace draw.

2nd Pick
1

Megalodon

Jockey: Jackie Barker

Trainer: Tim Mcguigan

J: Jackie Barker

T: Tim Mcguigan

76---31%9/4

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Tombeur at Cranbourne over 1 ¼m on October 4 at $7.50. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1m at Melton was 4th-11.65 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Sandelton (2:47.30) in 3yo on September 25 at $9. Big chance with the aid of the ace draw.

6
Slowburn silk

Last start surrendered the lead and finished 6th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Riverina Paceway beaten 22 m by Teddy Lou (2:02.60) in 2yo on October 9 at $34. At the start before 4th (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at Echuca, at the bell was 6th-8.2 beaten 5.5 m by Beryls Boots (2:43.30) on September 22 at $9. Top-three finish is well within his grasp.

3rd Pick
6

Slowburn

Jockey: Jackson Painting

Trainer: Jackson Painting

J: Jackson Painting

T: Jackson Painting

73---15%6/1

Analysis

Last start surrendered the lead and finished 6th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at Riverina Paceway beaten 22 m by Teddy Lou (2:02.60) in 2yo on October 9 at $34. At the start before 4th (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at Echuca, at the bell was 6th-8.2 beaten 5.5 m by Beryls Boots (2:43.30) on September 22 at $9. Top-three finish is well within his grasp.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.