AU2 - Mildura - Race 4

Harness

9 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

2.8K

VIEW

Verdict

KEAYANG CRIPPA (7) finished third last start, beaten 12 metres at this track over 1 ¹/16m. Gets a soft run on the inside of the second line but may need luck at some point. Has the talent to take care of this field. HESASTAR (8) finished sixth at Swan Hill on July 24 then turned things around last time, making up plenty of ground in a sustained run only to find one better over 1 ¹/16m at this track. Gets a soft run on the inside of the second line but may need luck at some point. This is a nice drop in grade so he is in the right race to find winning form. EGBERT (6) didn't do a bad job when fourth over 1 ¹/16m at this track last time out. GROVE DALE (1) can make the most of this draw early on, and he is in the mix following a sixth at his most recent appearance over 1 ¹/16m at this track.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Two back was well beaten into fifth behind Megawatts at Swan Hill over 1m on July 24 at $12. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Chalkncheddar at this track over 1 ¹/16m on July 31 at $3. Likely to measure up with a cosy trip early on. 1st Pick 7 Keayang Crippa Jockey: Kathy Watson Trainer: Luke Watson J: Kathy Watson T: Luke Watson	77	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Two back was well beaten into fifth behind Megawatts at Swan Hill over 1m on July 24 at $12. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Chalkncheddar at this track over 1 ¹/16m on July 31 at $3. Likely to measure up with a cosy trip early on.
8	Two back was well beaten into sixth after a quick start, behind Megawatts at Swan Hill over 1m on July 24 at $12. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing second behind Chalkncheddar at this track over 1 ¹/16m on July 31 at $4. Rates highly and is well-placed to take this out. 2nd Pick 8 Hesastar Jockey: Ellen Tormey Trainer: A P Vozlic J: Ellen Tormey T: A P Vozlic	76	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Two back was well beaten into sixth after a quick start, behind Megawatts at Swan Hill over 1m on July 24 at $12. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing second behind Chalkncheddar at this track over 1 ¹/16m on July 31 at $4. Rates highly and is well-placed to take this out.
6	Last start 4th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 4th-4.9 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Chalkncheddar (2:14.80) on July 31 at $5. Before that, a game effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at this track beaten 21 m by Daylight (2:45.90) on July 17 at $15. Rates highly. Ready to figure in the top 4 again. 3rd Pick 6 Egbert Jockey: Jack Laugher Trainer: S M Osborn J: Jack Laugher T: S M Osborn	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start 4th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 4th-4.9 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Chalkncheddar (2:14.80) on July 31 at $5. Before that, a game effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at this track beaten 21 m by Daylight (2:45.90) on July 17 at $15. Rates highly. Ready to figure in the top 4 again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.