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5:58 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 4

Harness
9 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KEAYANG CRIPPA (9) is going well. Raced parked but was too good in landing an easy win here two back then settled back last start but worked home in good style to place. Draws out a little on the second line but with even luck he is good enough to win a race of this calibre. FLEUR BELLA (4) has been drawing wide of late but performing well with back-to-back placings at this venue since a stable switch. The lower draw gives her the chance to break through. LORD VERDE (6) draws wide but could be close to a win after coming from the back row to place in his last two outings at Globe Derby. PUNTO CALIENTE (8) may need luck from the back row but is in the mix following a respectable second at his most recent appearance here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Keayang Crippa silk

Last start solid effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track, at the bell was 6th-11.4 beaten 12 m by Sunshine Warrior (2:47.10) on September 4 at $5.50. Two runs back won by 11 m after showing early speed, (Fr5) at this track (2:12.40) beating Major Lincoln in on August 28 at $12. Hard to roll on current form.

1st Pick
9

Keayang Crippa

Jockey: Luke Watson

Trainer: Luke Watson

J: Luke Watson

T: Luke Watson

77---40%6/4

Analysis

Last start solid effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track, at the bell was 6th-11.4 beaten 12 m by Sunshine Warrior (2:47.10) on September 4 at $5.50. Two runs back won by 11 m after showing early speed, (Fr5) at this track (2:12.40) beating Major Lincoln in on August 28 at $12. Hard to roll on current form.

4
Fleur Bella silk

Two back was well beaten into third after being driven well back, after showing early speed, behind Keayang Crippa at this track over 1 ¹/16m on August 28 at $7.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing third after being driven well back, behind Diamond Krusher at this track over 1 ¹/16m on September 4 at $2.20. Capable of taking this out.

2nd Pick
4

Fleur Bella

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: N Kerr

J: Jack Laugher

T: N Kerr

75---27%11/4

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into third after being driven well back, after showing early speed, behind Keayang Crippa at this track over 1 ¹/16m on August 28 at $7.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing third after being driven well back, behind Diamond Krusher at this track over 1 ¹/16m on September 4 at $2.20. Capable of taking this out.

6
Lord Verde silk

Fair run when beaten by 5.5 m finishing third behind Childers Road at Globe Derby Park over 1m on September 5 at $51. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3 m finishing second behind Seaside Lady at Globe Derby Park over 1m on September 7 at $6. Hard to fault on current form.

3rd Pick
6

Lord Verde

Jockey: Wayne Hill

Trainer: R J Moore

J: Wayne Hill

T: R J Moore

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Fair run when beaten by 5.5 m finishing third behind Childers Road at Globe Derby Park over 1m on September 5 at $51. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3 m finishing second behind Seaside Lady at Globe Derby Park over 1m on September 7 at $6. Hard to fault on current form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.