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5:52 AM

AU2 - Menangle - Race 4

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

THE VILLAIN (4) is a newcomer to the Jarrod Alchin yard from Victoria where he was a Cranbourne winner earlier in the campaign. Hasn't raced for more than a month but should find this easier than the last attempt. Cameron Hart drives so he could make an immediate impact. KRUSTY KRUNCH (1) was successful at her most recent outing by more than 4 metres in a strong performance at this circuit and distance. Has the benefit of the ace draw so could strike again. LILS NIGHTMARE (10) cops a wide draw but must be considered off good form, placing in all three outings since a win at this circuit and distance. ADDOCAR (2) has yet to miss the top-four this time in and and must be respected from a good draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
The Villain silk

Last start 7th (Fr1) over 1 m at Bendigo was 5th-7.76 at the bell, beaten 14 m by Major Blitz (1:56.90) on May 27 at $34. Before that, 4th (Fr2) over 1 ¼m after showing early pace at Cranbourne, at the bell was 3rd-4.2 beaten 8 m by Sols Me Name (2:32.50) on May 24 at $31. Has the ability to take this out.

1st Pick
4

The Villain

Jockey: Cameron Hart

Trainer: Jarrod Alchin

J: Cameron Hart

T: Jarrod Alchin

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 7th (Fr1) over 1 m at Bendigo was 5th-7.76 at the bell, beaten 14 m by Major Blitz (1:56.90) on May 27 at $34. Before that, 4th (Fr2) over 1 ¼m after showing early pace at Cranbourne, at the bell was 3rd-4.2 beaten 8 m by Sols Me Name (2:32.50) on May 24 at $31. Has the ability to take this out.

1
Krusty Krunch silk

Last start posted a big 4 m win (Fr2) at this track (1:54.30) beating Lils Nightmare in 3yo+ on June 23 at $11 at the bell was 5th-8.87. In the right form and can score again.

2nd Pick
1

Krusty Krunch

Jockey: Jye Coney

Trainer: Kerryann Morris

J: Jye Coney

T: Kerryann Morris

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start posted a big 4 m win (Fr2) at this track (1:54.30) beating Lils Nightmare in 3yo+ on June 23 at $11 at the bell was 5th-8.87. In the right form and can score again.

10
Lils Nightmare silk

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4 m second behind Krusty Krunch at this track over 1m 3yo+ last start. Before that was beaten a head second again at this track same class on June 16. Rates highly so expect a bold run.

3rd Pick
10

Lils Nightmare

Jockey: Jack Callaghan

Trainer: K M Crouch

J: Jack Callaghan

T: K M Crouch

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4 m second behind Krusty Krunch at this track over 1m 3yo+ last start. Before that was beaten a head second again at this track same class on June 16. Rates highly so expect a bold run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.