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4:33 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 4

Harness
8 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OUR ULTIMATE MILLY (2) made a nice return at her latest appearance a week ago, coming from a much wider barrier and finishing 1.5 metres away in third at this circuit and distance. Has the benefit of a good draw and with added fitness under the belt she is capable of getting the job done. LOUMINATE (8) was out of the money for the first time when tackling a Redcliffe Yearling Sales Series heat last start but was a maiden winner prior. Draws for a trail and worth another chance. ITS A SPONGE DARL (1) led and fought well to go under by nose here last week. Has the gate speed to take advantage of the ace draw so can give a sight. ROBIN JUJON (6) broke the maiden at just the second outing last time and while drawn wider he has some upside.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Our Ultimate Milly silk

Having her second run back from a spell. Good run when 3rd (Fr7) over 1 m at this track, beaten 1.5 m by Excuse To Cullect (2:01.00) in Up to 1 LTW on November 20 at $3.60. Draws well and can progress.

1st Pick
2

Our Ultimate Milly

Jockey: Grant Dixon

Trainer: Grant Dixon

J: Grant Dixon

T: Grant Dixon

77---31%9/4

Analysis

Having her second run back from a spell. Good run when 3rd (Fr7) over 1 m at this track, beaten 1.5 m by Excuse To Cullect (2:01.00) in Up to 1 LTW on November 20 at $3.60. Draws well and can progress.

8
Louminate silk

Failed to impress last start, 6th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Redcliffe beaten 9 m by Adah Koko (2:12.10) in 2yo No NR on November 12 at $3.50. Showed ability the race before when she won by 21 m as favourite (Sr3) at Redcliffe (2:11.50) beating Fearless Dolly in MAIDEN on November 2 at $1.20. Rates highly. Can make amends.

2nd Pick
8

Louminate

Jockey: Trent Dawson

Trainer: Trent Dawson

J: Trent Dawson

T: Trent Dawson

76---29%5/2

Analysis

Failed to impress last start, 6th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Redcliffe beaten 9 m by Adah Koko (2:12.10) in 2yo No NR on November 12 at $3.50. Showed ability the race before when she won by 21 m as favourite (Sr3) at Redcliffe (2:11.50) beating Fearless Dolly in MAIDEN on November 2 at $1.20. Rates highly. Can make amends.

1
Its A Sponge Darl silk

Two back was well beaten into sixth after showing early speed, behind Basilisk Bob at Redcliffe over 1 ¼m in a 3yo No NR on November 12 at $34. Then a handy effort when a close second after a quick start, behind Excuse To Cullect at this track over 1 m in a Up to 1 LTW on November 20 at $11. Drawn to advantage and among the chances again.

3rd Pick
1

Its A Sponge Darl

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: Peter Greig

J: Nathan Dawson

T: Peter Greig

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into sixth after showing early speed, behind Basilisk Bob at Redcliffe over 1 ¼m in a 3yo No NR on November 12 at $34. Then a handy effort when a close second after a quick start, behind Excuse To Cullect at this track over 1 m in a Up to 1 LTW on November 20 at $11. Drawn to advantage and among the chances again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.