AU2 - Albion Park - Race 2

Harness

8 Runners

10.6f

Unknown

Synthetic

6.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

NELLIE JOY (8) registered a commanding win last time out, leading and going on to score by 9 metres at this venue. Draws on the back row this time but should enjoy a pretty soft run from this draw and the sprint lane is in play. Big chance again. PIZZA PRINCE (3) continued his good form when he finished fourth last start, coming from the back row to be beaten only 2.7 metres. Should have no excuses from this advantageous draw so could break through. CALL ME TROUBLE (7) draws wider but is a player off a close second at his most recent appearance at this circuit and distance, edged out by just a head. IZARRA (2) draws well again and is in the mix after finishing runner-up here last time out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Last start won by 9 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (1:59.10) beating Izarra in 3yo+ on June 23 at $2.20. Can win again with even luck. 1st Pick 8 Nellie Joy Jockey: Nathan Dawson Trainer: Graham Dwyer J: Nathan Dawson T: Graham Dwyer	77	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Last start won by 9 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (1:59.10) beating Izarra in 3yo+ on June 23 at $2.20. Can win again with even luck.
3	Last start 4th (Sr2) over 1 m at this track, beaten 2.75 m by Aldebaran Fonz (2:01.20) in 3yo+ on June 25 at $3.10. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 m at this track beaten 10 m by Nellie Joy (1:59.10) in 3yo+ on June 23 at $6. Rates highly. Draws well and expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 3 Pizza Prince Jockey: Angus Garrard Trainer: Riley Butt J: Angus Garrard T: Riley Butt	75	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Last start 4th (Sr2) over 1 m at this track, beaten 2.75 m by Aldebaran Fonz (2:01.20) in 3yo+ on June 25 at $3.10. Before that, a solid effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 m at this track beaten 10 m by Nellie Joy (1:59.10) in 3yo+ on June 23 at $6. Rates highly. Draws well and expected to be in the finish.
7	Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Nellie Joy at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ on June 23 at $41. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Southern Diamond at this track over 1 5/16m on June 27 at $151. Bold showing expected again. 3rd Pick 7 Call Me Trouble Jockey: Pete Mcmullen Trainer: Mark Rees J: Pete Mcmullen T: Mark Rees	74	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Nellie Joy at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ on June 23 at $41. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Southern Diamond at this track over 1 5/16m on June 27 at $151. Bold showing expected again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.