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1:53 AM

AU2 - Horsham - Race 1

Harness
7 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FORTY LOVE (5) finished sixth at Melton two starts back then did a great job at his latest appearance over 1 ?m at the same circuit, beaten only a head into second after being up on the pace from the outset. Perfectly placed and is sure to prove tough to beat. HOT DEAL (7) went back last start then worked home in good style to finish 3.5 metres from the winner in third at Mildura over 1 5/16m, that effort following a good win at Mildura the run prior. Tactics will be crucial from this wide draw. Good enough to take out a race like this. OPERATIVE LINE (6) is better than his last-start tenth over 1 ?m at Melton would suggest and is worth another chance. MADRIGAL (3) could only manage seventh when resuming over 1 m at Terang last start. Can do better.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Forty Love silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m after showing early pace at Melton was leading by 5.06 at the bell, beaten a head by Fighter Command (2:39.50) on September 26 at $6.50. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
5

Forty Love

Jockey: Aaron Dunn

Trainer: Aaron Dunn

J: Aaron Dunn

T: Aaron Dunn

77---37%7/4

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m after showing early pace at Melton was leading by 5.06 at the bell, beaten a head by Fighter Command (2:39.50) on September 26 at $6.50. Expected to feature.

7
Hot Deal silk

Last start game effort despite getting well back, when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at Mildura, at the bell was 5th-9.8 beaten 3.5 m by My Ultimate Jimmy (2:41.60) on September 30 at $3.20. Two runs back won by 1.2 m (Sr1) at Mildura (2:42.60) beating Maxy Wants To Play in on September 18 at $5 at the bell was leading 0.2. Better than last start and deserves another chance.

2nd Pick
7

Hot Deal

Jockey: Jackie Barker

Trainer: Aaron Dunn

J: Jackie Barker

T: Aaron Dunn

76---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start game effort despite getting well back, when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at Mildura, at the bell was 5th-9.8 beaten 3.5 m by My Ultimate Jimmy (2:41.60) on September 30 at $3.20. Two runs back won by 1.2 m (Sr1) at Mildura (2:42.60) beating Maxy Wants To Play in on September 18 at $5 at the bell was leading 0.2. Better than last start and deserves another chance.

6
Operative Line silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 10th (Fr2) over 1m at Melton, beaten 25 m by Fighter Command (2:39.50) on September 26 at $41. At the previous start 9th (Fr4) over 1m after showing early speed at Melton, at the bell was 7th-10.17 beaten 13 m by Triple Eight (2:38.50) on August 29 at $101. Among the chances.

3rd Pick
6

Operative Line

Jockey: James Herbertson

Trainer: Rebecca East

J: James Herbertson

T: Rebecca East

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 10th (Fr2) over 1m at Melton, beaten 25 m by Fighter Command (2:39.50) on September 26 at $41. At the previous start 9th (Fr4) over 1m after showing early speed at Melton, at the bell was 7th-10.17 beaten 13 m by Triple Eight (2:38.50) on August 29 at $101. Among the chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.