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3:12 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 1

Harness
7 Runners
10.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TUNBRIDGE (3) found form and finished second two runs ago then came back to earth when he broke from a standing start last time. Has the benefit of a good draw. Big chance if he behaves. CASCATA (1) reared when attempting a standing start last time so may be better off behind the mobile. Should enjoy an economical run from this draw so worth another chance. LIZZIES SON (4) resumes after five months. Has won when fresh before so keep safe. IGNITE (5) scored a win at this circuit and distance three starts back so could measure up with his A-game.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Tunbridge silk

Last start was well beaten into twelfth behind Dhoni Trouble at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on May 26 at $10. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 2nd (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 1.2 m by Instant Delight (2:40.10) in 3yo+ on May 19 at $6.50. Has the right credentials to take this out.

1st Pick
3

Tunbridge

Jockey: Adam Richardson

Trainer: Matt Crone

J: Adam Richardson

T: Matt Crone

76---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into twelfth behind Dhoni Trouble at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ on May 26 at $10. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 2nd (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 1.2 m by Instant Delight (2:40.10) in 3yo+ on May 19 at $6.50. Has the right credentials to take this out.

1
Cascata silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 10th ( Fr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 65 m by Voltain (2:43.90) on May 28 at $8. The run prior 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 7 m by Instant Delight (2:40.10) in 3yo+ on May 19 at $16. Expecting better things this time around.

2nd Pick
1

Cascata

Jockey: Greg Bennett

Trainer: Graham Dwyer

J: Greg Bennett

T: Graham Dwyer

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 10th ( Fr3) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 65 m by Voltain (2:43.90) on May 28 at $8. The run prior 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 7 m by Instant Delight (2:40.10) in 3yo+ on May 19 at $16. Expecting better things this time around.

4
Lizzies Son silk

First up. At the last run he 12th (FT Fr5) over 1 5/16m at this track, well beaten by Ysmir (2:43.00) in 3yo+ on December 30 at $3.70. Finds a nice race to launch the campaign.

3rd Pick
4

Lizzies Son

Jockey: Jack Harrington

Trainer: Don Brown

J: Jack Harrington

T: Don Brown

76---23%7/2

Analysis

First up. At the last run he 12th (FT Fr5) over 1 5/16m at this track, well beaten by Ysmir (2:43.00) in 3yo+ on December 30 at $3.70. Finds a nice race to launch the campaign.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.