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4:02 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 1

Harness
5 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SKIP TO ME LOU (5) made a nice Queensland debut at his latest appearance a week ago, coming from this barrier and finishing a head away in second at this circuit and distance. Should strip fitter. Big chance. BLACKJACK SAM (1) was from disgraced off a wide starting position in a stronger race last time. Freshened since but this suits and he is likely to get the favours from this draw. BLACKJACK (4) is a newcomer from NZ where he was last seen when runner-up at Cambridge three weeks ago. Can measure up. OH HERESHE COMES (3) showed pleasing improvement last time out when third here. Can feature.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Skip To Me Lou silk

Having his second run back from a spell. Game effort when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 m at this track was 2nd-3.9 at the bell, beaten a head by Atula (1:59.10) on September 25 at $2.15. Great chance to show his best.

1st Pick
5

Skip To Me Lou

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: Shawn Grimsey

J: Nathan Dawson

T: Shawn Grimsey

77---80%1/4

Analysis

Having his second run back from a spell. Game effort when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 m at this track was 2nd-3.9 at the bell, beaten a head by Atula (1:59.10) on September 25 at $2.15. Great chance to show his best.

1
Blackjack Sam silk

Last start 8th (Fr6) over 1 m at this track beaten 6 m by Lots Of Heart (1:59.60) in 2yo on August 25 at $10. Before that, 4th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 23 m by Charmed Conquest (1:59.50) in 2yo on August 11 at $14. This looks a nice assignment so watch for a better run.

2nd Pick
1

Blackjack Sam

Jockey: Grant Dixon

Trainer: Grant Dixon

J: Grant Dixon

T: Grant Dixon

76---37%7/4

Analysis

Last start 8th (Fr6) over 1 m at this track beaten 6 m by Lots Of Heart (1:59.60) in 2yo on August 25 at $10. Before that, 4th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 23 m by Charmed Conquest (1:59.50) in 2yo on August 11 at $14. This looks a nice assignment so watch for a better run.

4
Blackjack silk

Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Midfrew Lucre at Alexandra Park over 1m in a 4yo+ on August 28 at $2.20. Then a handy effort when beaten by 6 m finishing second behind Sea The Cash at Cambridge Raceway over 1 ยน/16m in a 3yo+ on September 10 at $6.10. Genuine threat.

3rd Pick
4

Blackjack

Jockey: Graham Dwyer

Trainer: Graham Dwyer

J: Graham Dwyer

T: Graham Dwyer

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Midfrew Lucre at Alexandra Park over 1m in a 4yo+ on August 28 at $2.20. Then a handy effort when beaten by 6 m finishing second behind Sea The Cash at Cambridge Raceway over 1 ยน/16m in a 3yo+ on September 10 at $6.10. Genuine threat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.