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3:36 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 1

Harness
10 Runners
10.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NATTY PAGGER (7) made it two wins from his last five outings a week ago, working to the front before cruising home by 15 metres at this circuit and distance. Goes back in the handicap but a repeat of the latest effort would see him hard to stop. VOLTAIN (4) chased Natty Pagger home here last week, giving her seconds in her last two attempts in standing start races. Meets that rival on better handicap terms so could turn the tables. FLASH KYVALLEY (9) came from this mark to win here last month and has produced some decent efforts since including a fourth after racing parked last week. CROOKWELL EYES (6) is heading the right way, improving last time out to finish third at this circuit and distance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Natty Pagger silk

Racing consistently. Last start won a big 15 m win ( Fr2) at this track (2:41.40) beating Voltain in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 20 at $11. In the right form and can score again.

1st Pick
7

Natty Pagger

Jockey: Mathew Neilson

Trainer: Trent Moffat

J: Mathew Neilson

T: Trent Moffat

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Racing consistently. Last start won a big 15 m win ( Fr2) at this track (2:41.40) beating Voltain in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 20 at $11. In the right form and can score again.

4
Voltain silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (FT Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 15 m by Natty Pagger (2:41.40) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 20 at $4.20. Has the ability to play a major role.

2nd Pick
4

Voltain

Jockey: Adam Richardson

Trainer: Richard Hutchinson

J: Adam Richardson

T: Richard Hutchinson

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (FT Fr2) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 15 m by Natty Pagger (2:41.40) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 20 at $4.20. Has the ability to play a major role.

9
Flash Kyvalley silk

Last start was well beaten into fourth behind Natty Pagger at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 20 at $5. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 2.75 m by Whirlwind Wilbur (2:38.60) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 13 at $14. Has the ability to take this out.

3rd Pick
9

Flash Kyvalley

Jockey: Shane Graham

Trainer: Jack Butler

J: Shane Graham

T: Jack Butler

76---19%9/2

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into fourth behind Natty Pagger at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 20 at $5. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 2.75 m by Whirlwind Wilbur (2:38.60) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 13 at $14. Has the ability to take this out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.