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5:55 AM

AU2 - Tamworth - Race 7

Harness
10 Runners
9.8f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GROSESTAR (7) raced parked but proved too tough the last time he raced at this circuit last month, adding to a good strike rate here. Good effort for third in a higher-graded race last start at Newcastle. Has winning claims if things go his way from the back row. THREEBUSHELSOFOATS (6) disappointed as favourite last time but had looked close to a win when runner-up in her previous three outings, two of them here. Owns a good record at this circuit and distance so can bounce back. SENSATIONALIZE (5) has been tackling stronger races of late so looks better placed in this company. MAJOR MICKEY (4) draws a few spots wider than when scoring last start by 1.2 metres at Newcastle but that continued a good run of form and he owns a decent record at this circuit and distance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Grosestar silk

Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr1) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle, at the bell was 2nd-3.67 beaten 5.5 m by Heza Doozie (1:53.90) in NR 54 to 60 on December 30 at $7. Plenty to like about his prospects.

1st Pick
7

Grosestar

Jockey: Tom Ison

Trainer: Tom Ison

J: Tom Ison

T: Tom Ison

77---29%5/2

Analysis

Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr1) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle, at the bell was 2nd-3.67 beaten 5.5 m by Heza Doozie (1:53.90) in NR 54 to 60 on December 30 at $7. Plenty to like about his prospects.

6
Threebushelsofoats silk

Last start was well beaten into eighth after a quick start, behind Major Mickey at Newcastle over 1 ¼m in a NR up to 53 on January 3 at $3.40. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 ¼m at Newcastle, beaten 1.1 m by Wamboyne Machete (2:26.90) in NR up to 52 on December 20 at $2.90. Chief contender.

2nd Pick
6

Threebushelsofoats

Jockey: Chloe Formosa

Trainer: Michael Formosa

J: Chloe Formosa

T: Michael Formosa

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into eighth after a quick start, behind Major Mickey at Newcastle over 1 ¼m in a NR up to 53 on January 3 at $3.40. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 ¼m at Newcastle, beaten 1.1 m by Wamboyne Machete (2:26.90) in NR up to 52 on December 20 at $2.90. Chief contender.

5
Sensationalize silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 9th (Sr1) over 1 ¼m at Maitland beaten 22 m by Little Demon (2:26.70) in 3yo+ NR up to 70 on December 27 at $12. The run previous 5th (Sr2) over 1 ½m at Maitland beaten 14 m by Heidsieck (2:57.80) in 3yo+ 2-5 WINs on December 19 at $11. Nicely placed to find a bit of form.

3rd Pick
5

Sensationalize

Jockey: P W Grima

Trainer: Keith Mcdeed

J: P W Grima

T: Keith Mcdeed

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 9th (Sr1) over 1 ¼m at Maitland beaten 22 m by Little Demon (2:26.70) in 3yo+ NR up to 70 on December 27 at $12. The run previous 5th (Sr2) over 1 ½m at Maitland beaten 14 m by Heidsieck (2:57.80) in 3yo+ 2-5 WINs on December 19 at $11. Nicely placed to find a bit of form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.