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7:12 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 7

Harness
9 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HOT DEAL (7) finished fifth last start, beaten 13 metres at Swan Hill over 1 ¹/16m. Should enjoy a nice smother from this draw and will be looking for a split at some stage. Good enough to win a race of this calibre. SANTA CASA BEACH (2) ran ninth last start at Swan Hill over 1 ¹/16m. Draws favourably and expect him to pose a serious challenge. EARL OF PEMBROKE (5) should be ready to peak now after finishing fifth over 1 ¹/16m at Riverina Paceway two weeks ago. Can give this a real shake. OUR VINCENT CAN GOGH (4) disappointed last time when sixth over 1 5/16m at Geelong. Can do a lot better so worth considering for the multiples.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Hot Deal silk

Last start was driven from back in the field when 5th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after being wide early at Swan Hill, beaten 13 m by Diamond Eclipse (2:03.80) on September 8 at $4.33. The start before 8th (Sr3) over 1m at Melton, beaten 11 m by Triple Eight (2:38.50) on August 29 at $51. Can improve sharply.

1st Pick
7

Hot Deal

Jockey: Aaron Dunn

Trainer: Aaron Dunn

J: Aaron Dunn

T: Aaron Dunn

77---34%2/1

Analysis

Last start was driven from back in the field when 5th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after being wide early at Swan Hill, beaten 13 m by Diamond Eclipse (2:03.80) on September 8 at $4.33. The start before 8th (Sr3) over 1m at Melton, beaten 11 m by Triple Eight (2:38.50) on August 29 at $51. Can improve sharply.

2
Santa Casa Beach silk

Lacklustre performance first-up beaten 280 m ninth behind Diamond Eclipse at Swan Hill over 1 ¹/16m in a on September 8. Nicely drawn this time and can bounce back.

2nd Pick
2

Santa Casa Beach

Jockey: Connor Clarke

Trainer: D K Wills

J: Connor Clarke

T: D K Wills

76---29%5/2

Analysis

Lacklustre performance first-up beaten 280 m ninth behind Diamond Eclipse at Swan Hill over 1 ¹/16m in a on September 8. Nicely drawn this time and can bounce back.

5
Earl Of Pembroke silk

Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m at Riverina Paceway beaten 10 m by Day Two (1:59.80) on September 4 at $21. At the run before 9th (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Melton beaten 10 m by Soho Darknstormy (2:01.80) on August 29 at $71. Among the top-three chances.

3rd Pick
5

Earl Of Pembroke

Jockey: Ellen Tormey

Trainer: Julie Douglas

J: Ellen Tormey

T: Julie Douglas

74---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m at Riverina Paceway beaten 10 m by Day Two (1:59.80) on September 4 at $21. At the run before 9th (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Melton beaten 10 m by Soho Darknstormy (2:01.80) on August 29 at $71. Among the top-three chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.