AU2 - Mildura - Race 7

Harness

11 Runners

10.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.3K

VIEW

Verdict

TO THE NINES (11) went back last start then worked home in good style to finish just 1.75 metres from the winner in second at this track over 1 ¹/16m, that run following his second at the same circuit two runs back. Will need an ounce of luck to slot in from this tricky draw but has the talent to take this out. NEVS DREAM (5) scored two starts back at this venue then followed that with a dominant win last start over 1 ¹/16m here, getting home by 16 metres after taking an early lead. That latest effort is good enough to win a race of this calibre. RONZEL MICKY (1) is a great chance after a string of sound recent performances, the latest a solid third at this course over 1 ¹/16m. Hard to find fault. WILLIAMS (3) broke last start and finished a distant last over 1 5/16m at Shepparton. Has the benefit of a good draw. Meets a similar line up so if he behaves a better run is likely.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Two back was second behind Dallas Miki at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR 54 to 63 on April 7 at $3.20. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.75 m finishing second behind Dallas Miki at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR 54 to 63 on April 11 at $3.20. Expected to feature with even luck from the draw. 1st Pick 11 To The Nines Jockey: Connor Clarke Trainer: Michael Gadsden J: Connor Clarke T: Michael Gadsden	77	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Two back was second behind Dallas Miki at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR 54 to 63 on April 7 at $3.20. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.75 m finishing second behind Dallas Miki at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR 54 to 63 on April 11 at $3.20. Expected to feature with even luck from the draw.
5	Won by 16 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (2:10.40) beating Rocknroll Lenny in NR 52 to 56 on April 17 at $2.10 at the bell was leading 1.6. Two runs back won by 7 m after showing early speed, (Fr3) at this track (2:43.20) beating G B Brave in NR up to 49 on April 11 at $2.90 at the bell was leading 4. Hard to beat again. 2nd Pick 5 Nevs Dream Jockey: Luke Watson Trainer: I K Watson J: Luke Watson T: I K Watson	76	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Won by 16 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (2:10.40) beating Rocknroll Lenny in NR 52 to 56 on April 17 at $2.10 at the bell was leading 1.6. Two runs back won by 7 m after showing early speed, (Fr3) at this track (2:43.20) beating G B Brave in NR up to 49 on April 11 at $2.90 at the bell was leading 4. Hard to beat again.
1	Two back was fifth behind The Art Of Success at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR 49 to 53 on April 11 at $41. Then a handy effort when third behind Nevs Dream at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR 52 to 56 on April 17 at $11. Should be in the finish again. 3rd Pick 1 Ronzel Micky Jockey: Jack Laugher Trainer: N P Walsh J: Jack Laugher T: N P Walsh	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Two back was fifth behind The Art Of Success at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR 49 to 53 on April 11 at $41. Then a handy effort when third behind Nevs Dream at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a NR 52 to 56 on April 17 at $11. Should be in the finish again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.