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5:09 AM

AU - Cranbourne - Race 6

Harness
9 Runners
10.3f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JUSTLIKEDAVE (7) again drew a wide gate last start but was game in defeat, beaten 5.5 metres into second at Melton over 1 ¹/16m. Will need a bit of luck again negotiating a very wide starting position. Steps up a level but he is good enough to make his presence felt. ALTA BAYAMO (9) was out of the money two runs ago then broke and finished sixth last start over 1 m at Shepparton, coming home 25 metres from the winner. Only needs to get things right to be in contention. BONA KHAN (8) is on the radar after his last-start fifth over 1 ¼m at this track three weeks ago. GIDGETT KAY (1) broke in the run and finished a long last when resuming last start over 1m at this track. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw. Won't find this any harder and she can bounce back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Justlikedave silk

Beaten favourite last start when second at Melton on September 25. Won the start before at this track on September 13. Continues to race well and expected to be in the finish.

1st Pick
7

Justlikedave

Jockey: Jodi Quinlan

Trainer: T R Ford

J: Jodi Quinlan

T: T R Ford

77---43%11/8

Analysis

Beaten favourite last start when second at Melton on September 25. Won the start before at this track on September 13. Continues to race well and expected to be in the finish.

9
Alta Bayamo silk

Last start broke in score up and was out of position at the start 6th (Fr5) over 1 m after showing early speed at Shepparton was leading by 0.55 at the bell, beaten 25 m by Totally Stunning (2:02.20) on September 15 at $2.50. Before that, 4th (Sr2) over 1m at Swan Hill, at the bell was 4th-4 beaten 7 m by Chainsmoke (2:47.10) on September 8 at $2.10. Hard to go past on best form.

2nd Pick
9

Alta Bayamo

Jockey: John Newberry

Trainer: John Newberry

J: John Newberry

T: John Newberry

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start broke in score up and was out of position at the start 6th (Fr5) over 1 m after showing early speed at Shepparton was leading by 0.55 at the bell, beaten 25 m by Totally Stunning (2:02.20) on September 15 at $2.50. Before that, 4th (Sr2) over 1m at Swan Hill, at the bell was 4th-4 beaten 7 m by Chainsmoke (2:47.10) on September 8 at $2.10. Hard to go past on best form.

8
Bona Khan silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1 ¼m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was leading 2.2 beaten 12 m by All Things Spicy (2:33.70) on September 13 at $9.50. At the previous start 5th (Sr3) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 7th-11.2 beaten 6 m by Guaranteed Trouble (1:55.40) on September 6 at $12. Deserves another chance.

3rd Pick
8

Bona Khan

Jockey: Chris Svanosio

Trainer: J F Pengelly

J: Chris Svanosio

T: J F Pengelly

72---12%15/2

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1 ¼m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was leading 2.2 beaten 12 m by All Things Spicy (2:33.70) on September 13 at $9.50. At the previous start 5th (Sr3) over 1m at this track, at the bell was 7th-11.2 beaten 6 m by Guaranteed Trouble (1:55.40) on September 6 at $12. Deserves another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.