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6:22 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 6

Harness
10 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CAPTAIN PAPRIKA (3) finished 11th last start, beaten 40 metres at this track over 1 ¹/16m. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Perfectly placed this time and is sure to be there at the finish. NEDS BEACH (4) finished eighth here two runs ago before finishing sixth at his latest appearance over 1 ?m at Globe Derby Park, beaten 4.5 metres. Needs to be at his best to beat this field but he is up to the challenge. WHATA OPTIMIST (5) disappointed last time when eighth over 1 ?m at Globe Derby Park. Can bounce back. APOLOGY ACCEPTED (7) is worth another chance after a last-start ninth over 1 ¹/16m at this venue a week ago. Capable of a lot more.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Captain Paprika silk

Last start 11th (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at this track beaten 40 m by Priddy Carson (2:15.70) on July 3 at $8. Two runs back 7th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after being wide early at Bunbury, at the bell was leading 1.2m on the pegs beaten 50 m by Sir Willoughby (2:36.40) in 3yo on October 17 at $3.10. Rates highly. Will be a different proposition this time.

1st Pick
3

Captain Paprika

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: N Kerr

J: Jack Laugher

T: N Kerr

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 11th (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at this track beaten 40 m by Priddy Carson (2:15.70) on July 3 at $8. Two runs back 7th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after being wide early at Bunbury, at the bell was leading 1.2m on the pegs beaten 50 m by Sir Willoughby (2:36.40) in 3yo on October 17 at $3.10. Rates highly. Will be a different proposition this time.

4
Neds Beach silk

Backing up quickly after 6th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at Globe Derby Park was 6th-5.2 at the bell, beaten 4.5 m by Childers Road (2:12.80) on July 6 at $5.50. At the previous start 8th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 10th-15.3 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Whitehaven Beach (2:17.20) on July 3 at $6.50. Can improve and has to be included among the main chances.

2nd Pick
4

Neds Beach

Jockey: Connor Clarke

Trainer: R J Moore

J: Connor Clarke

T: R J Moore

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Backing up quickly after 6th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at Globe Derby Park was 6th-5.2 at the bell, beaten 4.5 m by Childers Road (2:12.80) on July 6 at $5.50. At the previous start 8th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 10th-15.3 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Whitehaven Beach (2:17.20) on July 3 at $6.50. Can improve and has to be included among the main chances.

5
Whata Optimist silk

Backing up quickly after was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park, at the bell was 7th-8.4 beaten 6 m by Childers Road (2:12.80) on July 6 at $14. At the previous start was well back in the run when 8th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park beaten 24 m by Delightful Dream (2:12.70) on July 4 at $51. Worth another chance. Big chance based on best form.

3rd Pick
5

Whata Optimist

Jockey: Luke Watson

Trainer: R J Moore

J: Luke Watson

T: R J Moore

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Backing up quickly after was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park, at the bell was 7th-8.4 beaten 6 m by Childers Road (2:12.80) on July 6 at $14. At the previous start was well back in the run when 8th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park beaten 24 m by Delightful Dream (2:12.70) on July 4 at $51. Worth another chance. Big chance based on best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.