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4:56 AM

AU2 - Penrith - Race 6

Harness
10 Runners
8.5f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Manners let RICK REILLY (5) down when he was in the market at Menangle last start but he had been producing some solid efforts prior including a third in a higher-graded race the only time he raced here. He is up to winning this with his A-game. MR TEDDY (10) looks close to a win having come from a wide barrier for second at his latest appearance at Menangle, beaten 2.2 metres. With a little luck from the back row he could go one better. OBADIAH DRAGON (3) is another with the hoof on the till after two successive placings at Newcastle, both from wider barriers than this. DOUBLE IT HARRY (6) placed here two back and was a solid fifth after working at his most recent appearance at Menangle. Respect.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Rick Reilly silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start was well beaten after breaking at Newcastle on March 28. At the previous start 6th (Fr6) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 4th-8.29 beaten 9 m by Perfect Stranger (1:52.60) in NR up to 85 on March 21 at $13. Watch for a far better effort this time.

1st Pick
5

Rick Reilly

Jockey: Seaton Grima

Trainer: Seaton Grima

J: Seaton Grima

T: Seaton Grima

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start was well beaten after breaking at Newcastle on March 28. At the previous start 6th (Fr6) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 4th-8.29 beaten 9 m by Perfect Stranger (1:52.60) in NR up to 85 on March 21 at $13. Watch for a far better effort this time.

10
Mr Teddy silk

Two back was beaten by 7 m finishing fifth behind Dance With Carmer at Menangle over 1m in a NR up to 85 on March 21 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.25 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Layden at Menangle over 1 7/16m in a NR up to 80 on March 27 at $10. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.

2nd Pick
10

Mr Teddy

Jockey: Ashleigh Delosa

Trainer: Joe Conolly

J: Ashleigh Delosa

T: Joe Conolly

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 7 m finishing fifth behind Dance With Carmer at Menangle over 1m in a NR up to 85 on March 21 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.25 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Layden at Menangle over 1 7/16m in a NR up to 80 on March 27 at $10. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.

3
Obadiah Dragon silk

Two back was well beaten into second after being driven well back, behind Itzmineontheline at Newcastle over 1 ¼m in a NR up to 80 on March 13 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing third after being driven well back, behind Petes Crunch Time at Newcastle over 1m in a NR up to 65 on March 28 at $9. Nicely placed to take this out.

3rd Pick
3

Obadiah Dragon

Jockey: Jake Bigeni

Trainer: Joe Conolly

J: Jake Bigeni

T: Joe Conolly

75---15%6/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into second after being driven well back, behind Itzmineontheline at Newcastle over 1 ¼m in a NR up to 80 on March 13 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing third after being driven well back, behind Petes Crunch Time at Newcastle over 1m in a NR up to 65 on March 28 at $9. Nicely placed to take this out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.