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6:43 AM

AU2 - Charlton - Race 6

Harness
10 Runners
10.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HES RUNAWAY BAY (1) finished second last start over 1m at Geelong, beaten 18 metres. That was an improvement on the unplaced effort at Cranbourne the run before. A nice draw on the front line should ensure a cosy run. Leading hope if things go his way. ASPEN BELLE (9) broke last start and finished 13 metres from the winner in fifth over 1m at Cranbourne in an inauspicious start to her career. Meets a similar line up so she is sure to be a force if the manners improve. I AM SKYE CHIOLA (2) is better than her last-start ninth over 1 5/16m at Maryborough. PARDRAY (3) showed pleasing improvement last time out when third over 1 m at Bendigo.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Hes Runaway Bay silk

Two back was well beaten into sixth after being driven well back, behind Laras Dream at Cranbourne over 1m on June 14 at $4.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into second behind Kyvalley Dixon at Geelong over 1m on June 19 at $3.90. Big chance to find the winners' list.

1st Pick
1

Hes Runaway Bay

Jockey: Matthew Craven

Trainer: Matthew Craven

J: Matthew Craven

T: Matthew Craven

77---35%15/8

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into sixth after being driven well back, behind Laras Dream at Cranbourne over 1m on June 14 at $4.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into second behind Kyvalley Dixon at Geelong over 1m on June 19 at $3.90. Big chance to find the winners' list.

9
Aspen Belle silk

Four-year-old mare lining up for the second time. At debut broke in score up and was out of position at the start 5th (Fr2) over 1m at Cranbourne, at the bell was 7th-17.6 beaten 13 m by Miss Kommunication (2:02.30) on June 28 at $5. Better than the last run so worth another chance.

2nd Pick
9

Aspen Belle

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: Anthony Spiteri

J: Jack Laugher

T: Anthony Spiteri

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Four-year-old mare lining up for the second time. At debut broke in score up and was out of position at the start 5th (Fr2) over 1m at Cranbourne, at the bell was 7th-17.6 beaten 13 m by Miss Kommunication (2:02.30) on June 28 at $5. Better than the last run so worth another chance.

2
I Am Skye Chiola silk

Gave plenty of ground last start when well beaten into ninth behind Kickabarrel at Maryborough over 1 5/16m on June 29 at $6.50. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1m at Horsham, at the bell was 2nd-3.6 beaten 19 m by Roseofthewinds (2:47.10) on June 22 at $11. Has the ability to figure prominently from a better draw.

3rd Pick
2

I Am Skye Chiola

Jockey: Luke Sutherland

Trainer: Janet Exell

J: Luke Sutherland

T: Janet Exell

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Gave plenty of ground last start when well beaten into ninth behind Kickabarrel at Maryborough over 1 5/16m on June 29 at $6.50. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1m at Horsham, at the bell was 2nd-3.6 beaten 19 m by Roseofthewinds (2:47.10) on June 22 at $11. Has the ability to figure prominently from a better draw.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.