AU2 - Mildura - Race 6

Harness

10 Runners

10.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

3.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CAPTAIN PAPRIKA (3) finished 11th last start, beaten 40 metres at this track over 1 ¹/16m. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. Perfectly placed this time and is sure to be there at the finish. NEDS BEACH (4) finished eighth here two runs ago before finishing sixth at his latest appearance over 1 ?m at Globe Derby Park, beaten 4.5 metres. Needs to be at his best to beat this field but he is up to the challenge. WHATA OPTIMIST (5) disappointed last time when eighth over 1 ?m at Globe Derby Park. Can bounce back. APOLOGY ACCEPTED (7) is worth another chance after a last-start ninth over 1 ¹/16m at this venue a week ago. Capable of a lot more.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start 11th (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at this track beaten 40 m by Priddy Carson (2:15.70) on July 3 at $8. Two runs back 7th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after being wide early at Bunbury, at the bell was leading 1.2m on the pegs beaten 50 m by Sir Willoughby (2:36.40) in 3yo on October 17 at $3.10. Rates highly. Will be a different proposition this time. 1st Pick 3 Captain Paprika Jockey: Jack Laugher Trainer: N Kerr J: Jack Laugher T: N Kerr	77	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 11th (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at this track beaten 40 m by Priddy Carson (2:15.70) on July 3 at $8. Two runs back 7th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after being wide early at Bunbury, at the bell was leading 1.2m on the pegs beaten 50 m by Sir Willoughby (2:36.40) in 3yo on October 17 at $3.10. Rates highly. Will be a different proposition this time.
4	Backing up quickly after 6th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at Globe Derby Park was 6th-5.2 at the bell, beaten 4.5 m by Childers Road (2:12.80) on July 6 at $5.50. At the previous start 8th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 10th-15.3 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Whitehaven Beach (2:17.20) on July 3 at $6.50. Can improve and has to be included among the main chances. 2nd Pick 4 Neds Beach Jockey: Connor Clarke Trainer: R J Moore J: Connor Clarke T: R J Moore	76	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Backing up quickly after 6th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at Globe Derby Park was 6th-5.2 at the bell, beaten 4.5 m by Childers Road (2:12.80) on July 6 at $5.50. At the previous start 8th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 10th-15.3 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Whitehaven Beach (2:17.20) on July 3 at $6.50. Can improve and has to be included among the main chances.
5	Backing up quickly after was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park, at the bell was 7th-8.4 beaten 6 m by Childers Road (2:12.80) on July 6 at $14. At the previous start was well back in the run when 8th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park beaten 24 m by Delightful Dream (2:12.70) on July 4 at $51. Worth another chance. Big chance based on best form. 3rd Pick 5 Whata Optimist Jockey: Luke Watson Trainer: R J Moore J: Luke Watson T: R J Moore	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Backing up quickly after was driven from back in the field when 8th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park, at the bell was 7th-8.4 beaten 6 m by Childers Road (2:12.80) on July 6 at $14. At the previous start was well back in the run when 8th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park beaten 24 m by Delightful Dream (2:12.70) on July 4 at $51. Worth another chance. Big chance based on best form.

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