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3:52 AM

AU2 - Menangle - Race 3

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CALZAGHE (4) was responsible for a very good effort last time over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith, finishing second and just a head from the winner. Tackles a similar assignment and he can take care of this line-up. FLIGHT LOUTENANT (3) improved on his debut run last start, finishing second over 1m at this track. A nice draw on the front line should ensure a soft run. Looks good enough to win a race of this calibre. JACQUELINE ROSE (8) is in the mix following a fourth at her most recent appearance over 1m at Newcastle. MICKEY BE NIMBLE (6) is worth some thought after his last-start fourth over 1m at this track on December 1.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Calzaghe silk

Two back was well beaten into second behind Ya Racin Carl at Penrith over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo MAIDEN on November 20 at $3.70. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Cocos Desire at Penrith over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo NR up to 55 on November 27 at $3.40. Will be right in the thick of things.

1st Pick
4

Calzaghe

Jockey: Ashleigh Delosa

Trainer: A F Kelly

J: Ashleigh Delosa

T: A F Kelly

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into second behind Ya Racin Carl at Penrith over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo MAIDEN on November 20 at $3.70. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Cocos Desire at Penrith over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo NR up to 55 on November 27 at $3.40. Will be right in the thick of things.

3
Flight Loutenant silk

Two back was well beaten into tenth after being driven well back, behind Vespa Stride at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on November 10 at $1.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Kiss Me Mini at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 1 at $5.50. Has further upside and looks ready to break through.

2nd Pick
3

Flight Loutenant

Jockey: Rickie Alchin

Trainer: Rickie Alchin

J: Rickie Alchin

T: Rickie Alchin

75---29%5/2

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into tenth after being driven well back, behind Vespa Stride at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on November 10 at $1.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Kiss Me Mini at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 1 at $5.50. Has further upside and looks ready to break through.

8
Jacqueline Rose silk

Last start was driven from back in the field when 4th (Fr4) over 1m at Newcastle, at the bell was 5th-6.09 beaten 2.5 m by Im A Liberty Girl (1:56.30) in NR up to 45 on November 28 at $5. Before that, 9th (Fr2) over 1m after showing early pace at Newcastle beaten 16 m by Conciliate (1:55.60) in NR up to 47 on October 31 at $16. One of the top chances.

3rd Pick
8

Jacqueline Rose

Jockey: Klayton Bigeni

Trainer: Simon Bigeni Jnr

J: Klayton Bigeni

T: Simon Bigeni Jnr

72---14%13/2

Analysis

Last start was driven from back in the field when 4th (Fr4) over 1m at Newcastle, at the bell was 5th-6.09 beaten 2.5 m by Im A Liberty Girl (1:56.30) in NR up to 45 on November 28 at $5. Before that, 9th (Fr2) over 1m after showing early pace at Newcastle beaten 16 m by Conciliate (1:55.60) in NR up to 47 on October 31 at $16. One of the top chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.