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5:03 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 3

Harness
7 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KEAYANG CRIPPA (5) has been racing well, filling a top-five position at his last 10 starts including a third most recently at this track over 1 ¹/16m. It doesn't get any easier but he is good enough to take this out. ALLTHEWAYTOROYALTY (1) made a nice return at his latest appearance nine days ago, finishing 4 metres away in second over 1 ¹/16m at Ballarat. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Major threat. EGBERT (4) is in the mix following a fourth at his most recent appearance over 1 ¹/16m at this track, while BEAUDIENESGOLD (2) was thereabouts last time out at the second run back from a spell over 1 ¹/16m at this track and has to be kept safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Keayang Crippa silk

Two back was well beaten into third behind Chalkncheddar at this track over 1 ¹/16m on July 31 at $3. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing third behind Hesastar at this track over 1 ¹/16m on August 7 at $4.33. Continues to race well and expected to feature.

1st Pick
5

Keayang Crippa

Jockey: Luke Watson

Trainer: Luke Watson

J: Luke Watson

T: Luke Watson

77---43%11/8

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into third behind Chalkncheddar at this track over 1 ¹/16m on July 31 at $3. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing third behind Hesastar at this track over 1 ¹/16m on August 7 at $4.33. Continues to race well and expected to feature.

1
Allthewaytoroyalty silk

Having his second run back from a spell. Good run when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed and racing wide at Ballarat was leading by 2.71 at the bell, beaten 4 m by Livermere (2:06.00) on August 5 at $4.80. Will improve with that run under the belt. Bold showing expected again.

2nd Pick
1

Allthewaytoroyalty

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: John Tormey

J: Jack Laugher

T: John Tormey

75---29%5/2

Analysis

Having his second run back from a spell. Good run when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed and racing wide at Ballarat was leading by 2.71 at the bell, beaten 4 m by Livermere (2:06.00) on August 5 at $4.80. Will improve with that run under the belt. Bold showing expected again.

4
Egbert silk

Last start 4th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at this track was 3rd-5.4 at the bell, beaten 4 m by Hesastar (2:14.50) on August 7 at $6. At the run before 4th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 4th-4.9 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Chalkncheddar (2:14.80) on July 31 at $5. This looks a nice assignment so watch for a better run.

3rd Pick
4

Egbert

Jockey: Wayne Hill

Trainer: S M Osborn

J: Wayne Hill

T: S M Osborn

72---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at this track was 3rd-5.4 at the bell, beaten 4 m by Hesastar (2:14.50) on August 7 at $6. At the run before 4th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 4th-4.9 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Chalkncheddar (2:14.80) on July 31 at $5. This looks a nice assignment so watch for a better run.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.