AU2 - Collie - Race 3

Harness

8 Runners

10.2f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.1K

VIEW

Verdict

METEOROID (7) drew wide last start and was never a genuine threat, beaten 40 metres into tenth at Gloucester Park over 1 ¹/16m. Won't spend a penny from this draw but luck may play a role on the bell lap. This should be an easier assignment so he is in the right race to return to form. CHALKY WHITE (4) was struggling to make his mark before the latest appearance when he scored by 9 metres over 1 ¼m at this track. Won't find this any harder and he can make it two on the trot. TAYLORS BOY FRED (2) is heading the right way, improving last time out to finish third at this track over 1 ¼m. Genuine threat. CAPTURE THE MOMENT (8) is worth another chance after a last-start eighth over 1 ¼m at this track a week ago.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 10th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Gloucester Park, beaten 40 m by Viciously Unkind (2:04.40) in 4yo+ on October 27 at $5.50. The run previous 7th (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Gloucester Park was 8th-16.6 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Bonpoppy (2:06.10) in 3yo+ on October 20 at $41. Among the leading chances on best form. 1st Pick 7 Meteoroid Jockey: Shannon Suvaljko Trainer: Peter Tilbrook J: Shannon Suvaljko T: Peter Tilbrook	77	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 10th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Gloucester Park, beaten 40 m by Viciously Unkind (2:04.40) in 4yo+ on October 27 at $5.50. The run previous 7th (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Gloucester Park was 8th-16.6 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Bonpoppy (2:06.10) in 3yo+ on October 20 at $41. Among the leading chances on best form.
4	Last start posted a big 9 m win when quickly away, (Fr2) at this track (2:39.50) beating I Am Siam in 4yo+ on November 1 at $9.50. In form now and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 4 Chalky White Jockey: Kyle Symington Trainer: K L Wallrodt J: Kyle Symington T: K L Wallrodt	76	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Last start posted a big 9 m win when quickly away, (Fr2) at this track (2:39.50) beating I Am Siam in 4yo+ on November 1 at $9.50. In form now and can go on with it.
2	Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Ideal Whitby at Northam over 1 5/16m in a 4yo+ on October 23 at $4.33. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Princess Aviator at this track over 1 ¼m in a 4yo+ on November 1 at $12. Expected to go well again. 3rd Pick 2 Taylors Boy Fred Jockey: Lauren Harper Trainer: Michael Vlemmix J: Lauren Harper T: Michael Vlemmix	76	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Ideal Whitby at Northam over 1 5/16m in a 4yo+ on October 23 at $4.33. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Princess Aviator at this track over 1 ¼m in a 4yo+ on November 1 at $12. Expected to go well again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.