AU2 - Redcliffe - Race 5

Harness

9 Runners

8.8f

Unknown

Synthetic

6.4K

VIEW

Verdict

ROCKIN IN PARADISE (4) turned in a much better run last time out, finishing third over 1 ¼m at this track. Facing a tougher assignment but he is capable of running another big race. FIGHT FOR VICTORY (9) finished seventh at Albion Park two runs ago before finishing fifth at his latest appearance over 1 5/16m at Albion Park, beaten 12 metres. Hard to know where he gets from this slightly awkward draw. Finds a nice race and can make amends. NITRATOR (3) is heading the right way, improving last time out to finish third at Albion Park over 1 m. Genuine threat. ALWAYS ADORNED (8) is the best of the rest after finishing fourth over 1 m at Albion Park last time out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr1) over 1 ¼m after showing early speed at this track beaten 7 m by Mahindi (2:28.20) in 3yo+ on August 26 at $2. Sure to be about the money again. 1st Pick 4 Rockin In Paradise Jockey: Nathan Dawson Trainer: Chris Frisby J: Nathan Dawson T: Chris Frisby	75	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr1) over 1 ¼m after showing early speed at this track beaten 7 m by Mahindi (2:28.20) in 3yo+ on August 26 at $2. Sure to be about the money again.
9	Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Albion Park, beaten 12 m by Call It Bling (2:33.70) in 3yo on August 25 at $2.80. The run before 7th (Fr3) over 1 5/16m at Albion Park, beaten 19 m by Pure Grunt (2:33.80) in 3yo on August 14 at $5.50. Watch for a far better effort this time. 2nd Pick 9 Fight For Victory Jockey: Grant Dixon Trainer: Grant Dixon J: Grant Dixon T: Grant Dixon	77	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Albion Park, beaten 12 m by Call It Bling (2:33.70) in 3yo on August 25 at $2.80. The run before 7th (Fr3) over 1 5/16m at Albion Park, beaten 19 m by Pure Grunt (2:33.80) in 3yo on August 14 at $5.50. Watch for a far better effort this time.
3	Two back was well beaten into ninth after showing early speed, behind Pure Grunt at Albion Park over 1 5/16m in a 3yo G1 on August 22 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.3 m finishing third behind Llanfair Llewellan at Albion Park over 1 m in a 3yo+ on September 1 at $3.40. Rates highly. Big chance. 3rd Pick 3 Nitrator Jockey: Brendan Barnes Trainer: Gemma Hewitt J: Brendan Barnes T: Gemma Hewitt	76	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Two back was well beaten into ninth after showing early speed, behind Pure Grunt at Albion Park over 1 5/16m in a 3yo G1 on August 22 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.3 m finishing third behind Llanfair Llewellan at Albion Park over 1 m in a 3yo+ on September 1 at $3.40. Rates highly. Big chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.