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5:38 AM

AU2 - Riverina Paceway - Race 5

Harness
11 Runners
8.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BAY OF FIRES (6) won at Kilmore two runs ago but couldn't repeat the dose at his latest appearance over 1 m at Shepparton, beaten 6 metres. It doesn't get any easier but on his best form he is capable of a return to winning ways. WHERE IT BEGAN (11) made it two wins from two runs this prep at his latest appearance over 1 ¹/16m at Albury, scoring by 5.5 metres after taking charge a long way from home. Draws out a little on the second line and may need luck at some point. Must raise the bar but he has the ability to test this field. HESOURCELEBRITY (4) is close to a win after two successive placings, the latest a second over 1 ¹/16m at this track. Great chance to break through. AFTERSHOCK (7) disappointed last time but is a chance based on a good win over 1 ¹/16m at this track two runs back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Bay Of Fires silk

Beaten favourite last start when second at Shepparton on August 18. Won the start prior at Kilmore on July 30. Capable of playing a major role.

1st Pick
6

Bay Of Fires

Jockey: Tasmyn Potter

Trainer: Wayne Potter

J: Tasmyn Potter

T: Wayne Potter

77---35%15/8

Analysis

Beaten favourite last start when second at Shepparton on August 18. Won the start prior at Kilmore on July 30. Capable of playing a major role.

11
Where It Began silk

Three-year-old colt is racing in fine form. Won his last two outings at Albury and Shepparton. Last start won by 5.5 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr6) at Albury (2:14.00) beating Alighieri in on August 11 at $1.60 at the bell was leading 0.26. One of the primary contenders.

2nd Pick
11

Where It Began

Jockey: D Jack

Trainer: D Jack

J: D Jack

T: D Jack

76---27%11/4

Analysis

Three-year-old colt is racing in fine form. Won his last two outings at Albury and Shepparton. Last start won by 5.5 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr6) at Albury (2:14.00) beating Alighieri in on August 11 at $1.60 at the bell was leading 0.26. One of the primary contenders.

4
Hesourcelebrity silk

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 1.75 m second behind Imon at this track over 1 ¹/16m 3yo last start. Before that was beaten 2.25 metres second again at this track same class on August 7. Best performances should see him go well again.

3rd Pick
4

Hesourcelebrity

Jockey: Neil Day

Trainer: Neil Day

J: Neil Day

T: Neil Day

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 1.75 m second behind Imon at this track over 1 ¹/16m 3yo last start. Before that was beaten 2.25 metres second again at this track same class on August 7. Best performances should see him go well again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.