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5:53 AM

AU2 - Riverina Paceway - Race 5

Harness
10 Runners
8.6f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FOR ALWAYS ARDEN (2) has switched yards since tackling stronger company at his latest appearance at Penrith. Led and stuck on for a 2m second at Newcastle prior so can be prominent from this low draw. LOMBOK (10) is a capable mare who has put together two wins and two minor placings from four starts this prep. Goes back to the second line but came from this barrier when she scored at this circuit and distance last month. YUKON BE SERIOUS (1) came from a wide barrier last week week but gets the ace draw here so could show her best. SCHEMING (5) draws wider but is worth some thought after her last-start fourth at this venue, beaten just 1.5m.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
For Always Arden silk

Last start was well beaten into ninth after showing early speed, behind Luv The Nitelife at Penrith over 1 5/16m on July 2 at $18. Raced better the start before that with a good run when 2nd (Fr1) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle was leading by 2.78 at the bell, beaten 2 m by Startin To Gogh (1:55.70) on June 26 at $5. Has the ability to take this out.

1st Pick
2

For Always Arden

Jockey: Eli Lepper

Trainer: L P Armstrong

J: Eli Lepper

T: L P Armstrong

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into ninth after showing early speed, behind Luv The Nitelife at Penrith over 1 5/16m on July 2 at $18. Raced better the start before that with a good run when 2nd (Fr1) over 1m after showing early speed at Newcastle was leading by 2.78 at the bell, beaten 2 m by Startin To Gogh (1:55.70) on June 26 at $5. Has the ability to take this out.

10
Lombok silk

Beaten favourite last start when third at this track on July 10. Proved too good the start before at this track on July 3. Nicely placed to take this out.

2nd Pick
10

Lombok

Jockey: Ky Bloomfield

Trainer: E J Jones

J: Ky Bloomfield

T: E J Jones

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Beaten favourite last start when third at this track on July 10. Proved too good the start before at this track on July 3. Nicely placed to take this out.

1
Yukon Be Serious silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start was driven from back in the field when 6th (Fr6) over 1m at this track was 7th-16.3 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Where Back (2:45.40) on July 17 at $9.50. At the previous start 7th (Fr2) over 1 ยน/16m at this track, at the bell was 4th-5.6 beaten 16 m by Perfect Stranger (2:02.00) on July 10 at $61. Good enough to turn things around.

3rd Pick
1

Yukon Be Serious

Jockey: Amy Diebert

Trainer: David Micallef

J: Amy Diebert

T: David Micallef

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start was driven from back in the field when 6th (Fr6) over 1m at this track was 7th-16.3 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Where Back (2:45.40) on July 17 at $9.50. At the previous start 7th (Fr2) over 1 ยน/16m at this track, at the bell was 4th-5.6 beaten 16 m by Perfect Stranger (2:02.00) on July 10 at $61. Good enough to turn things around.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.