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5:52 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 5

Harness
9 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KEAYANG CRIPPA (1) went back last start then worked home in good style to finish 11 metres from the winner in third at this track over 1 5/16m, adding to some strong performances of late. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw and rates a primary contender in a similar race. OZZIE DIAMOND (7) ran fifth last start at Melton over 1 ?m, beaten 24 metres. This easier and expected to run well. HESASTAR (3) didn't do a bad job when sixth over 1 ?m at Swan Hill last time out. Top-three commodity. LORD VERDE (8) cannot be left out after solid recent performances, the latest a sound fourth at Shepparton over 1 m. Can trouble the judge with any luck in running.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Keayang Crippa silk

Two back was third behind Sunshine Warrior at this track over 1 5/16m on September 4 at $5.50. Then a handy effort when third behind Fleur Bella at this track over 1 5/16m on September 11 at $4.60. Rates highly and expected to go well from a low draw.

1st Pick
1

Keayang Crippa

Jockey: Luke Watson

Trainer: Luke Watson

J: Luke Watson

T: Luke Watson

77---35%15/8

Analysis

Two back was third behind Sunshine Warrior at this track over 1 5/16m on September 4 at $5.50. Then a handy effort when third behind Fleur Bella at this track over 1 5/16m on September 11 at $4.60. Rates highly and expected to go well from a low draw.

7
Ozzie Diamond silk

Last start was driven from back in the field when 5th (Fr7) over 1m at Melton, beaten 24 m by Ideal Frankie (2:43.20) in 2yo on August 28 at $41. The run before 7th (Sr1) over 1 m at Launceston, beaten 75 m by Bettor Than Ready (2:00.60) on July 5 at $51. This looks a nicer assignment so watch for a better run.

2nd Pick
7

Ozzie Diamond

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: Julie Douglas

J: Jack Laugher

T: Julie Douglas

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start was driven from back in the field when 5th (Fr7) over 1m at Melton, beaten 24 m by Ideal Frankie (2:43.20) in 2yo on August 28 at $41. The run before 7th (Sr1) over 1 m at Launceston, beaten 75 m by Bettor Than Ready (2:00.60) on July 5 at $51. This looks a nicer assignment so watch for a better run.

3
Hesastar silk

Last start was driven from back in the field when 6th (Fr7) over 1m after racing wide at Swan Hill, beaten 17 m by Skadi (2:49.00) on September 8 at $4.60. The run previous 5th (Fr5) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 25 m by Sunshine Warrior (2:47.10) on September 4 at $41. Has a low draw this time and can improve sharply.

3rd Pick
3

Hesastar

Jockey: Ellen Tormey

Trainer: A P Vozlic

J: Ellen Tormey

T: A P Vozlic

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start was driven from back in the field when 6th (Fr7) over 1m after racing wide at Swan Hill, beaten 17 m by Skadi (2:49.00) on September 8 at $4.60. The run previous 5th (Fr5) over 1 5/16m at this track, beaten 25 m by Sunshine Warrior (2:47.10) on September 4 at $41. Has a low draw this time and can improve sharply.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.