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5:53 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 5

Harness
11 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RED HOT MIKI (1) has come from wider or second row barriers of late so is much better served by the ace draw. Could show his best from there in what looks a suitable assignment. LOSEASHOE (2) hasn't quite performed to market expectations in recent outings but did come from a wider barrier than this for a win here last month. Draws well so can measure up with his A-game. PRIDDY CARSON (10) could be close to a win after placing in three of his last four attempts at this venue, two of those coming from this row. THE AFRICAN QUEEN (5) is worth plenty of thought after coming from this same barrier for a last-start win by 1.7 metres at this circuit and distance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Red Hot Miki silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 7th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 9th-13.8 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Rubbleonthedouble (2:13.60) on June 19 at $34. The run before 6th (Fr4) over 1 5/16m after being wide early at this track, beaten 30 m by Ruggards Gee Tee (2:41.30) on June 12 at $11. Anticipating a much better performance this time.

1st Pick
1

Red Hot Miki

Jockey: Luke Sutherland

Trainer: S M O'connor

J: Luke Sutherland

T: S M O'connor

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start 7th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 9th-13.8 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Rubbleonthedouble (2:13.60) on June 19 at $34. The run before 6th (Fr4) over 1 5/16m after being wide early at this track, beaten 30 m by Ruggards Gee Tee (2:41.30) on June 12 at $11. Anticipating a much better performance this time.

2
Loseashoe silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 8th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at this track was 7th-10.9 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Rubbleonthedouble (2:13.60) on June 19 at $5.50. The start before 6th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 9th-17 at the bell, beaten 15 m by G B Brave (2:13.60) on June 12 at $8.50. Nicely placed to find a bit of form.

2nd Pick
2

Loseashoe

Jockey: Ben Xiriha

Trainer: B I Devcic

J: Ben Xiriha

T: B I Devcic

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 8th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at this track was 7th-10.9 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Rubbleonthedouble (2:13.60) on June 19 at $5.50. The start before 6th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 9th-17 at the bell, beaten 15 m by G B Brave (2:13.60) on June 12 at $8.50. Nicely placed to find a bit of form.

10
Priddy Carson silk

Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Ruggards Gee Tee at this track over 1 5/16m on June 12 at $8. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Rubbleonthedouble at this track over 1 ¹/16m on June 19 at $26. Can build on that fine effort last start.

3rd Pick
10

Priddy Carson

Jockey: Connor Clarke

Trainer: C J O'brien

J: Connor Clarke

T: C J O'brien

75---16%11/2

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Ruggards Gee Tee at this track over 1 5/16m on June 12 at $8. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Rubbleonthedouble at this track over 1 ¹/16m on June 19 at $26. Can build on that fine effort last start.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.