AU2 - Mildura - Race 5

Harness

10 Runners

10.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.1K

VIEW

Verdict

JUST INCREDIBLE (9) drew wide last start and was never a genuine threat, beaten 22 metres into tenth at this track over 1 ¹/16m. Will need an ounce of luck to slot in from this tricky draw. Tackles a similar assignment and he can turn in a much better performance. CHEERS POVERTY (1) ran third last start at this venue over 1 ¹/16m, beaten 10 metres. Expect him to be prominent. STARVIN MARVIN (5) is better than his last-start seventh over 1 ¹/16m here. Can bounce back. THE AFRICAN QUEEN (8) is the best of the rest after finishing fifth over 1 5/16m at this circuit last time out. May earn some minor money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Last start 10th (Sr6) over 1 ¹/16m at this track beaten 22 m by Rubbleonthedouble (2:13.60) on June 19 at $2.40. The start before 7th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Melton was leading by 2.11 at the bell, beaten 16 m by Tactically Perfect (2:02.20) in 3yo on June 12 at $31. Sure to prove tough to beat. 1st Pick 9 Just Incredible Jockey: Alex Ashwood Trainer: Alex Ashwood J: Alex Ashwood T: Alex Ashwood	77	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Last start 10th (Sr6) over 1 ¹/16m at this track beaten 22 m by Rubbleonthedouble (2:13.60) on June 19 at $2.40. The start before 7th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Melton was leading by 2.11 at the bell, beaten 16 m by Tactically Perfect (2:02.20) in 3yo on June 12 at $31. Sure to prove tough to beat.
1	Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 4th-7.4 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Shes Poppy (2:13.10) on June 26 at $23. Top chance in this line-up. 2nd Pick 1 Cheers Poverty Jockey: Luke Dunne Trainer: A P Vozlic J: Luke Dunne T: A P Vozlic	75	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 4th-7.4 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Shes Poppy (2:13.10) on June 26 at $23. Top chance in this line-up.
5	Last start 7th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at this track beaten 21 m by G B Brave (2:13.60) on June 12 at $14. At the run before 4th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was 2nd-2.4 beaten 4.5 m by Glitzy All Over (2:46.80) on May 29 at $26. Can do a lot better in this suitable contest. 3rd Pick 5 Starvin Marvin Jockey: Corey Johnson Trainer: N L Cameron J: Corey Johnson T: N L Cameron	72	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start 7th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early pace at this track beaten 21 m by G B Brave (2:13.60) on June 12 at $14. At the run before 4th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was 2nd-2.4 beaten 4.5 m by Glitzy All Over (2:46.80) on May 29 at $26. Can do a lot better in this suitable contest.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.