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6:45 AM

AU2 - Newcastle - Race 7

Harness
9 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LOUIGI (3) went back last start then worked home in good style to finish 13 metres from the winner in third at this track over 1m, that effort following a modest seventh at this track the run prior. No excuses from this advantageous draw. Won't find this any harder and he can give this a mighty shake. STEALTH BOMBA (1) saluted two starts ago at this track but couldn't repeat that effort at his latest appearance over 1m at this track, beaten 7 metres into fourth after being handy in the run. No excuses from this advantageous draw. Big chance if he is at his best. BIRDY GAL (2) is on the radar after her last-start fourth over 1m at Menangle two weeks ago. EXPLOSIVE BRONSKI (7) disappointed last time when ninth over 1m at Menangle. Can do a lot better so worth considering.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Louigi silk

Two back was well beaten into seventh behind Karaoke King at this track over 1m in a 4yo+ on September 18 at $61. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third after being driven well back, behind Krusty Krunch at this track over 1m on October 7. Hard to beat.

1st Pick
3

Louigi

Jockey: Dale Spencer

Trainer: G J Spencer

J: Dale Spencer

T: G J Spencer

77---34%2/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into seventh behind Karaoke King at this track over 1m in a 4yo+ on September 18 at $61. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third after being driven well back, behind Krusty Krunch at this track over 1m on October 7. Hard to beat.

1
Stealth Bomba silk

Last start 4th (Fr5) over 1m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was 2nd-4.57 beaten 7 m by Double Lines (1:56.20) on October 7. Two runs back raced just off the speed and boxed on, won by 2 m when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (1:55.60) beating Deecee Rockin in on October 2 at $14 at the bell was 2nd-4.87. Capable of playing a major role.

2nd Pick
1

Stealth Bomba

Jockey: Lucas Rando

Trainer: L G Mcdonald

J: Lucas Rando

T: L G Mcdonald

76---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr5) over 1m after showing early pace at this track, at the bell was 2nd-4.57 beaten 7 m by Double Lines (1:56.20) on October 7. Two runs back raced just off the speed and boxed on, won by 2 m when quickly away, (Fr4) at this track (1:55.60) beating Deecee Rockin in on October 2 at $14 at the bell was 2nd-4.87. Capable of playing a major role.

2
Birdy Gal silk

Last start 4th (Fr7) over 1m at Menangle was 8th-20.41 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Kelloshiel (1:53.50) in 3yo+ on September 29 at $7. Before that, 8th (Fr2) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 8th-16.72 beaten 11 m by Gisselle (1:52.60) on September 15 at $26. Nicely placed to make an impact this time.

3rd Pick
2

Birdy Gal

Jockey: Vaughan Duncan

Trainer: George Duncan

J: Vaughan Duncan

T: George Duncan

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr7) over 1m at Menangle was 8th-20.41 at the bell, beaten 6 m by Kelloshiel (1:53.50) in 3yo+ on September 29 at $7. Before that, 8th (Fr2) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 8th-16.72 beaten 11 m by Gisselle (1:52.60) on September 15 at $26. Nicely placed to make an impact this time.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.