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5:25 AM

AU2 - Swan Hill - Race 6

Harness
9 Runners
8.7f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MAJOR LINCOLN (6) drew on the back row and settled back last start but worked home in good style for third at Mildura, giving him two wins and three placings from his last five outings. Came from this barrier to score three back at Stawell. Big chance. ESPERANZA (2) overcame a back row draw to score three back at Kilmore and produced another good effort at her latest appearance when runner-up at Stawell, beaten 1.3 metres. Should enjoy an economical run from this draw. Leading hope. IVE AN IDEA (5) is in the mix following a respectable second from this barrier at her most recent appearance at Shepparton. TALKNPLAY (4) is first up for 11 months but was readied with a nice trial and is proven fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Major Lincoln silk

Solid performance when beaten by 1.5 m finishing third after showing early speed, behind Sunshine Warrior at Mildura over 1 ¹/16m on September 27 at $1.95. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Fleur Bella at Mildura over 1 ¹/16m on October 6 at $2.10. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.

1st Pick
6

Major Lincoln

Jockey: Luke Dunne

Trainer: T J Hutchins

J: Luke Dunne

T: T J Hutchins

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Solid performance when beaten by 1.5 m finishing third after showing early speed, behind Sunshine Warrior at Mildura over 1 ¹/16m on September 27 at $1.95. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Fleur Bella at Mildura over 1 ¹/16m on October 6 at $2.10. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.

2
Esperanza silk

Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Cresco Threepeat at this track over 1 ¹/16m on September 8 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.3 m finishing second after a quick start, behind Major Lincoln at Stawell over 1 5/16m on September 14 at $3.70. Big run expected.

2nd Pick
2

Esperanza

Jockey: Scott Torney

Trainer: N Youngson

J: Scott Torney

T: N Youngson

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Cresco Threepeat at this track over 1 ¹/16m on September 8 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.3 m finishing second after a quick start, behind Major Lincoln at Stawell over 1 5/16m on September 14 at $3.70. Big run expected.

5
Ive An Idea silk

Improved last start with a good run despite getting well back, when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 m at Shepparton was 5th-7.2 at the bell, beaten a nose by Joeys Hangover (2:06.80) on September 29 at $7. Makes plenty of appeal.

3rd Pick
5

Ive An Idea

Jockey: Ellen Tormey

Trainer: K M Watson

J: Ellen Tormey

T: K M Watson

73---16%11/2

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run despite getting well back, when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 m at Shepparton was 5th-7.2 at the bell, beaten a nose by Joeys Hangover (2:06.80) on September 29 at $7. Makes plenty of appeal.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.