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5:57 AM

AU2 - Redcliffe - Race 6

Harness
9 Runners
8.8f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ERASMUS (2) had been racing in great heart then added to the list last start when he finished third over 1 m at Albion Park, beaten 4.5 metres to make it four minor placings from his past five starts. A nice draw on the front line should ensure a cosy run. That latest effort is good enough to win a race of this calibre. JILLIBY PANDA (3) finished third at Marburg two runs ago before finishing third at his latest appearance over 1 m at Albion Park, beaten 15 metres. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Good enough to put himself in the winners' stall. ILLBEWATCHING (7) disappointed last time when seventh over 1 ¹/16m at this track. Can atone. FAVREAU (5) was unplaced two starts ago then things went wrong last start when he broke and finished 20 metres away in ninth over 1 ¹/16m at this track. Live chance in a similar assignment.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Erasmus silk

Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr7) over 1 m after being wide early at Albion Park beaten 4.5 m by Jimmy Joyce (2:01.50) in 3yo+ NR up to 39 on May 11 at $9.50. Drawn to advantage and expected to go well again.

1st Pick
2

Erasmus

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Ryan Veivers

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Ryan Veivers

77---34%2/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr7) over 1 m after being wide early at Albion Park beaten 4.5 m by Jimmy Joyce (2:01.50) in 3yo+ NR up to 39 on May 11 at $9.50. Drawn to advantage and expected to go well again.

3
Jilliby Panda silk

Solid run when beaten by 2.5 m finishing third behind Good Word That at Marburg over 1m in a 3yo+ NR up to 37 on May 4 at $8. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third after showing early speed, behind Malibu Dream at Albion Park over 1 m in a 3yo+ NR up to 39 on May 11 at $23. Sure to feature.

2nd Pick
3

Jilliby Panda

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: T J Hodges

J: Unknown Jockey

T: T J Hodges

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Solid run when beaten by 2.5 m finishing third behind Good Word That at Marburg over 1m in a 3yo+ NR up to 37 on May 4 at $8. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third after showing early speed, behind Malibu Dream at Albion Park over 1 m in a 3yo+ NR up to 39 on May 11 at $23. Sure to feature.

7
Illbewatching silk

Recent form below what he is capable of. Backing up quickly after hung in on scoring up, 7th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed and racing wide at this track beaten 18 m by Major Generaljujon (2:11.00) in 3yo+ No NR on May 17 at $19. The run before was well back in the run when 7th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m after being wide early at this track beaten 30 m by Smirks Lika Boss (2:31.20) in 3yo+ NR 40 to 44 on May 13 at $21. Can make amends.

3rd Pick
7

Illbewatching

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: S W Dickson

J: Nathan Dawson

T: S W Dickson

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form below what he is capable of. Backing up quickly after hung in on scoring up, 7th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed and racing wide at this track beaten 18 m by Major Generaljujon (2:11.00) in 3yo+ No NR on May 17 at $19. The run before was well back in the run when 7th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m after being wide early at this track beaten 30 m by Smirks Lika Boss (2:31.20) in 3yo+ NR 40 to 44 on May 13 at $21. Can make amends.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.