AU2 - Albion Park - Race 6

Harness

10 Runners

8.2f

Unknown

Synthetic

5.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LLANFAIR LLEWELLAN (1) was midfield from the back row last start but came from wider on this line for an easy win at this circuit and distance prior. This is stronger but should get every chance from the ace draw. BRACKEN WARRIOR (8) came from wider on this row to score three back and has been competitive since, keeping the ball rolling last time when runner-up from a wide barrier. Drawn to enjoy an economical run and is a winning hope if he gets the breaks. BE GOOD MIKI (10) drew wide and worked last week but recorded a win and a second in his previous two outings here so is worth another chance. IMANI (6) draws wider than in Friday's nose defeat but that result continued her consistent form. Respect.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Failed to impress last start, 5th (Sr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 13 m by Miss Bay King Cole (1:58.10) in 3yo+ NR up to 48 on January 6 at $3.60. Showed ability the run before when he posted a big 10 m win as favourite when quickly away, (Fr5) at this track (1:57.60) beating Royal Princess in NR up to 43 on December 30 at $1.55. Has the ability to figure prominently from a better draw. 1st Pick 1 Llanfair Llewellan Jockey: Tom Callaghan Trainer: Ron Sallis J: Tom Callaghan T: Ron Sallis	77	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Failed to impress last start, 5th (Sr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 13 m by Miss Bay King Cole (1:58.10) in 3yo+ NR up to 48 on January 6 at $3.60. Showed ability the run before when he posted a big 10 m win as favourite when quickly away, (Fr5) at this track (1:57.60) beating Royal Princess in NR up to 43 on December 30 at $1.55. Has the ability to figure prominently from a better draw.
8	Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Our Dickie Bart at this track over 1 m in a NR 43 to 48 on December 30 at $6.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 6 m finishing second behind Miss Bay King Cole at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ NR up to 48 on January 6 at $14. Expected to play a major role. 2nd Pick 8 Bracken Warrior Jockey: Pete Mcmullen Trainer: Melissa Gillies J: Pete Mcmullen T: Melissa Gillies	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Our Dickie Bart at this track over 1 m in a NR 43 to 48 on December 30 at $6.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 6 m finishing second behind Miss Bay King Cole at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ NR up to 48 on January 6 at $14. Expected to play a major role.
10	Last start 8th (Fr7) over 1 m after showing early speed at this track beaten 8 m by Our Dickie Bart (1:57.00) in 3yo+ NR 49 to 55 on January 6 at $15. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m at this track, beaten 2 m by Kash Tin (1:57.00) in NR 52 to 57 on December 19 at $2.40. With even luck can be in the finish. 3rd Pick 10 Be Good Miki Jockey: Jack Chapple Trainer: Grant Dixon J: Jack Chapple T: Grant Dixon	75	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start 8th (Fr7) over 1 m after showing early speed at this track beaten 8 m by Our Dickie Bart (1:57.00) in 3yo+ NR 49 to 55 on January 6 at $15. Before that, a solid effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m at this track, beaten 2 m by Kash Tin (1:57.00) in NR 52 to 57 on December 19 at $2.40. With even luck can be in the finish.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.