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5:17 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 4

Harness
8 Runners
8.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CELESTIAL NEBULAE (8) added to his recent string of strong performances last start when runner-up over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 11 metres. Drawn to enjoy a cosy run but might need things to go his way at some stage. Won't find this any harder and he can go one better without surprising. PRIDDY CARSON (7) went back last start then worked home in good style to finish just 1.2 metres from the winner in second at this venue over 1 5/16m, that run following his sixth at the same circuit two runs back. Primary contender based on that recent effort. BERSAGLIERE (5) is a great chance after a string of sound recent performances, the latest a solid fourth here over 1 ¹/16m. Hard to find fault. BAZZAS LEGACY (3) is the best of the rest after finishing fourth over 1 5/16m at this course last time out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Celestial Nebulae silk

Beaten favourite last start when second at this track on September 4. Won the start prior at this track on August 28. Top chance again.

1st Pick
8

Celestial Nebulae

Jockey: Luke Dunne

Trainer: T J Hutchins

J: Luke Dunne

T: T J Hutchins

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Beaten favourite last start when second at this track on September 4. Won the start prior at this track on August 28. Top chance again.

7
Priddy Carson silk

Improved last start with a solid effort despite getting well back, when 2nd (Fr4) over 1 5/16m at this track was 5th-7.4 at the bell, beaten 1.2 m by Watch The Attitude (2:43.20) on September 11 at $5. Among the chances again.

2nd Pick
7

Priddy Carson

Jockey: Wayne Hill

Trainer: C J O'brien

J: Wayne Hill

T: C J O'brien

76---29%5/2

Analysis

Improved last start with a solid effort despite getting well back, when 2nd (Fr4) over 1 5/16m at this track was 5th-7.4 at the bell, beaten 1.2 m by Watch The Attitude (2:43.20) on September 11 at $5. Among the chances again.

5
Bersagliere silk

Last start 4th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track beaten 8 m by Celestial Nebulae (2:17.50) on August 28 at $12. Before that, a good run when 2nd (Fr2) over 1m after showing early pace at Gawler, beaten 5.5 m by Keayang Memory (1:59.70) on August 17 at $2.70. Sure to be there at the business end.

3rd Pick
5

Bersagliere

Jockey: Connor Clarke

Trainer: A W Coad

J: Connor Clarke

T: A W Coad

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track beaten 8 m by Celestial Nebulae (2:17.50) on August 28 at $12. Before that, a good run when 2nd (Fr2) over 1m after showing early pace at Gawler, beaten 5.5 m by Keayang Memory (1:59.70) on August 17 at $2.70. Sure to be there at the business end.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.