AU2 - Mildura - Race 1

Harness

7 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.3K

VIEW

Verdict

NOCOMMENT (1) worked to find the lead and kept kicking only to find one better last time out over 1 5/16m at this track, making it three minor placings in succession. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw and is good enough to put herself in the winners' stall. LITTLE WONDER (4) turned in a poor effort by her standards most recently when 13 metres away in sixth over 1 m at Shepparton. Form prior to that had been solid and rates a primary contender if anywhere near her best. BLISSFULL RED (3) is looming as a real threat after a better effort last start, finishing third at this circuit over 1 5/16m. Top-three candidate. BRIEISBETTER (5) is the best of the rest after finishing fifth over 1 5/16m here last time out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Solid performance when beaten by 2.5 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Fully Reckless at this track over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on April 11 at $6. Then a handy effort when a close second after showing early speed, behind Tryagainfreddy at this track over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on April 17 at $1.50. With even luck is a winning chance. 1st Pick 1 Nocomment Jockey: Luke Dunne Trainer: K J Sharp J: Luke Dunne T: K J Sharp	77	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Solid performance when beaten by 2.5 m finishing second after showing early speed, behind Fully Reckless at this track over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on April 11 at $6. Then a handy effort when a close second after showing early speed, behind Tryagainfreddy at this track over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on April 17 at $1.50. With even luck is a winning chance.
4	Last start 6th (Fr3) over 1 m after showing early pace at Shepparton was 5th-7.12 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Alpha Charlotte (2:03.40) in 4yo+ MAIDEN on April 14 at $7. Before that, 4th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Echuca, beaten 9 m by Pearl Of Philtra (2:09.20) in MAIDEN on April 5 at $12. Deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 4 Little Wonder Jockey: Alex Ashwood Trainer: Alex Ashwood J: Alex Ashwood T: Alex Ashwood	76	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Last start 6th (Fr3) over 1 m after showing early pace at Shepparton was 5th-7.12 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Alpha Charlotte (2:03.40) in 4yo+ MAIDEN on April 14 at $7. Before that, 4th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Echuca, beaten 9 m by Pearl Of Philtra (2:09.20) in MAIDEN on April 5 at $12. Deserves another chance.
3	Two back was fourth after a quick start, behind Xlendi Star at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a MAIDEN on April 7 at $7.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing third after a quick start, behind Don Crunch at this track over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on April 17 at $7.50. Can play a role in the finish again. 3rd Pick 3 Blissfull Red Jockey: Elley May Adams Trainer: E M Adams J: Elley May Adams T: E M Adams	73	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Two back was fourth after a quick start, behind Xlendi Star at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a MAIDEN on April 7 at $7.50. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing third after a quick start, behind Don Crunch at this track over 1 5/16m in a MAIDEN on April 17 at $7.50. Can play a role in the finish again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.