AU2 - Mildura - Race 1

Harness

7 Runners

10.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.2K

VIEW

Verdict

ONLY ONCE BITTEN (4) worked to find the lead and kept kicking only to be edged out last start over 1 ¹/16m at this track, adding to a nice sequence of top-three finishes. Big chance based on those recent efforts. THE AFRICAN QUEEN (3) finished eighth last start, beaten 25 metres here over 1 5/16m. Expecting a very good run. SHIRLEY NOT (6) is worth another chance after a last-start ninth over 1 ¹/16m at this circuit a week ago. Can bounce back. POSTER ART (5) is worth some thought despite her last-start tenth over 1 ¹/16m at this course on July 3. Watch for a spike in form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Two back was third behind The Sportz Star at Horsham over 1 ¹/16m on June 22 at $61. Then a handy effort when a close second after a quick start, behind Odins Black Crows at this track over 1 ¹/16m on July 3 at $26. Winning claims. 1st Pick 4 Only Once Bitten Jockey: Ben Xiriha Trainer: A P Vozlic J: Ben Xiriha T: A P Vozlic	77	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Two back was third behind The Sportz Star at Horsham over 1 ¹/16m on June 22 at $61. Then a handy effort when a close second after a quick start, behind Odins Black Crows at this track over 1 ¹/16m on July 3 at $26. Winning claims.
3	Last start 8th (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 25 m by Cheers Poverty (2:44.70) on July 3 at $6.50. At the previous start was well back in the run when 5th (Fr5) over 1 5/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-11.4 beaten 6 m by Priddy Carson (2:46.60) on June 26 at $9.50. Rates highly and looks hard to beat on best form. 2nd Pick 3 The African Queen Jockey: Jack Laugher Trainer: Frank Mercieca J: Jack Laugher T: Frank Mercieca	75	-	-	-	84%	1/5
Analysis Last start 8th (Sr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 25 m by Cheers Poverty (2:44.70) on July 3 at $6.50. At the previous start was well back in the run when 5th (Fr5) over 1 5/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-11.4 beaten 6 m by Priddy Carson (2:46.60) on June 26 at $9.50. Rates highly and looks hard to beat on best form.
6	Won three starts back at Globe Derby Park over 1m on June 14. Last start 9th (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 11th-19.1 at the bell, beaten 9 m by Odins Black Crows (2:16.00) on July 3 at $12. Great chance to bounce back. 3rd Pick 6 Shirley Not Jockey: Luke Sutherland Trainer: K M Attard J: Luke Sutherland T: K M Attard	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Won three starts back at Globe Derby Park over 1m on June 14. Last start 9th (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 11th-19.1 at the bell, beaten 9 m by Odins Black Crows (2:16.00) on July 3 at $12. Great chance to bounce back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.