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3:16 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 1

Harness
7 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SQUAMISH (5) did a good job to finish in the minor placings two runs back then got the standing start wrong last time. Better off behind the mobile so can bounce back. DAIMYO (4) was runner-up from this barrier two back then scored by 3 metres last time, taking his record at this circuit and distance to three from five. Big chance again. LEAF STRIDE (6) switches to the Shawn Grimsey yard from NSW where he was last seen finishing fourth at Group Three level at Menangle. Draws wide but his best form measures up. LAYDOWNLUNA (3) worked and faded last time but had put together a string of wins or placings prior so is worth another chance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Squamish silk

Last start was well beaten into seventh behind Whirlwind Wilbur at this track over 1 5/16m on September 22 at $1.90. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at this track was 3rd-3.96 at the bell, beaten 4.5 m by Northern Heights (2:36.50) in 4yo+ on September 11 at $3.70. Best form should see him go close.

1st Pick
5

Squamish

Jockey: Grant Dixon

Trainer: Grant Dixon

J: Grant Dixon

T: Grant Dixon

77---36%9/5

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into seventh behind Whirlwind Wilbur at this track over 1 5/16m on September 22 at $1.90. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at this track was 3rd-3.96 at the bell, beaten 4.5 m by Northern Heights (2:36.50) in 4yo+ on September 11 at $3.70. Best form should see him go close.

4
Daimyo silk

Last start won by 3 m when driven back in the field, when quickly away, (Fr5) held up early, at this track (2:01.10) beating Instant Delight in 4yo+ on September 18 at $3.20 at the bell was leading 3.97. Leading contender.

2nd Pick
4

Daimyo

Jockey: Brendan Barnes

Trainer: Melissa Gillies

J: Brendan Barnes

T: Melissa Gillies

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start won by 3 m when driven back in the field, when quickly away, (Fr5) held up early, at this track (2:01.10) beating Instant Delight in 4yo+ on September 18 at $3.20 at the bell was leading 3.97. Leading contender.

6
Leaf Stride silk

Last start 4th (FT) over 1 7/16m at Menangle, beaten 20 m by Gandhi Mail (2:51.70) in G3 on September 26 at $51. Before that, 8th (¼f) over 1 7/16m after being wide early at Menangle was 2nd-3.55 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Chief Runningcloud (2:54.70) on September 15 at $4.33. Switches from NSW and would measure right up with his best.

3rd Pick
6

Leaf Stride

Jockey: Nathan Dawson

Trainer: Shawn Grimsey

J: Nathan Dawson

T: Shawn Grimsey

75---10%10/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (FT) over 1 7/16m at Menangle, beaten 20 m by Gandhi Mail (2:51.70) in G3 on September 26 at $51. Before that, 8th (¼f) over 1 7/16m after being wide early at Menangle was 2nd-3.55 at the bell, beaten 12 m by Chief Runningcloud (2:54.70) on September 15 at $4.33. Switches from NSW and would measure right up with his best.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.