AU2 - Albion Park - Race 8

Harness

12 Runners

10.6f

Unknown

Synthetic

12.8K

VIEW

Verdict

AIR EXPRESS (5) went well to finish second two starts ago then recorded a comfortable win last time out, scoring by 5 metres over 1 m at this track. Group One winner and he was right back in that form of form last time. It is form is good enough to take out a race like this. A drop back from Group company for SALLY BIGTIME (2) makes her a genuine threat. Finished fourth last start in the Group One Golden Girl over 1 m at this track, beaten 12 metres by Eye Keep Smiling. Game effort and tough to beat from an ideal draw against this lineup. FERNCO NEL (10) finished second last start over 1 m at this track. Generally runs very well at this circuit so can play a role while TREMENDOUS SENSATION (3) is next best. Gets every chance from a favourable draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Last start won by 5 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr3) at this track (1:56.10) beating Rocknroll Walla in 4yo+ on August 15 at $1.60. Group One winner and back in top form last time. 1st Pick 5 Air Express Jockey: Grant Dixon Trainer: Grant Dixon J: Grant Dixon T: Grant Dixon	77	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Last start won by 5 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr3) at this track (1:56.10) beating Rocknroll Walla in 4yo+ on August 15 at $1.60. Group One winner and back in top form last time.
2	Last start 4th (Sr4) over 1 m at this track, beaten 12 m by Eye Keep Smiling (1:55.40) in G1 M on July 18 at $34. Before that, 7th (Sr4) over 1 m at this track beaten 8 m by Bella Danza (1:54.80) in LR M on July 11 at $26. Game enough in the Golden Girl which has been turning out winners. 2nd Pick 2 Sally Bigtime Jockey: Tom Callaghan Trainer: T M Callaghan J: Tom Callaghan T: T M Callaghan	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th (Sr4) over 1 m at this track, beaten 12 m by Eye Keep Smiling (1:55.40) in G1 M on July 18 at $34. Before that, 7th (Sr4) over 1 m at this track beaten 8 m by Bella Danza (1:54.80) in LR M on July 11 at $26. Game enough in the Golden Girl which has been turning out winners.
10	Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Heza Punk Rocker at this track over 1 5/16m in a 4yo+ on August 1 at $6. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing second after a quick start, behind Heza Punk Rocker at this track over 1 m in a 4yo+ on August 8 at $9. Progressing well. Can win with even luck. 3rd Pick 10 Fernco Nel Jockey: Pete Mcmullen Trainer: Chantal Turpin J: Pete Mcmullen T: Chantal Turpin	73	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Heza Punk Rocker at this track over 1 5/16m in a 4yo+ on August 1 at $6. Then a handy effort when beaten by 3.5 m finishing second after a quick start, behind Heza Punk Rocker at this track over 1 m in a 4yo+ on August 8 at $9. Progressing well. Can win with even luck.

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