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7:32 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 8

Harness
10 Runners
8.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RONZEL RAFA (7) finished runner-up at his most recent outing, beaten a head, in a nice return to form at this track over 1 ¹/16m. May need luck at some stage extracting from the inside of the second row but rates a leading hope in a similar assignment. ROCKNROLL LENNY (6) ran fourth last start here over 1 ¹/16m, beaten 5 metres. Has ability and should be right in the finish. CALF PEN (10) is in the mix following a fourth at his most recent appearance over 1 5/16m at this circuit. Top-three credentials. STARVIN MARVIN (3) should not have any excuses from the favourable draw and may earn some minor money.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Ronzel Rafa silk

Improved last start with a game effort when 2nd (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 3rd-4.1 beaten a head by Priddy Carson (2:15.70) on July 3 at $14. Should be in the finish again.

1st Pick
7

Ronzel Rafa

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: N P Walsh

J: Jack Laugher

T: N P Walsh

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a game effort when 2nd (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 3rd-4.1 beaten a head by Priddy Carson (2:15.70) on July 3 at $14. Should be in the finish again.

6
Rocknroll Lenny silk

Last start 4th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 6th-8.2 at the bell, beaten 5 m by Priddy Carson (2:15.70) on July 3 at $16. Before that, 6th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at this track was 2nd-2.1 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Rubbleonthedouble (2:13.60) on June 19 at $8. This looks a suitable assignment.

2nd Pick
6

Rocknroll Lenny

Jockey: Luke Watson

Trainer: B I Devcic

J: Luke Watson

T: B I Devcic

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 6th-8.2 at the bell, beaten 5 m by Priddy Carson (2:15.70) on July 3 at $16. Before that, 6th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at this track was 2nd-2.1 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Rubbleonthedouble (2:13.60) on June 19 at $8. This looks a suitable assignment.

10
Calf Pen silk

Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-16.1 beaten 13 m by Cheers Poverty (2:44.70) on July 3 at $10. Before that, was beaten after breaking at this track on June 26. Can make amends.

3rd Pick
10

Calf Pen

Jockey: Ellen Tormey

Trainer: A P Vozlic

J: Ellen Tormey

T: A P Vozlic

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-16.1 beaten 13 m by Cheers Poverty (2:44.70) on July 3 at $10. Before that, was beaten after breaking at this track on June 26. Can make amends.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.