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6:50 AM

AU2 - Newcastle - Race 8

Harness
9 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ULTIMATE TROUBLE (1) has had two runs this prep without filling a placing. Was again unable to find the frame last time when she finished tenth over 1m at this track, beaten 35 metres. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw. Tackles a similar assignment and she can discover winning ways. FEARFUL (4) had been out of the money in recent runs before the latest appearance when he scored by 3.5 metres over 1m at Menangle. That latest effort is good enough to win a race of this calibre. MISTER BRILLANTE (9) is close to a win after two successive placings, the latest a second over 1m at this track. Great chance to break through. THERES WALLY (2) could only finish ninth over 1 ยน/16m at Penrith most recently. Open to improvement and is in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Ultimate Trouble silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Backing up quickly after 10th (Sr2) over 1m at this track beaten 35 m by Sylvia Kay (1:54.80) on November 13 at $34. The run before 5th (Fr6) over 1m at this track was 3rd-5.13 at the bell, beaten 19 m by Bouganvillea (1:56.10) in M on November 6 at $71. Worth another chance. Certainly worth another chance.

1st Pick
1

Ultimate Trouble

Jockey: Jake Hughes

Trainer: Grace Panella

J: Jake Hughes

T: Grace Panella

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Backing up quickly after 10th (Sr2) over 1m at this track beaten 35 m by Sylvia Kay (1:54.80) on November 13 at $34. The run before 5th (Fr6) over 1m at this track was 3rd-5.13 at the bell, beaten 19 m by Bouganvillea (1:56.10) in M on November 6 at $71. Worth another chance. Certainly worth another chance.

4
Fearful silk

Last start won by 3.5 m (Fr10) at Menangle (1:53.60) beating Tried And Trusted in 3yo+ on November 10 at $6.50 at the bell was 6th-11.05. Big chance of back-to-back wins.

2nd Pick
4

Fearful

Jockey: Will Rixon

Trainer: Chris Judd

J: Will Rixon

T: Chris Judd

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start won by 3.5 m (Fr10) at Menangle (1:53.60) beating Tried And Trusted in 3yo+ on November 10 at $6.50 at the bell was 6th-11.05. Big chance of back-to-back wins.

9
Mister Brillante silk

Solid run when a close second after being driven well back, behind Lucy Styles at this track over 1m on November 6 at $8. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Peligroso at this track over 1m on November 13 at $9. Rates highly. Overdue and looks hard to beat again.

3rd Pick
9

Mister Brillante

Jockey: Blake Hughes

Trainer: Denis Maricic

J: Blake Hughes

T: Denis Maricic

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Solid run when a close second after being driven well back, behind Lucy Styles at this track over 1m on November 6 at $8. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Peligroso at this track over 1m on November 13 at $9. Rates highly. Overdue and looks hard to beat again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.