AU2 - Newcastle - Race 8

Harness

9 Runners

Unknown

Synthetic

4.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ULTIMATE TROUBLE (1) has had two runs this prep without filling a placing. Was again unable to find the frame last time when she finished tenth over 1m at this track, beaten 35 metres. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw. Tackles a similar assignment and she can discover winning ways. FEARFUL (4) had been out of the money in recent runs before the latest appearance when he scored by 3.5 metres over 1m at Menangle. That latest effort is good enough to win a race of this calibre. MISTER BRILLANTE (9) is close to a win after two successive placings, the latest a second over 1m at this track. Great chance to break through. THERES WALLY (2) could only finish ninth over 1 ¹/16m at Penrith most recently. Open to improvement and is in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Backing up quickly after 10th (Sr2) over 1m at this track beaten 35 m by Sylvia Kay (1:54.80) on November 13 at $34. The run before 5th (Fr6) over 1m at this track was 3rd-5.13 at the bell, beaten 19 m by Bouganvillea (1:56.10) in M on November 6 at $71. Worth another chance. Certainly worth another chance. 1st Pick 1 Ultimate Trouble Jockey: Jake Hughes Trainer: Grace Panella J: Jake Hughes T: Grace Panella	77	-	-	-	25%	Scratched
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Backing up quickly after 10th (Sr2) over 1m at this track beaten 35 m by Sylvia Kay (1:54.80) on November 13 at $34. The run before 5th (Fr6) over 1m at this track was 3rd-5.13 at the bell, beaten 19 m by Bouganvillea (1:56.10) in M on November 6 at $71. Worth another chance. Certainly worth another chance.
4	Last start won by 3.5 m (Fr10) at Menangle (1:53.60) beating Tried And Trusted in 3yo+ on November 10 at $6.50 at the bell was 6th-11.05. Big chance of back-to-back wins. 2nd Pick 4 Fearful Jockey: Will Rixon Trainer: Chris Judd J: Will Rixon T: Chris Judd	76	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start won by 3.5 m (Fr10) at Menangle (1:53.60) beating Tried And Trusted in 3yo+ on November 10 at $6.50 at the bell was 6th-11.05. Big chance of back-to-back wins.
9	Solid run when a close second after being driven well back, behind Lucy Styles at this track over 1m on November 6 at $8. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Peligroso at this track over 1m on November 13 at $9. Rates highly. Overdue and looks hard to beat again. 3rd Pick 9 Mister Brillante Jockey: Blake Hughes Trainer: Denis Maricic J: Blake Hughes T: Denis Maricic	76	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Solid run when a close second after being driven well back, behind Lucy Styles at this track over 1m on November 6 at $8. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Peligroso at this track over 1m on November 13 at $9. Rates highly. Overdue and looks hard to beat again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.