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7:07 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 7

Harness
10 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
6.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SASSABA (1) had a tough draw so wasn't disgraced in a Group One last start. Came from this barrier to place two back and won here prior. With an ideal draw he looks tough to stop in a much easier contest. SWEET NELLIE JOY (9) finished fifth last start in a Group One for the fillies, beaten 11 metres by Stripes. Placed here prior and is a two-time winner at this circuit and distance. Contender. ALWAYS ADORNED (10) cops a tricky draw but is in the mix following a respectable second at her most recent appearance. UBETONRED (2) draws well and is heading the right way, improving last time out to finish second at this venue.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Sassaba silk

Last start was well beaten into eighth behind Pure Grunt at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo G1 on August 22 at $61. Performed better the start before with a good run when 3rd (Fr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 5 m by Ideal Bronski (2:35.00) in 3yo on August 14 at $9. Has the ability to figure prominently from a better draw.

1st Pick
1

Sassaba

Jockey: Mathew Neilson

Trainer: Barb Barry

J: Mathew Neilson

T: Barb Barry

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into eighth behind Pure Grunt at this track over 1 5/16m in a 3yo G1 on August 22 at $61. Performed better the start before with a good run when 3rd (Fr1) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten 5 m by Ideal Bronski (2:35.00) in 3yo on August 14 at $9. Has the ability to figure prominently from a better draw.

9
Sweet Nellie Joy silk

Last start 5th (Fr3) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at this track beaten 11 m by Stripes (2:32.80) in 3yo G1 on August 22 at $101. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after racing wide at this track beaten 13 m by Ruby Rhayne Bow (2:35.80) in 3yo on August 14 at $26. Expected to play a major role.

2nd Pick
9

Sweet Nellie Joy

Jockey: Shane Graham

Trainer: Shane Graham

J: Shane Graham

T: Shane Graham

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start 5th (Fr3) over 1 5/16m after showing early speed at this track beaten 11 m by Stripes (2:32.80) in 3yo G1 on August 22 at $101. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 5/16m after racing wide at this track beaten 13 m by Ruby Rhayne Bow (2:35.80) in 3yo on August 14 at $26. Expected to play a major role.

10
Always Adorned silk

Improved last start with a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 2.5 m by Sweet Dior (1:56.70) in 4yo+ on August 15 at $3.30. Leading contender.

3rd Pick
10

Always Adorned

Jockey: Alanah Richardson

Trainer: Alanah Richardson

J: Alanah Richardson

T: Alanah Richardson

72---13%7/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 2.5 m by Sweet Dior (1:56.70) in 4yo+ on August 15 at $3.30. Leading contender.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.