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5:31 AM

AU2 - Penrith - Race 7

Harness
10 Runners
8.5f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NAMAKA (6) is a multiple winner at black-type level and lines up for the first time since a third in a Listed race at Menangle in December. Goes well fresh winning two of three attempts and should be ready to go off two city trials. RED SAPPHIRE (8) did some work when racing parked so was far from disgraced when beaten 6 metres at Menangle last week. Took his strike rate at this venue to 50 per cent when coming from this row to win two back so is better placed. VAN BASTEN (9) placed as favourite here last week and won the only other time he attempted this distance. Genuine threat. ULTIMATE CRUZA (1) goes up in grade but gets the ace draw and is racing well with a win and a close second in his last two starts a Bathurst, both from wider draws.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Namaka silk

First up. At the last run she good run when 3rd (Fr4) over 1m after showing early pace at Menangle, at the bell was leading 3.5m 2WNC beaten 4.5 m by Weona Miss Miki (1:51.90) in 3yo LR No NR F on December 6 at $3.20. Big chance while fresh.

1st Pick
6

Namaka

Jockey: Joshua Gallagher

Trainer: Kevin Pizzuto

J: Joshua Gallagher

T: Kevin Pizzuto

77---23%7/2

Analysis

First up. At the last run she good run when 3rd (Fr4) over 1m after showing early pace at Menangle, at the bell was leading 3.5m 2WNC beaten 4.5 m by Weona Miss Miki (1:51.90) in 3yo LR No NR F on December 6 at $3.20. Big chance while fresh.

8
Red Sapphire silk

Failed to impress last start, 7th (Fr3) over 1m at Menangle beaten 6 m by Coastal Drive (1:54.30) in 4-020yo+ 0W/20K Stakes on March 27 at $77. Showed ability the race before when he ran on from midfield and posted a big 10 m win (Sr1) at this track (2:00.50) beating Rick Reilly in NR up to 90 on March 12 at $3.30 at the bell was 2nd-4.71. Strong winning hope.

2nd Pick
8

Red Sapphire

Jockey: Brian Portelli

Trainer: Wayne Dimech

J: Brian Portelli

T: Wayne Dimech

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Failed to impress last start, 7th (Fr3) over 1m at Menangle beaten 6 m by Coastal Drive (1:54.30) in 4-020yo+ 0W/20K Stakes on March 27 at $77. Showed ability the race before when he ran on from midfield and posted a big 10 m win (Sr1) at this track (2:00.50) beating Rick Reilly in NR up to 90 on March 12 at $3.30 at the bell was 2nd-4.71. Strong winning hope.

9
Van Basten silk

Two back was well beaten into tenth behind Captain Bellasario at Menangle over 1m in a NR up to 105 on March 21 at $151. Then a handy effort when beaten by 6 m finishing third behind The Metal Flyer at this track over 1 ยน/16m in a NR up to 90 on March 26 at $2.25. Capable of testing this line-up.

3rd Pick
9

Van Basten

Jockey: Chris Geary

Trainer: Leon Jurd

J: Chris Geary

T: Leon Jurd

75---16%11/2

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into tenth behind Captain Bellasario at Menangle over 1m in a NR up to 105 on March 21 at $151. Then a handy effort when beaten by 6 m finishing third behind The Metal Flyer at this track over 1 ยน/16m in a NR up to 90 on March 26 at $2.25. Capable of testing this line-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.