AU2 - Melton - Race 5

Harness

10 Runners

8.5f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.3K

VIEW

Verdict

SWAYWITHSIERRA (3) had to work when racing parked first up at Charlton so wasn't disgraced when beaten less than 7 metres. Will be improved by that and is likely to get the favours from this nice draw. JANSEN (8) has been ticking along well with a string of top-four finishes to his name. Will enjoy a pretty soft run from this draw and the sprint lane is in play so could be dangerous. BEAU BECA (7) draws wide so may need some luck but has yet to finish worse than fourth so can be competitive again. ARZALI ROCKSTAR (1) was solid from this barrier last start and should enjoy the drop in grade to maiden company.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Resumed when beaten 6 m sixth after showing some early pace, behind Lous Mambo at Charlton over 1m in a MAIDEN on May 8. Sure to improve on first-up effort. 1st Pick 3 Swaywithsierra Jockey: Kerryn Manning Trainer: Shane Hoban J: Kerryn Manning T: Shane Hoban	77	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Resumed when beaten 6 m sixth after showing some early pace, behind Lous Mambo at Charlton over 1m in a MAIDEN on May 8. Sure to improve on first-up effort.
8	Last start was well back in the run when 4th (Fr5) over 1m after racing wide at Charlton, at the bell was 3rd-3.8 beaten 6 m by Lous Mambo (1:56.50) in MAIDEN on May 8 at $8.50. Before that, 4th (Fr3) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at Bendigo was 2nd-0.8 at the bell, beaten 4.5 m by Talisker Skipper (2:41.00) in MAIDEN on April 29 at $3.20. This race appears well within his grasp. 2nd Pick 8 Jansen Jockey: S J P O'sullivan Trainer: K W Taylor J: S J P O'sullivan T: K W Taylor	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start was well back in the run when 4th (Fr5) over 1m after racing wide at Charlton, at the bell was 3rd-3.8 beaten 6 m by Lous Mambo (1:56.50) in MAIDEN on May 8 at $8.50. Before that, 4th (Fr3) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at Bendigo was 2nd-0.8 at the bell, beaten 4.5 m by Talisker Skipper (2:41.00) in MAIDEN on April 29 at $3.20. This race appears well within his grasp.
7	Last start 4th (Fr5) over 1 5/16m at Geelong, beaten 7 m by Captains Rush (2:36.50) in MAIDEN on May 8 at $7.50. Before that, 4th (Fr1) over 1m at this track was 4th-12.6 at the bell, beaten 11 m by Insider Trading (2:45.30) in NR 50 to 53 on May 1 at $31. Definite winning chance. 3rd Pick 7 Beau Beca Jockey: Blake Pace Trainer: James Elliott J: Blake Pace T: James Elliott	75	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr5) over 1 5/16m at Geelong, beaten 7 m by Captains Rush (2:36.50) in MAIDEN on May 8 at $7.50. Before that, 4th (Fr1) over 1m at this track was 4th-12.6 at the bell, beaten 11 m by Insider Trading (2:45.30) in NR 50 to 53 on May 1 at $31. Definite winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.