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5:56 AM

AU2 - Albion Park - Race 5

Harness
9 Runners
8.2f
Unknown
Synthetic
5.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TOMMY BLIGH (2) backs up after he came from a couple of spots wider to score by close to 5m at this circuit and distance last Friday. Deserved that having placed in four of his previous six outings. Racing well and a low draw could see him go back-to-back. JAY TEE TYRON (8) enjoys a class drop on the last attempt and had been racing well prior, placing in three of his previous four starts. Should enjoy a pretty soft run from this draw and the sprint lane is in play. Can figure in the finish. LA SABINA (6) must be considered after she came from a similar draw and finished runner-up at this circuit and distance a week ago. LA BOMBA (9) draws on the second line but is worth some thought after her last-start fourth.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Tommy Bligh silk

In good form recently. Last start posted a big 5 m win as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr4) at this track (2:01.30) beating Erasmus in 3yo+ NR up to 41 on January 23 at $3.40. Well placed again and will be hard to hold out.

1st Pick
2

Tommy Bligh

Jockey: Will Rothwell

Trainer: Nathan Rothwell

J: Will Rothwell

T: Nathan Rothwell

77---34%2/1

Analysis

In good form recently. Last start posted a big 5 m win as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr4) at this track (2:01.30) beating Erasmus in 3yo+ NR up to 41 on January 23 at $3.40. Well placed again and will be hard to hold out.

8
Jay Tee Tyron silk

Last start 8th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 12 m by Hold Onto Ya Bling (1:58.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 20 at $34. Before that, a good run when 2nd (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Redcliffe, beaten 2 m by Burns Bay (2:11.20) in NR 40 to 44 on December 18 at $3.80. Strong winning hope.

2nd Pick
8

Jay Tee Tyron

Jockey: Jack Chapple

Trainer: John Stariha

J: Jack Chapple

T: John Stariha

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 8th (Fr1) over 1 m at this track beaten 12 m by Hold Onto Ya Bling (1:58.20) in 3yo+ NR up to 55 on January 20 at $34. Before that, a good run when 2nd (Sr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Redcliffe, beaten 2 m by Burns Bay (2:11.20) in NR 40 to 44 on December 18 at $3.80. Strong winning hope.

6
La Sabina silk

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing sixth after being driven well back, behind Gentle Giant at Redcliffe over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ NR 41 to 46 on January 14 at $41. Then a handy effort when beaten by 6 m finishing second after being driven well back, behind The Harris Hawk at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ NR up to 42 on January 20 at $8.50. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.

3rd Pick
6

La Sabina

Jockey: Pete Mcmullen

Trainer: David Rodger

J: Pete Mcmullen

T: David Rodger

73---15%6/1

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing sixth after being driven well back, behind Gentle Giant at Redcliffe over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ NR 41 to 46 on January 14 at $41. Then a handy effort when beaten by 6 m finishing second after being driven well back, behind The Harris Hawk at this track over 1 m in a 3yo+ NR up to 42 on January 20 at $8.50. Well placed, should prove hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.