AU2 - Newcastle - Race 5

Harness

10 Runners

Unknown

Synthetic

4.8K

VIEW

Verdict

MICKEY BE NIMBLE (4) was out of the money two runs back at Menangle then improved sharply last start to score by 2.25 metres over 1m at this track. Perfectly placed and is sure to prove tough to beat again. LETSGETROWDY (1) drew wide last start and was easily accounted for, beaten 35 metres into ninth at Tamworth over 1m. Finds a suitable assignment and from this favourable draw can make amends. HEEZ REASONABLE (2) is better than his last-start run for ninth over 1m at this track would suggest. Worth considering. WATCH AFRICANDANCE (3) should not have any excuses from the favourable draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last start won by 2.25 m when quickly away, (Fr2) at this track (1:56.80) beating Cooindalai in on June 1 at $2.80 at the bell was 2nd-2.48. Can measure up again. 1st Pick 4 Mickey Be Nimble Jockey: Robert Morris Trainer: Kerry Towers J: Robert Morris T: Kerry Towers	77	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Last start won by 2.25 m when quickly away, (Fr2) at this track (1:56.80) beating Cooindalai in on June 1 at $2.80 at the bell was 2nd-2.48. Can measure up again.
1	Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Backing up quickly after 9th (Sr3) over 1m at Tamworth, beaten 35 m by Thundamental (1:56.50) on June 11 at $4.80. At the previous start 9th (Fr6) over 1m at this track, beaten 12 m by Jacqueline Rose (1:55.90) on June 5 at $41. Has the inside gate here and he is a strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 1 Letsgetrowdy Jockey: Blake Hughes Trainer: Darren Elder J: Blake Hughes T: Darren Elder	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Backing up quickly after 9th (Sr3) over 1m at Tamworth, beaten 35 m by Thundamental (1:56.50) on June 11 at $4.80. At the previous start 9th (Fr6) over 1m at this track, beaten 12 m by Jacqueline Rose (1:55.90) on June 5 at $41. Has the inside gate here and he is a strong winning chance.
2	Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 9th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at this track, beaten 23 m by Gunfightersghost (1:56.80) on June 1 at $2.90. The run before 9th (Fr1) over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten 24 m by Tooram Cee Cee (2:26.60) on May 29 at $81. Can do much better. 3rd Pick 2 Heez Reasonable Jockey: Greg Andrews Trainer: G P Andrews J: Greg Andrews T: G P Andrews	73	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 9th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at this track, beaten 23 m by Gunfightersghost (1:56.80) on June 1 at $2.90. The run before 9th (Fr1) over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten 24 m by Tooram Cee Cee (2:26.60) on May 29 at $81. Can do much better.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.