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4:18 AM

AU2 - Newcastle - Race 5

Harness
12 Runners
10.1f
Unknown
Synthetic
9.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Expect GROSSO NASO (4) to be improved his resuming effort. He was in good form last campaign, heading to the paddock with three wins from his last four outings. He'll enjoy the step up to a distance whet he strikes at 50 per cent so this looks more a suitable assignment. CAPTAIN GROOVE (10) made it three wins in a row at this circuit when he led led to score by 1.7 metres last star. Starts from the back row today but won from there two back. Could take this next step. SENSATIONALIZE (2) is back from a let-up but has trialled nicely. Draws well and will relish the return to a circuit where she has yet to miss the top-three in nine attempts including three wins. KISSMELVIS (9) won from this barrier three back at Penrith and has finished runner-up in both starts from this line here since. Go well again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Grosso Naso silk

Resumed when beaten 12 m eighth behind Laceys Lad over 1m in a NR up to 80 on November 7. Confident of improvement on the first-up effort.

1st Pick
4

Grosso Naso

Jockey: Blake Hughes

Trainer: Anthony Missen

J: Blake Hughes

T: Anthony Missen

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Resumed when beaten 12 m eighth behind Laceys Lad over 1m in a NR up to 80 on November 7. Confident of improvement on the first-up effort.

10
Captain Groove silk

Brings the right form to the table. Won by 1.75 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr1) at this track (1:53.40) beating Kissmelvis in NR up to 53 on November 7 at $1.80 at the bell was leading 5.82. Two runs back won by 1.4 m (Sr1) at this track (1:55.30) beating Spunkys Gotsecrets in NR up to 53 on October 31 at $9.50. Definite winning chance.

2nd Pick
10

Captain Groove

Jockey: Brad Elder

Trainer: Darren Elder

J: Brad Elder

T: Darren Elder

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Brings the right form to the table. Won by 1.75 m as favourite after showing early speed, (Fr1) at this track (1:53.40) beating Kissmelvis in NR up to 53 on November 7 at $1.80 at the bell was leading 5.82. Two runs back won by 1.4 m (Sr1) at this track (1:55.30) beating Spunkys Gotsecrets in NR up to 53 on October 31 at $9.50. Definite winning chance.

2
Sensationalize silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 7th (Fr1) over 1m at Menangle beaten 14 m by Namaka (1:51.70) in 3yo No NR F on October 7 at $11. The run previous 10th (Fr8) over 1m after being wide early at Menangle beaten 35 m by Heeza Malteeza (1:52.50) in NR up to 60 on September 29 at $10. Good enough to turn things around.

3rd Pick
2

Sensationalize

Jockey: Robert Morris

Trainer: Keith Mcdeed

J: Robert Morris

T: Keith Mcdeed

75---16%11/2

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 7th (Fr1) over 1m at Menangle beaten 14 m by Namaka (1:51.70) in 3yo No NR F on October 7 at $11. The run previous 10th (Fr8) over 1m after being wide early at Menangle beaten 35 m by Heeza Malteeza (1:52.50) in NR up to 60 on September 29 at $10. Good enough to turn things around.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.