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5:34 AM

AU2 - Newcastle - Race 5

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KEAYANG HARLOW (3) produced a better effort last time out when runner-up over 1m at this track, beaten after being up on the pace from the outset then finding the lead only to be cut down late. Has the benefit of a good draw. Meets a comparable field so she is capable of taking this out. BLACKMIRRA (1) modest result two starts ago at this track then again didn't measure up at her latest appearance over 1 ³/16m at Tamworth, beaten 11 metres into fourth after working forward to find the lead. No excuses from this advantageous draw. Meets a comparable field and she can turn in a much better performance. DOUBLE LINES (8) comes right into contention after scoring last start by 2 metres at this track over 1m. MADAZALWAYS (9) is worth some thought despite his last-start sixth over 1m at Menangle on October 6.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Keayang Harlow silk

Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Upstream at this track over 1m on October 2 at $31. Then a handy effort second after a quick start, behind Reserve Bank at this track over 1m on October 7. Shapes as one to consider.

1st Pick
3

Keayang Harlow

Jockey: Blake Hughes

Trainer: B L Lindsay

J: Blake Hughes

T: B L Lindsay

77---31%9/4

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into sixth behind Upstream at this track over 1m on October 2 at $31. Then a handy effort second after a quick start, behind Reserve Bank at this track over 1m on October 7. Shapes as one to consider.

1
Blackmirra silk

Last start 4th (Fr4) over 1 ³/16m after showing early speed at Tamworth, at the bell was leading 2.7 beaten 11 m by Rainbow Titan (2:26.80) on August 20 at $3.20. Before that, 6th (Sr1) over 1m at this track, beaten 20 m by A Little Dilemma (1:55.20) on August 14 at $3.80. Capable of taking this out.

2nd Pick
1

Blackmirra

Jockey: Brad Elder

Trainer: Darren Elder

J: Brad Elder

T: Darren Elder

76---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr4) over 1 ³/16m after showing early speed at Tamworth, at the bell was leading 2.7 beaten 11 m by Rainbow Titan (2:26.80) on August 20 at $3.20. Before that, 6th (Sr1) over 1m at this track, beaten 20 m by A Little Dilemma (1:55.20) on August 14 at $3.80. Capable of taking this out.

8
Double Lines silk

Hard to fault of late. Last start came from midfield and won by 2 m after showing early speed, (Fr3) at this track (1:56.20) beating Saint Karamara in on October 7 at the bell was 3rd-8.72. Leading contender.

3rd Pick
8

Double Lines

Jockey: Kirra Langelaar

Trainer: Grace Panella

J: Kirra Langelaar

T: Grace Panella

74---16%11/2

Analysis

Hard to fault of late. Last start came from midfield and won by 2 m after showing early speed, (Fr3) at this track (1:56.20) beating Saint Karamara in on October 7 at the bell was 3rd-8.72. Leading contender.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.