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4:53 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 4

Harness
10 Runners
8.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
2.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RONZEL MICKY (6) is racing consistently having added to a string of top-four finishes when third last start at Swan Hill. Draws wider but was runner-up from a similar barrier here last month. Top chance. EGBERT (4) has been racing well from the back row here of late, beaten only 4m at his latest appearance and placing prior. Returns to the front line and won the last two times he started from there. NEDS BEACH (1) has come from wide barriers at his last of couple so could be a big improver from the ace draw. KEAYANG CRIPPA (10) missed the start last time but won two of his previous three at this circuit.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Ronzel Micky silk

Last start game effort when 3rd (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Swan Hill beaten 5 m by Calf Pen (2:05.80) in NR up to 49 on October 31 at $8.50. Two runs back won by 3.5 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr1) at this track (2:12.60) beating Glitzy All Over in NR up to 49 on October 21 at $2.50 at the bell was leading 1.6. Big run expected.

1st Pick
6

Ronzel Micky

Jockey: Wayne Hill

Trainer: N P Walsh

J: Wayne Hill

T: N P Walsh

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start game effort when 3rd (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Swan Hill beaten 5 m by Calf Pen (2:05.80) in NR up to 49 on October 31 at $8.50. Two runs back won by 3.5 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr1) at this track (2:12.60) beating Glitzy All Over in NR up to 49 on October 21 at $2.50 at the bell was leading 1.6. Big run expected.

4
Egbert silk

Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track was 5th-8.8 at the bell, beaten 4 m by Keayang Crippa (2:45.70) in NR up to 49 on October 21 at $4.40. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 4th-8.2 beaten 7 m by Lilstrepo (2:12.10) in NR up to 49 on October 7 at $34. Sure to play a major role.

2nd Pick
4

Egbert

Jockey: Connor Clarke

Trainer: S M Osborn

J: Connor Clarke

T: S M Osborn

75---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1 5/16m at this track was 5th-8.8 at the bell, beaten 4 m by Keayang Crippa (2:45.70) in NR up to 49 on October 21 at $4.40. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 4th-8.2 beaten 7 m by Lilstrepo (2:12.10) in NR up to 49 on October 7 at $34. Sure to play a major role.

1
Neds Beach silk

Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start was well back in the run when 6th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park was 8th-11.6 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Maurlen Annie (2:14.80) in NR 44 to 49 on October 27 at $8. The run previous 7th (Fr5) over 1m at Globe Derby Park was 6th-11.2 at the bell, beaten 11 m by Rocking With Charm (2:16.10) in 4yo+ NR up to 47 on October 25 at $12. Worth another chance. Leading player.

3rd Pick
1

Neds Beach

Jockey: Ellen Tormey

Trainer: Reece Moore

J: Ellen Tormey

T: Reece Moore

73---13%7/1

Analysis

Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start was well back in the run when 6th (Fr6) over 1m at Globe Derby Park was 8th-11.6 at the bell, beaten 13 m by Maurlen Annie (2:14.80) in NR 44 to 49 on October 27 at $8. The run previous 7th (Fr5) over 1m at Globe Derby Park was 6th-11.2 at the bell, beaten 11 m by Rocking With Charm (2:16.10) in 4yo+ NR up to 47 on October 25 at $12. Worth another chance. Leading player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.