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2:42 AM

AU2 - Mildura - Race 1

Harness
9 Runners
8.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ALWAYS ON SAFARI (1) went back from a wide gate on the second line last start and didn't really threaten when 14 metres from the winner in fifth at this track over 1 ¹/16m. Meets a comparable field and from a far better starting position he can figure in the finish. HOOKLINEANDSINKER (3) ran fourth last start at this circuit over 1 ¹/16m, beaten 12 metres. Expected to run well. TO THE NINES (8) is close to a win after two successive placings, the latest a second over 1 5/16m at Charlton. Great chance to break through. ROCKNROLL LENNY (9) must be respected after scoring last start by 7 metres here over 1 ¹/16m. Top-three aspirations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Always On Safari silk

Last start 5th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 8th-19.6 beaten 14 m by Rocknroll Lenny (2:12.10) in 0-3 WINs on March 20 at $4.20. The run previous 7th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 8th-18.2 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Cheers Poverty (2:09.90) in NR 50 to 55 on February 18 at $6. Better than last start and can improve sharply.

1st Pick
1

Always On Safari

Jockey: Luke Dunne

Trainer: Naomi Kerr

J: Luke Dunne

T: Naomi Kerr

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 5th (Sr4) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 8th-19.6 beaten 14 m by Rocknroll Lenny (2:12.10) in 0-3 WINs on March 20 at $4.20. The run previous 7th (Sr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track was 8th-18.2 at the bell, beaten 15 m by Cheers Poverty (2:09.90) in NR 50 to 55 on February 18 at $6. Better than last start and can improve sharply.

3
Hooklineandsinker silk

Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-14.4 beaten 12 m by Rocknroll Lenny (2:12.10) in 0-3 WINs on March 20 at $5. Before that, 11th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after being wide early at this track well beaten by Foxy Two Gloves (2:10.30) in NR 50 to 64 on February 25 at $9. Certainly worth another chance.

2nd Pick
3

Hooklineandsinker

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: Naomi Kerr

J: Jack Laugher

T: Naomi Kerr

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, at the bell was 7th-14.4 beaten 12 m by Rocknroll Lenny (2:12.10) in 0-3 WINs on March 20 at $5. Before that, 11th (Fr5) over 1 ¹/16m after being wide early at this track well beaten by Foxy Two Gloves (2:10.30) in NR 50 to 64 on February 25 at $9. Certainly worth another chance.

8
To The Nines silk

Last start was second behind Heatseeker at Charlton over 1 5/16m in a NR 50 to 55 on March 15 at $8. Raced better the start before that with a game effort despite getting well back, when 3rd (Sr2) over 1 5/16m at Birchip was 6th-6.6 at the bell, beaten a head by Shotinthedark (2:41.10) in NR up to 55 on March 8 at $4.60. Bold showing expected again.

3rd Pick
8

To The Nines

Jockey: Connor Clarke

Trainer: Michael Gadsden

J: Connor Clarke

T: Michael Gadsden

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start was second behind Heatseeker at Charlton over 1 5/16m in a NR 50 to 55 on March 15 at $8. Raced better the start before that with a game effort despite getting well back, when 3rd (Sr2) over 1 5/16m at Birchip was 6th-6.6 at the bell, beaten a head by Shotinthedark (2:41.10) in NR up to 55 on March 8 at $4.60. Bold showing expected again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.