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5:53 AM

AU1 - Charlton - Race 6

Harness
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HELLAVA DEAL (5) did it very tough when racing wide first up at Melton so prepared to forgive that result. She'll be better for the outing so expect big improvement in what looks a suitable assignment. MAJOR ORION (7) kicked off his career with back-to-back seconds then showed plenty of fight to score last start at Melton, getting home by a nose. Interesting to see what unfolds from this wide draw but he has upside. AMERICAN ASSASSIN (6) draws wider but will be fitter and must be considered after he finished third when resuming at Ararat a week-and-a-half ago. MISS DOOBEE (9) has claims off a win from this barrier two starts back at Shepparton.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Hellava Deal silk

Last start 10th (Fr5) over 1 ยน/16m at Melton, beaten 40 m by One Golden Deal (2:02.60) in 0-1 WIN M on April 24 at $19. Two runs back 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at Bendigo beaten 70 m by Romeo (2:36.90) in 2yo No NR on November 26 at $7.50. Plenty to like about her prospects.

1st Pick
5

Hellava Deal

Jockey: Aaron Dunn

Trainer: Aaron Dunn

J: Aaron Dunn

T: Aaron Dunn

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start 10th (Fr5) over 1 ยน/16m at Melton, beaten 40 m by One Golden Deal (2:02.60) in 0-1 WIN M on April 24 at $19. Two runs back 5th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m after showing early pace at Bendigo beaten 70 m by Romeo (2:36.90) in 2yo No NR on November 26 at $7.50. Plenty to like about her prospects.

7
Major Orion silk

Last start tracked on the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose after showing early speed, (Fr4) at Melton (2:49.60) beating Camerina in 3yo MAIDEN on April 15 at $3.60 at the bell was 3rd-3.96. In the right form and can score again.

2nd Pick
7

Major Orion

Jockey: Josh Duggan

Trainer: Colin Godden

J: Josh Duggan

T: Colin Godden

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start tracked on the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a nose after showing early speed, (Fr4) at Melton (2:49.60) beating Camerina in 3yo MAIDEN on April 15 at $3.60 at the bell was 3rd-3.96. In the right form and can score again.

6
American Assassin silk

Second-up here following a spell. Good run when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 5/16m at Ararat was 6th-10.8 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Black Opal Jack (2:42.80) in 0-1 WIN on April 27 at $10. Open to plenty of improvement and will be tough to beat.

3rd Pick
6

American Assassin

Jockey: Kerryn Manning

Trainer: Kerryn Manning

J: Kerryn Manning

T: Kerryn Manning

75---16%11/2

Analysis

Second-up here following a spell. Good run when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 5/16m at Ararat was 6th-10.8 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Black Opal Jack (2:42.80) in 0-1 WIN on April 27 at $10. Open to plenty of improvement and will be tough to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.