AU1 - Globe Derby Park - Race 2

Harness

7 Runners

11.1f

Unknown

Synthetic

3.0K

VIEW

Verdict

THE VICARS GIRL (7) should this easier than the last effort when midfield and had scored back-to-back wins at this circuit and distance prior, both in standing start races. Gives away at the handicap but is good enough to overcome that. MAJESTIC SUNDAY (6) started a hot favourite last start but broke early and took no part. Strong winner by more than 8m at this circuit and distance prior. Will need to get it right but is good enough with manners. HORSE OF COURSE (1) was fourth to The Vicars Girl last start but meets her on better handicap terms. ALDEBARAN BREE (4) was runner-up the last time she attempted a standing start race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Last start was well beaten into sixth behind King Of Love at this track over 1m in a NR up to 59 on December 7 at $7.50. Performed better the start before where she won by 2.5 m (FT Fr2) at this track (2:54.40) beating Majestic Summer in No NR on December 1 at $4.80. Should be right in the finish. 1st Pick 7 The Vicars Girl Jockey: Kevin Weidenbach Trainer: K J Weidenbach J: Kevin Weidenbach T: K J Weidenbach	76	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Last start was well beaten into sixth behind King Of Love at this track over 1m in a NR up to 59 on December 7 at $7.50. Performed better the start before where she won by 2.5 m (FT Fr2) at this track (2:54.40) beating Majestic Summer in No NR on December 1 at $4.80. Should be right in the finish.
6	Failed to impress last start, was well beaten after breaking at this track on November 24. Showed ability the outing before when he won by 8 m when quickly away, (Fr1) at this track (2:49.10) beating Star Of Patrick in 4yo+ NR up to 43 on November 10 at $6 at the bell was leading 4.4. Strong winning prospects. 2nd Pick 6 Majestic Sunday Jockey: Corey Johnson Trainer: Lane Johnson J: Corey Johnson T: Lane Johnson	77	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Failed to impress last start, was well beaten after breaking at this track on November 24. Showed ability the outing before when he won by 8 m when quickly away, (Fr1) at this track (2:49.10) beating Star Of Patrick in 4yo+ NR up to 43 on November 10 at $6 at the bell was leading 4.4. Strong winning prospects.
1	Last start 4th (FT Fr4) over 1m at this track beaten 23 m by The Vicars Girl (2:54.40) in No NR on December 1 at $11. At the start before was well back in the run when 5th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early speed and racing wide at this track beaten 75 m by Star Of Patrick (2:15.60) in 3yo+ NR up to 43 on November 24 at $11. Right in the mix. 3rd Pick 1 Horse Of Course Jockey: Michael A Smith Trainer: Ella Brechin J: Michael A Smith T: Ella Brechin	71	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Last start 4th (FT Fr4) over 1m at this track beaten 23 m by The Vicars Girl (2:54.40) in No NR on December 1 at $11. At the start before was well back in the run when 5th (Fr3) over 1m after showing early speed and racing wide at this track beaten 75 m by Star Of Patrick (2:15.60) in 3yo+ NR up to 43 on November 24 at $11. Right in the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.