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3:28 AM

AU1 - Charlton - Race 2

Harness
8 Runners
8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AMERICAN GUY (1) made an encouraging return for a 2.3m third at Melton then came from wider for fifth last start at Coolamon. No excuses from this advantageous draw and should be hitting peak fitness now. MACHFREDDY (4) did a good job to come from a couple of spots wider for third when resuming at Shepparton. Fitter for that so can make an impact again. BUBBLE OVER (6) is a chance after a string of sound recent performances, the latest a solid fourth from the back row at Ararat. SEASIDE SHOW (5) draws wider but gave a good sight last week at Mildura, leading and fighting well in finishing a nose from the winner.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
American Guy silk

Last start 5th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Coolamon beaten 22 m by Rollonart (2:07.70) in MAIDEN on April 26 at $2.90. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr2) over 1m at Melton, at the bell was 4th-7.66 beaten 2.25 m by Major Orion (2:49.60) in 3yo MAIDEN on April 15 at $2.90. In the mix from the inside draw.

1st Pick
1

American Guy

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: C T Hildebrandt

J: Jack Laugher

T: C T Hildebrandt

77---35%15/8

Analysis

Last start 5th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Coolamon beaten 22 m by Rollonart (2:07.70) in MAIDEN on April 26 at $2.90. Before that, a good run when 3rd (Fr2) over 1m at Melton, at the bell was 4th-7.66 beaten 2.25 m by Major Orion (2:49.60) in 3yo MAIDEN on April 15 at $2.90. In the mix from the inside draw.

4
Machfreddy silk

Second-up here following a spell. Game effort despite getting well back, when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 m at Shepparton, at the bell was 4th-8.71 beaten 7 m by Captain Locksley (2:06.20) in MAIDEN on April 28 at $6.50. Major player with that run under his belt.

2nd Pick
4

Machfreddy

Jockey: Luke Dunne

Trainer: David Harris

J: Luke Dunne

T: David Harris

76---29%5/2

Analysis

Second-up here following a spell. Game effort despite getting well back, when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 m at Shepparton, at the bell was 4th-8.71 beaten 7 m by Captain Locksley (2:06.20) in MAIDEN on April 28 at $6.50. Major player with that run under his belt.

6
Bubble Over silk

Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Ararat was 7th-11.1 at the bell, beaten 11 m by Isthisthereallife (2:13.10) in MAIDEN on April 27 at $31. Before that, a good run when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m after showing early speed at Hamilton, beaten a nose by Eastbro Kaz (2:00.90) in MAIDEN on April 13 at $7. Has the ability to take this out.

3rd Pick
6

Bubble Over

Jockey: Jason Ainsworth

Trainer: Jason Ainsworth

J: Jason Ainsworth

T: Jason Ainsworth

75---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Sr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Ararat was 7th-11.1 at the bell, beaten 11 m by Isthisthereallife (2:13.10) in MAIDEN on April 27 at $31. Before that, a good run when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 m after showing early speed at Hamilton, beaten a nose by Eastbro Kaz (2:00.90) in MAIDEN on April 13 at $7. Has the ability to take this out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.