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6:02 AM

AU1 - Swan Hill - Race 5

Harness
9 Runners
8.7f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KYORETSU (7) was brave in finishing second after working two runs ago then delivered at his latest appearance at Mildura, scoring comfortably by 21 metres after being on the pace throughout. May need a bit of luck negotiating a very wide starting position but the last performance was impressive. HELLOVATIME (8) did a good job for fourth last start at Cranbourne, beaten 2.8 metres. No harm in drawing here with the sprint lane to rely upon. Contender. OWEN THE SAINTS (4) was held up late at Melton last time out but has performed well at this venue before. CALF PEN (5) has been producing some good efforts from back row draws including a win two back at Mildura.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Kyoretsu silk

Last start posted a big 21 m win when quickly away, (Fr2) at Mildura (2:42.00) beating Siargao Island in on July 17 at $7 at the bell was leading 6.5. Going well enough to take care of these.

1st Pick
7

Kyoretsu

Jockey: Nathan Jack

Trainer: N Kerr

J: Nathan Jack

T: N Kerr

77---31%9/4

Analysis

Last start posted a big 21 m win when quickly away, (Fr2) at Mildura (2:42.00) beating Siargao Island in on July 17 at $7 at the bell was leading 6.5. Going well enough to take care of these.

8
Hellovatime silk

Five-year-old gelding who has plenty of ability. Unlucky last start 4th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Cranbourne was 4th-4.7 at the bell, beaten 2.75 m by Galaxy Lass (2:33.70) on July 19 at $10. Going well and is sure to prove tough to beat.

2nd Pick
8

Hellovatime

Jockey: D Jack

Trainer: P J Tonkin

J: D Jack

T: P J Tonkin

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Five-year-old gelding who has plenty of ability. Unlucky last start 4th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Cranbourne was 4th-4.7 at the bell, beaten 2.75 m by Galaxy Lass (2:33.70) on July 19 at $10. Going well and is sure to prove tough to beat.

4
Owen The Saints silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start was driven from back in the field when 7th (Fr6) over 1m at Melton beaten 5 m by Hurrikane Dusty (2:44.30) on July 15 at $13. The run before was driven from back in the field when 6th (Fr7) over 1 m at Kilmore was 9th-17.56 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Asmileandawinx (2:02.20) on July 8 at $16. Good enough to make amends in this line-up.

3rd Pick
4

Owen The Saints

Jockey: Jack Laugher

Trainer: John Tormey

J: Jack Laugher

T: John Tormey

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to his best. Last start was driven from back in the field when 7th (Fr6) over 1m at Melton beaten 5 m by Hurrikane Dusty (2:44.30) on July 15 at $13. The run before was driven from back in the field when 6th (Fr7) over 1 m at Kilmore was 9th-17.56 at the bell, beaten 10 m by Asmileandawinx (2:02.20) on July 8 at $16. Good enough to make amends in this line-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.