AU1 - Redcliffe - Race 2

Harness

8 Runners

10.1f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.3K

VIEW

Verdict

BLACK GEMSTONE (4) could be close to a win following a good effort last week when she raced parked but stuck on and finished 2.7 metres from the winner in second at this venue. Gets the same draw and could go one better. Manners let LADY ALLEGRA (8) down when she was in the market last start. Proven at this circuit and distance and should be approaching peak fitness third up so worth another chance. MYSTICALFANTASY (5) might find this easier than recent attempts and looks capable of measuring up. SAYCHELLES (6) draws wide but is worth some thought off a win here two back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
4	Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Vinnie Nitro at this track over 1 ¼m in a 4yo+ NR up to 40 on March 26 at $151. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Belmer Betty at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 4yo+ NR up to 40 on April 2 at $3.20. Winning prospects. 1st Pick 4 Black Gemstone Jockey: Nathan Dawson Trainer: Ricky Gordon J: Nathan Dawson T: Ricky Gordon	77	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Vinnie Nitro at this track over 1 ¼m in a 4yo+ NR up to 40 on March 26 at $151. Then a handy effort when beaten by 2.75 m finishing second behind Belmer Betty at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 4yo+ NR up to 40 on April 2 at $3.20. Winning prospects.
8	Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 9th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 35 m by Belmer Betty (2:11.00) in 4yo+ NR up to 40 on April 2 at $6.50. The start before was well back in the run when 7th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at Albion Park beaten 35 m by Matteo (2:34.70) in Up to 3 LTW on March 27 at $61. Expecting a much better run this time. 2nd Pick 8 Lady Allegra Jockey: Gary Bond Trainer: Jude Mclachlan J: Gary Bond T: Jude Mclachlan	74	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 9th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 35 m by Belmer Betty (2:11.00) in 4yo+ NR up to 40 on April 2 at $6.50. The start before was well back in the run when 7th (Fr6) over 1 5/16m at Albion Park beaten 35 m by Matteo (2:34.70) in Up to 3 LTW on March 27 at $61. Expecting a much better run this time.
5	Last start was well back in the run when 6th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at this track beaten 15 m by Zeezeezoom (2:09.90) in Up to 3 LTW on April 1 at $151. At the start before 5th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 22 m by Eternal Bliss (2:09.00) in Up to 3 LTW on March 25 at $81. Can be competitive if at her best. 3rd Pick 5 Mysticalfantasy Jockey: Matt Crone Trainer: Matt Crone J: Matt Crone T: Matt Crone	72	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Last start was well back in the run when 6th (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m after racing wide at this track beaten 15 m by Zeezeezoom (2:09.90) in Up to 3 LTW on April 1 at $151. At the start before 5th (Fr6) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 22 m by Eternal Bliss (2:09.00) in Up to 3 LTW on March 25 at $81. Can be competitive if at her best.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.