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5:10 AM

AU1 - Maryborough - Race 7

Harness
13 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
2.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

POPPY POPSTAR (4) finished fourth last start, beaten 14 metres at Charlton over 1 5/16m. Good enough to take out a race like this. LOUIEVILLE LASS (1) made it two minor placings in a row last start when she led and battled on well but found one better on the day at Melton over 1 ?m. No excuses from this advantageous draw. Big chance in a similar race. HOLD THAT MAGIC (13) cannot be ruled despite the tricky draw. Best form give her a definite winning chance. SUZYS DREAM (2) is worth some thought despite her last-start seventh over 1 5/16m at this track on December 1.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Poppy Popstar silk

Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Charlton was 2nd-0.6 at the bell, beaten 14 m by Kyvalley Jetstream (2:37.10) in NR up to 45 on December 8 at $6. Before that, 4th (Sr3) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 6th-22.4 beaten 12 m by With Aplomb (2:04.30) in NR up to 42 on December 1 at $5. Capable of a better showing.

1st Pick
4

Poppy Popstar

Jockey: James Herbertson

Trainer: T M Mcnamara

J: James Herbertson

T: T M Mcnamara

77---31%9/4

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr2) over 1 5/16m at Charlton was 2nd-0.6 at the bell, beaten 14 m by Kyvalley Jetstream (2:37.10) in NR up to 45 on December 8 at $6. Before that, 4th (Sr3) over 1 m at this track, at the bell was 6th-22.4 beaten 12 m by With Aplomb (2:04.30) in NR up to 42 on December 1 at $5. Capable of a better showing.

1
Louieville Lass silk

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 2.25 m second behind Azalea Mae at Melton over 1m NR up to 39 last start. Before that was beaten 2 metres second at Ballarat over 1m same class on November 27. Expected to be in the finish again.

2nd Pick
1

Louieville Lass

Jockey: Michael Bellman

Trainer: Brett Shipway

J: Michael Bellman

T: Brett Shipway

75---19%9/2

Analysis

Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 2.25 m second behind Azalea Mae at Melton over 1m NR up to 39 last start. Before that was beaten 2 metres second at Ballarat over 1m same class on November 27. Expected to be in the finish again.

13
Hold That Magic silk

Gave plenty of ground last start when well beaten into seventh after showing early speed, behind Aldebaran Susanne at this track over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 50 M on October 31 at $7.50. Performed better the start before with a game effort when 3rd (Sr2) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten a head by Aldebaran Susanne (2:46.50) in 0-1 WIN on October 26 at $3.70. Big chance on her best form.

3rd Pick
13

Hold That Magic

Jockey: Matthew Gath

Trainer: M G Gath

J: Matthew Gath

T: M G Gath

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Gave plenty of ground last start when well beaten into seventh after showing early speed, behind Aldebaran Susanne at this track over 1 5/16m in a NR up to 50 M on October 31 at $7.50. Performed better the start before with a game effort when 3rd (Sr2) over 1 5/16m at this track beaten a head by Aldebaran Susanne (2:46.50) in 0-1 WIN on October 26 at $3.70. Big chance on her best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.