AU1 - Hobart - Race 4

Harness

10 Runners

10.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

9.7K

VIEW

Verdict

JILLIBY WORPA (2) was in the money when resuming two starts ago then scored a authoritative win last start over 1 ?m at Launceston, getting home by 17 metres after finding the lead in the early stages. Will enjoy a nice run from this favourable starting position. That latest effort is good enough to win a race of this calibre. QUEEN ANASTASIA (7) form has been impressive since returning from a spell. Finished third at her latest appearance over 1 ¼m at this track, beaten 2.5 metres, on the back of a first-up win at this track. Has to contend with a very wide draw. This is a nice drop in grade so she is a major player. A ROCKN NIGHTMARE (3) comes right into contention after scoring last start by 1.4 metres at this track over 1 ¼m. ULTIMATE GLADIATOR (9) was in the money two starts ago then things went amiss last start when he broke and finished a distant last over 1 ¼m at this track. Can't make any mistakes against this field but he is right in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Last start won by 17 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at Launceston (2:41.90) beating Winning Brew in 3yo+ on October 18 at $2.80 at the bell was leading 4.6. Can maintain the solid form. 1st Pick 2 Jilliby Worpa Jockey: Mark Yole Trainer: P L Dornauf J: Mark Yole T: P L Dornauf	77	-	-	-	72%
Analysis Last start won by 17 m as favourite when quickly away, (Fr4) at Launceston (2:41.90) beating Winning Brew in 3yo+ on October 18 at $2.80 at the bell was leading 4.6. Can maintain the solid form.
7	Last start solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ¼m after showing early pace at this track beaten 2.5 m by A Rockn Nightmare (2:36.60) in 3yo on October 31 at $3.20. Two runs back raced just off the speed and boxed on, won by a head after showing early speed, (Fr2) at this track (1:57.90) beating Omybacnknees Judge in 3yo+ on October 11 at $4 at the bell was 2nd-0.4. Hard to beat. 2nd Pick 7 Queen Anastasia Jockey: Todd Rattray Trainer: T E Rattray J: Todd Rattray T: T E Rattray	75	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Last start solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ¼m after showing early pace at this track beaten 2.5 m by A Rockn Nightmare (2:36.60) in 3yo on October 31 at $3.20. Two runs back raced just off the speed and boxed on, won by a head after showing early speed, (Fr2) at this track (1:57.90) beating Omybacnknees Judge in 3yo+ on October 11 at $4 at the bell was 2nd-0.4. Hard to beat.
3	Last start won by 1.4 m (Fr2) at this track (2:36.60) beating Stayzbetter in 3yo on October 31 at $18. Can go back-to-back. 3rd Pick 3 A Rockn Nightmare Jockey: Ethan Arnott Trainer: J J Mckenzie J: Ethan Arnott T: J J Mckenzie	74	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Last start won by 1.4 m (Fr2) at this track (2:36.60) beating Stayzbetter in 3yo on October 31 at $18. Can go back-to-back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.