NZ - Ascot Park - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

11.8K

VIEW

Verdict

LEMON CURD (4) was tried in front at Riverton nearly 2 weeks ago, and she fought on bravely to finish runner-up. She may try similar tactics here, and she could again take some pegging back. MONAGHAN BOY (1) stepped up in class on a 2-day backup and finished a fair sixth as the favourite at Riverton over 7f. He slides back down in grade here, and with a strong record on the track, he can make amends, so follow your money. VINO VALENTINO (2) finished a brave third last start, and her form has been heading in the right direction. The wetter the better for this mare, and she has top 4 claims again. GO LOTTE (3) turned her form right around with a big last-to-first win at Riverton. Stick with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 12 at Riverton on April 4 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Monaghan Boy with 122lbs at $7.80. The start before that made ground from midfield, 4th of 15 at Riccarton Park in the G3 South Island Thoroughbred Breeders' Stakes on March 21 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Inflamed with 121lbs at $44.60. Key runner on her best form and can feature in the finish. 1st Pick 5 Champagne Linda Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Non Runner T: Robert Dennis	75	-	-	-	14%	Scratched
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 12 at Riverton on April 4 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Monaghan Boy with 122lbs at $7.80. The start before that made ground from midfield, 4th of 15 at Riccarton Park in the G3 South Island Thoroughbred Breeders' Stakes on March 21 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Inflamed with 121lbs at $44.60. Key runner on her best form and can feature in the finish.
4	Most recently 2nd in a small field at Riverton on April 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Go Lotte carrying 123lbs at $3.20. The start before that 7th of 10 at Wingatui on March 27 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Maybe Diva with 123lbs at $5.80. Big chance to return to the winner's list. 2nd Pick 4 Lemon Curd Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Elen Nicholas T: Robert Dennis	106	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Most recently 2nd in a small field at Riverton on April 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Go Lotte carrying 123lbs at $3.20. The start before that 7th of 10 at Wingatui on March 27 over 1m, slow going 2.25 len behind Maybe Diva with 123lbs at $5.80. Big chance to return to the winner's list.
1	At the latest run 6th of 8 at Riverton on April 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Rochello carrying 117lbs at $3. The start before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at Riverton April 4 over 1m on a soft track defeating Airpark Hustler carrying 120lbs at $4.30. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat. 3rd Pick 1 Monaghan Boy Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Kelvin Tyler J: Kendra Bakker T: Kelvin Tyler	94	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 8 at Riverton on April 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Rochello carrying 117lbs at $3. The start before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.8 len at Riverton April 4 over 1m on a soft track defeating Airpark Hustler carrying 120lbs at $4.30. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.